Microsoft MSFTAn entry written while the outcome is still unknown. It will be scored by what the market does next, and it will never be edited to look cleverer than it was.
read at $416.67
Microsoft holds its Distribution at $416.67.
The investor read · the season, not the day
| Phase | Distribution · caution |
| Quantitative state | The statistical read favours the buyers, held for 60 days |
| Price | $416.67 |
| Valuation | 25.47 trailing · 22.09 forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | PASS · score 89.7 |
| Beta | 1.09 |
The trader read · the latest dated commentary
The dated journal · newest first, never edited
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials (90). The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials (90). The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
The insider ledger · Form 4 filings, as filed
| Date | Insider | Title | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-14 | Coleman Amy | EVP, Chief HR Off | Sale | 1,262 | $519,242 |
| 2026-03-06 | Hogan Kathleen T | EVP, Strategy | Sale | 12,321 | $5,045,643 |
| 2026-02-18 | Stanton John W | Dir | Purchase | 5,000 | $1,986,750 |
| 2025-04-23 | Smith Bradford L | Vice Chair, Pres | Purchase | 3,842 | $1,450,221 |
| 2025-04-30 | Smith Bradford L | Vice Chair, Pres | Sale | 3,842 | $1,684,498 |
| 2025-12-04 | Numoto Takeshi | EVP, CMO | Sale | 2,850 | $1,364,352 |
| 2025-12-02 | Althoff Judson | CEO Microsoft Commercial | Sale | 12,750 | $6,266,829 |
| 2025-11-03 | Smith Bradford L | Vice Chair, Pres | Sale | 38,500 | $19,967,707 |
| 2025-09-03 | Nadella Satya | CEO | Sale | 149,205 | $75,315,121 |
| 2025-08-12 | Numoto Takeshi | EVP, CMO | Sale | 4,850 | $2,557,506 |
Public filings, recorded as found. The full tape lives at Insider Intelligence.
The political ledger · congressional disclosures
| Date | Politician | Party | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-15 | John McGuire | Republican | Purchase | 1K–15K |
| 2025-03-10 | Nancy Pelosi | buy | 100000 | |
| 2025-01-20 | April McClain Delaney | buy | 8000 | |
| 2024-09-10 | Tim Moore | buy | 20000 | |
| 2024-09-05 | Ted Cruz | buy | 20000 |
What holding actually paid · price plus dividends
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $411.77 | -3.2% | $0.91 | $970 | -3.0% |
| 2 months | $370.07 | +7.7% | $0.91 | $1,080 | +8.0% |
| 3 months | $400.99 | -0.6% | $0.91 | $996 | -0.4% |
| 6 months | $481.33 | -17.2% | $1.82 | $832 | -16.8% |
| 1 year | $467.19 | -14.7% | $3.56 | $861 | -13.9% |
| 2 years | $421.25 | -5.4% | $6.80 | $962 | -3.8% |
| 3 years | $319.24 | +24.9% | $9.73 | $1,279 | +27.9% |
| 5 years | $247.50 | +61.1% | $14.81 | $1,670 | +67.0% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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