The Screen · Technology · Software - Infrastructure
CrowdStrike
CRWD · a US exchange · USD · Market cap $186.6B · 10,698 employees
CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.
FAIL · Does not pass the screen
183.28 USD
At the last full screen 2026-07-24
Screened 2026-07-24 · the tape above runs as of 22:40 UTC · 24 Jul · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
The Label · The Season, Not the Day
This name holds its accumulation label.
CrowdStrike holds its Accumulation at $183.28. The statistical read favours the buyers, held for 14 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-07-24
Phase
Accumulation
Quantitative state
The statistical read favours the buyers, held for 14 days
Price at the screen
$183.28
Valuation
N/A trailing · 117.30 forward price to earnings
Values screen
FAIL· score 70.0
Beta
1.24
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Accounts receivable
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
7.40%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is just 7.4% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money.
Pass
Interest-bearing cash
0.69%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.7% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
59.46%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 59.5% of assets, above the 49% limit.
Fail
Revenue purity
4.05%
Below 5%
Only 4.1% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
What the Numbers Say It Is Worth
The Fair Value Range
Our framework reads AVOID: it trades above our $114.63 fair value estimate, weak competitive moat, 25.60% revenue growth.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-07-24 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. The price runs 37.5% above the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 49 covering, consensus Buy. The average target sits +3% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the Street see limited upside at this price.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-07-24 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Cybersecurity darling priced far beyond reality
Picture every boardroom fretting over the next ransomware hit and reaching for the name that tops every shortlist. CrowdStrike sits there, selling cloud delivered protection through a subscription model that has delivered 26% revenue growth. Yet the shares trade at 130 times forward earnings while the business posts a negative profit margin and zero return on equity.
We pass for two clear reasons that have nothing to do with whether the product works. The price sits 44% above our fair value of 113.99, and the ethical screen flags a failure on accounts receivable. Weak moat and unprofitable operations complete the picture. Analyst enthusiasm and an 188 median target do not change those facts.
Valuation risk remains the obvious danger, with any slowdown in new subscriptions likely to expose the gap between price and underlying performance. The ethical issue adds a further layer that cannot be ignored. Analysis, not advice.
The risks · The main risks here are ordinary market swings and the chance our fair-value read proves too optimistic.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
CRWD trades on a US exchange. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited
Every Entry, As Written
2026-07-18Accumulation$671.02+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 39%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 34%. The street (51 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $535. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter.
2026-07-03Accumulation$671.02+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Accumulation$671.02Entry 1
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
