GEO
The GEO Group, Inc.
Industrials · Security & Protection Services · NYQ
$25.31
Data: 2026-05-28
✓ ETHICAL PASS

Unknown MOAT
HIGH
Data Confidence: 100.0%
Key Metrics

How this company measures up on the fundamentals that matter

Market Cap
$3.0B
Total market value of the company
Trailing P/E
11.50
Reasonably valued
Forward P/E
13.62
Based on estimated future earnings — lower means cheaper
Rev Growth
+16.6%
Year-over-year revenue change
Profit Margin
10.0%
How much profit the company keeps from each dollar of revenue
ROE
19.3%
Return on equity — how efficiently it uses shareholder money
Analyst Target
$29.00
+15% from current price — median analyst estimate
Recommendation
NONE
Consensus view from 4 analysts covering this stock
About The GEO Group, Inc.

The GEO Group, Inc. is a leading diversified government service provider, specializing in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. GEO's diversified services include enhanced in-custody rehabilitation and post-release support through the award-winning GEO Continuum of Care, secure transportation, electronic monitoring, community-based programs, and correctional health and mental health care. GEO's worldwide operations include the ownership and/or delivery of support services for 95 facilities totaling approximately 75,000 beds, including idle facilities and projects under development, with a workforce of up to approximately 20,000 employees. The GEO Group, Inc. was incorporated in 1984 and is based in Boca Raton, United States.

https://www.geogroup.com

Country: United States Employees: 20,000 Industry: Security & Protection Services
Ethical Screening

Five compliance checks based on AAOIFI standards — all must pass for ethical clearance

Business Activity
PASS
Core business does not involve prohibited activities
Debt Ratio
0.0% N/A
Debt must be below 33% of total assets
Cash Ratio
0.0% N/A
Interest-bearing cash below 33% of assets
Receivables
0.0% N/A
Receivables below 49% of assets
Revenue Purity
0.0% PASS
Non-compliant revenue below 5% — any excess requires purification
Quantitative Intelligence

Statistical analysis of price behaviour, risk, and market regime — independent of fundamental data

Regime
MARKUP
Price trending up with increasing momentum
Sharpe Ratio
0.724
Good returns relative to risk taken
Kelly Fraction
0.0553
Suggested allocation is meaningful — the edge justifies a position
Calmar Ratio
0.483
Drawdown risk outweighs the returns — higher risk profile
Annual Return
30.2%
Historical annualised return based on price data
Max Drawdown
-62.5%
Largest peak-to-trough decline — the worst it has been
HMM State
SIDEWAYS
Price consolidating — no clear directional bias
Days in State
15
How long the current regime has persisted — longer means more stable
Market Data

Trading characteristics and market positioning

Beta
0.82
Less volatile than the market — more defensive
52W High
$27.90
9% below the year high
52W Low
$12.51
102% above the year low
Avg Volume
2,143,413
Average daily shares traded — higher means easier to buy and sell
Short Ratio
5.1
Days it would take all short sellers to cover — higher means more crowded
Short % Float
10.4%
Elevated short interest — bears are positioned against this
Div Yield
N/A
Annual dividend as a percentage of the share price
EPS (TTM)
$1.97
Earnings per share over the last 12 months
Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and cash generation — the foundation of long-term value

Debt/Equity
110.99
Heavy leverage — higher financial risk if revenues decline
Current Ratio
1.75
Healthy liquidity position
Quick Ratio
1.64
Like current ratio but excludes inventory — stricter test
Gross Margin
25.5%
Revenue left after cost of goods — higher means pricing power
Operating Margin
12.7%
Profit from core operations before interest and tax
Free Cash Flow
$-55,650,124
Negative — the business is spending more than it generates
Revenue (TTM)
$2.7B
Total revenue over the last 12 months
Net Income
$273M
Profitable — the bottom line is positive
Analyst Coverage
Analysts
4
Target High
$33.00
Target Median
$29.00
Target Low
$27.00
Explore the Ethical Screener View Track Record

Data sourced from public filings and market feeds. Not financial advice. Updated: 2026-05-28

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