NAS10029,447+1.73%S&P7,638+1.14%GOLD$4,412+0.27%BTC$77,965+2.04%VIX15.48+0.26%live tape · as of 15:00 UTC
The Screen · Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
StandardAero, Inc.
SARO · the NYSE · USD · Market cap $7.8B · 8,000 employees
StandardAero, Inc.
FAIL · Does not pass the screen
23.65 USD
At the last full screen 2026-09-10
Screened 2026-09-10 · the tape above runs as of 15:00 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
The Label · The Season, Not the Day
This name holds its markdown label.
StandardAero, Inc. holds its Markdown at $23.65. Elevated stress, defensive posture warranted, held for 264 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-09-10
Phase
Markdown · caution
Quantitative state
Elevated stress, defensive posture warranted, held for 264 days
Price at the screen
$23.65
Valuation
24.38 trailing · 13.40 forward price to earnings
Values screen
FAIL· score 30.0
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Prohibited business activity: Aerospace & Defense
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Excluded
Core business clean
Prohibited business activity: Aerospace & Defense
Fail
Debt load
Excluded
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows.
Fail
Interest-bearing cash
Excluded
Below 33%
Interest-bearing cash and securities are of assets, above the one-third limit.
Fail
Receivables
Excluded
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is of assets, above the 49% limit.
Fail
Revenue purity
Excluded
Below 5%
of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, over the 5% line.
Fail
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-10 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 48.6% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 14 covering, consensus None. The average target sits +48% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-10 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Defence Exposure Pushes This Engine Shop Off Limits
Every time a military helicopter or commercial jet lands for an overhaul, StandardAero is one of the firms that keeps the engines turning. Yet the entire operation sits inside aerospace and defence, which fails our ethical screen outright. We pass for that single reason.
Numbers show 13% revenue growth, a 5% profit margin and 11% ROE, with the shares at 15.5 times forward earnings and a fair value of $34.75. Fourteen analysts carry a buy rating and a $35 median target, but the ethical block overrides all of it.
Thin margins and unknown competitive position leave the business exposed in a cyclical sector where defence contracts can swing sharply. Currency and policy shifts add further volatility on top. Analysis, not advice.
The risks · The main risks here are ordinary market swings and the chance our fair-value read proves too optimistic.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
SARO trades on the NYSE. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited
Every Entry, As Written
2026-09-12Markdown · changed$23.65-21.2%Entry 5
The framework has shifted from markup to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 21.2% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are down 19%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 18%. The street (14 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $36.
2026-08-12Markup$30.00+11.5%Entry 4
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 11.5% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are down 19%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 18%. The street (14 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $36.
2026-07-18Markup$26.91+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are down 19%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 18%. The street (14 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $36.
2026-07-03Markup$26.91+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Markup$26.91Entry 1
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
