The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. The street (7 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $155.
FedEx Freight Holding Company Inc
FDXF · the NYSE · USD · Market cap $18.3B · 40,000 employees
FedEx Freight Holding Company, Inc.
PASS · Titan Ethical · score 70.0Screen close, 2026-09-21 · not a live quote
Last reviewed 15 days ago
Screened 2026-09-21 · the tape above runs as of 15:50 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
A price-versus-fair-value chart appears here once we hold enough history for this name.
- Trend Markdown
- Insiders no filings inside 60 days, left as found
- Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
- Options no verdict drawn today, left as found
- Ethical passes the values gate
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
This name holds its markdown label.
FedEx Freight Holding Company Inc holds its Markdown at $117.60.
| Phase | Markdown · caution |
| Price at the screen | $117.60 |
| Valuation | 26.85 trailing · 23.04 forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | PASS · score 70.0 |
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Full pass across all five screens. This security clears the Titan Ethical Standard: its business and its balance sheet both stay inside the lines.
| Test | Figure | Limit | What it means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business activity | Permissible | Core business clean | Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. | Pass |
| Debt load | 23.16% | Below 33% | Interest-bearing debt is just 23.2% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money. | Pass |
| Interest-bearing cash | 0.00% | Below 33% | Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit. | Pass |
| Receivables | 20.66% | Below 49% | Money owed to the company is 20.7% of assets, under the 49% limit. | Pass |
| Revenue purity | 0.00% | Below 5% | Only 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line. | Pass |
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
The Ethical ReadWhy It Clears, in Plain English
FedEx Freight clears all five screens. Its business is in a permissible area, its interest-bearing debt is about 23%, inside the ~33% line, and almost none of its income is interest, so it passes.
Read as at 2026-10-04. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.
What the Numbers Say It Is WorthThe Fair Value Range
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-21 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 11.6% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 14 covering, consensus Buy. The average target sits +38% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & ProjectionsWhere it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-21 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain WordsFreight Hauler Priced Well Above Fair Value
Picture lorries threading goods across North America. FedEx Freight handles the smaller loads that fill the gaps between full trailers, yet the shares sit at 152 dollars against a fair value of 126, a clear negative margin of safety.
Revenue is already falling 5 percent and the forward multiple stands at 30 times earnings for a 10 percent profit margin. Analysts may cluster around a 176 dollar target, but the combination of contraction and rich valuation leaves no opportunity on the table.
The sector moves with the economic cycle, so peak earnings can flatten fast. An unknown competitive edge adds further uncertainty, and paying up for shrinking sales rarely ends well. Analysis, not advice.
| Forward P/E | 23.0xexpensive even after accounting for its growth |
| Trailing P/E | 26.9xa premium valuation |
| EPS, trailing | 4.38 |
| EPS, forward | 5.10 |
| Revenue growth | +4.8%slow but positive growth |
| Profit margin | 7.4%thin but positive margins |
| Return on equity | 69.1%an exceptional return on shareholder capital |
| FCF yield | -2.79% |
| Current ratio | 1.52healthy short-term liquidity |
| 52-week range | 120.25 - 200.00 |
| Market cap | $18.3B |
| Employees | 40,000 |
The risks · The main risks here are ordinary market swings and the chance our fair-value read proves too optimistic.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to TradeFDXF trades on the NYSE. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
Every Entry, As Written
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
- What Is FedEx (FDX) Telling Investors By Merging Freight Tech And Commercial Roles? Simply Wall St. · 21d ago
- FedEx Freight CTO absorbs commercial role amid shakeup CIO Dive · 21d ago
- FedEx Freight expands CTO’s role to cover commercial strategy following CCO ouster FreightWaves · 22d ago
- Jim Cramer Waits for Oil to Fall Before Adding to FedEx Freight (FDXF) Insider Monkey · 24d ago
- What the Numbers Tell About FedEx Freight (FDXF) Following Spin-Off Insider Monkey · 25d ago
Headlines from third-party outlets, linked for reference: not our reporting, not advice.
Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever FDXF does next, these words stay.
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Join the deskScreening is research, not a fatwa and not financial advice. Figures are drawn from public accounts at the screen date shown. Always manage your risk.