Filed Wednesday 4 November 2026 · 13:18 UTC · Entry no. 133969 · scored against the close · never edited
Earnings Preview · 04 November 2026
Where our screen stands going in
Screens compliant (both standards agree). A name values-conscious investors can weigh on the merits.
What the Street expects
Consensus looks for earnings of about $0.87 a share on revenue near $14.7B. Over the next twelve months analysts pencil in $4.41 of earnings per share against $4.56 over the last twelve, a decline of about 3%. The median analyst target is $100 (range $70 to $150), 49% above the $67.40 share price, across 46 analysts.
How it has traded on past prints
Across the last 25 reports, the shares moved an average of +0.1% in the five sessions after the print and +0.0% over twenty. After a beat the average follow-through was +1.2%; after a miss, -3.8%. There is no reliable drift pattern: the first move has often faded, so chasing the gap has not paid.
What options are pricing
Implied volatility near 101% prices a one-week move of roughly ±14.0% (about $57.95 to $76.85). Positioning: the heaviest put open interest sits at $60 and the heaviest call open interest at $70; those strikes tend to act as magnets or walls in the days after.
Levels that matter
At $67.40 the shares sit 33% below the 52-week high of $100.35 and 5% above the low of $64.04 (9% of the way up the range). The 50-day average is $72.30, above the price. The 200-day average is $73.83, above the price.
Valuation going in
The shares trade about 22% below our fair-value estimate: a modest cushion. Our fair-value estimate is $86.74 against the current share price of $67.40. The shares trade at 14.4 times trailing earnings and 14.9 times forward earnings. Revenue is growing about 12% with net margins near 17%.
Our stance
The name clears our screen; the print tells us whether the valuation is earning its keep.
What the flow says going in
Underlying money flow is neutral (21-day Chaikin Money Flow +0.03, five-day price change +1.2%, as of 2026-11-03, desk flow model): no strong accumulation or distribution signature.
This is analysis, not financial advice. Always manage your risk.
How This Entry Scores
Every level named in a session brief is scored against the next scheduled close. Nothing is edited after filing: if a level breaks, the record shows it as filed, not as corrected. The desk's full scored history sits on the track record page.