AVAV
AeroVironment, Inc.
Industrials · Aerospace & Defense · NMS
$181.28
Close 2026-05-28
✗ ETHICAL FAIL

UNKNOWN MOAT
HIGH
Data Confidence: 86%
Full financial profile available
Market Cap
$9.2B
Trailing P/E
Forward P/E
44.75
Rev Growth
+143.4%
Profit Margin
-13.9%
ROE
-8.7%
Analyst Target
$305.00
Recommendation
BUY
About AeroVironment, Inc.

AeroVironment, Inc. designs, develops, produces, delivers, and supports a portfolio of robotic systems and related services for government agencies and businesses in the United States and internationally. It operates in two segments, Autonomous Systems; and Space, Cyber and Directed Energy. The company provides uncrewed aircraft systems (UAS), which include small and medium UAS, and kinesis command and control software; and counter-UAS and precision strike, a loitering munitions solution that deliver actionable intelligence and precision firepower modern warfighters, including precision strike, radio frequency and kinetic C-UAS, and electronic warfare systems. It also offers autonomy, AI, and platform technologies; unmanned maritime; uncrewed ground systems; and high-altitude pseudo-satellites. The company provides digital beamforming technology, a multi-band/beam software defined antenna tile that allows simultaneous communication with multiple satellites; laser communications, a data transmission systems for space operations; space-qualified hardware for line of sight stabilization and control electronics in low, medium, and geostationary earth orbit, as well as cislunar orbits; phased array antenna technology to supports hypersonic telemetry and tracking, and other missile testing; and directed energy solution. It also offers cyber solution for national security and defense operations; and HaloCortex OSINT, an AI-powered OSINT analysis platform to provide insights and solve department of defense and commercial challenges. AeroVironment, Inc. was incorporated in 1971 and is headquartered in Arlington, Virginia.

Ethical Screen
Business ActivityFAIL
Debt RatioN/A
Cash RatioN/A
Receivables RatioN/A
Revenue RatioN/A
OverallFAIL
Score Ethical: 50.0
Score Valuation: 36.5
Score Quality: 33.8
Score Combined: 35.9

Full Analysis

Opportunity scores, earnings history, insider transactions, institutional holders, analyst consensus, and more.

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Opportunity Scores
Valuation15.7
Quality25.0
Cash Flow0.0
Moat40.0
Balance Sheet0.0
Debt Purity50.0
Liquid Purity50.0
Rev Purity50.0
Compliance100.0
Tier: WATCH · Score: 31.0 · Rank: #4962
Insider Transactions
No insider transaction data.
Top Institutional Holders
No institutional holder data.
Additional Fundamentals
Enterprise Value
$10.9B
Price/Book
2.49
Beta
1.355
Analysts
17
Total Revenue (TTM)
$1.6B
Total Debt
$826.0M
Rec. Mean
1.63
Short Ratio
3.92
Short % Float
0.1%
Employees
1,456

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Trade Consideration
The Opportunity
Score 35.9 (P34 — top 66.0% of scored tickers). Unknown Moat. Ethical FAIL. 17 analysts at Buy.
Price: $181.28 | Target: $309.88 (+71%)
Score
36
Moat
Unknown
Conviction
Standard
Upside
+71%
The Fundamentals
Revenue Growth+143.4%
Profit Margin-13.9%
ROE-8.7%
Forward P/E44.8
Market Cap$9.2B
Position Sizing Scenarios
Stop: $154.09 (-15%) | Entry: $181.28
SharesCostProfit to TargetR:R
To Consensus ($309.88, 17 analysts)
10$1,812.80+$1,286.00 (71%)4.7R
50$9,064.00+$6,430.00 (71%)4.7R
100$18,128.00+$12,860.00 (71%)4.7R
Risk Factors
  • Elevated short interest (3.92 days to cover)
  • Valuation stretched on forward earnings
The Verdict
AeroVironment, Inc. holds a unknown competitive moat and is growing revenue at +143.4%.
Quantitative Grade

A single score combining all analytical layers below. A is strongest, D is weakest.

B
Quant Score
56.9
Risk Grade
Layers
7
Risk Profile

How much could this ticker lose on a bad day? These metrics measure worst-case scenarios from historical data.

VaR 95%
-6.0%
worst expected daily loss, 19 in 20 days
CVaR 95%
-9.1%
avg loss on the worst 5% of days
Annual Volatility
Sortino Ratio
0.09
above 1.0 is good
Max Drawdown
-61.5%
Worst Day
Forward Outlook

Based on 10,000 simulated price paths, here is the probability of where this ticker could be in 30, 60, and 90 days.

30d Prob Up
90d Prob Up
Median Return 30d
Liquidity Score
80
Liquidity Grade
HIGHLY LIQUID
Trend & Momentum

What direction is this ticker actually moving, filtered through noise? Is it speeding up or slowing down?

Kalman Trend
Trend Strength
Momentum Signal
HMM Regime
RSI Signal
Technical Signals

Classic chart signals that institutional traders monitor. Golden Cross is bullish, Death Cross is bearish.

MA Crossover
BELOW_200
Bollinger Position
ABOVE_UPPER
Beta
Relative Volume
0.8x
Short Interest
Financial Health

Is this company financially sound? The Z-Score measures bankruptcy risk. The F-Score measures fundamental strength.

Altman Z-Score
below 1.81 = distress zone
Piotroski F-Score
Earnings Beat Rate
Earnings Consistency
Correlations

These tickers tend to move together (positive) or in opposite directions (negative). Useful for portfolio diversification.

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Inverse Correlated
TickerCorrelation
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Seasonality

Does this ticker have consistent patterns on certain days or months? Historical tendencies, not guarantees.

Best Day
Monday
Worst Day
Thursday
Best Month
Jun
Worst Month
Mar
Fri-Mon Effect
-0.15917545257511634
Momentum Rankings

How does this ticker's recent performance compare to the entire universe? Ranked across 1, 3, 6, and 12-month returns.

1M Return
+11.5%
3M Return
-17.4%
6M Return
-22.6%
12M Return
+20.4%
Momentum Rank
#3160
Momentum Signal
FLAT

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