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The Screen · Financials · Asset Management

Raymond James Financial logoRaymond James Financial

RJF · a US exchange · USD · Market cap $30.2B · 19,500 employees

Raymond James Financial, Inc., a diversified financial services company, provides private client group, capital markets, asset management, banking, and other services to individuals, corporations, and municipalities in t…

FAIL · Does not pass the screen
162.81 USD

Price as of 6 Nov 2026Daily close, not a live quote

Screened 2026-11-06 · the tape above runs as of 14:00 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed

Key facts today

  • Price162.81 USD at the 6 Nov 2026 close
  • Our value readUndervalued vs our fair value, as of 6 Nov 2026
  • Our regime readMarkup, as of 7 Nov 2026
  • Ethical screenDoes not pass
  • OptionsOpen interest leans heavily to calls (put/call 0.30)
  • Last reviewed6 Nov 2026 (1 days ago)
  • Release timesRelease and earnings times on your chart: Event Guard Mentor

A summary of the dated readings below, not a live quote and not advice.

PRICE · ONE YEAR

Our fair-value range: $182.88 to $304.79, base estimate $205.00 (screen dated 2026-11-06).

Current read
Markup ?
Undervalued · screened 2026-11-06
  • Trend Markup
  • Insiders no filings inside 60 days, left as found
  • Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
  • Options put/call open interest 0.30, read 2026-11-02
  • Ethical does not pass the values gate
Price162.81 USD
Fair value205.00
Ethical score10.0/100
Value readUndervaluedas of 6 Nov 2026
Our investment reviews on this name
2026-11-04Read Markdown161.67+0.7% to today Accumulation gives way to Markdown first Markdown read since October
2026-10-26Read Accumulation157.37+3.5% to today ✓Markdown gives way to Accumulation after a 10% slide in 6 weeks
2026-09-11Read Markdown175.47-7.2% to today ✓Markup gives way to Markdown first Markdown read since July
2026-08-11Read Markup180.55-9.8% to today Markdown gives way to Markup after a 19% rise in 6 weeks

Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.

The full research record, in depth, below
The Label · The Season, Not the Day

This name holds its markup label.

Raymond James Financial holds its Markup at $162.81. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 56 days.

As held on the ledger · 2026-11-06
PhaseMarkup
Quantitative stateConsolidating, no directional conviction, held for 56 days
Price at the screen$162.81
Valuation13.20 trailing · 9.67 forward price to earnings
Values screenFAIL · score 10.0
Beta0.95
The Workings

Five Screens, Shown in Full

Does not pass. Business activity screen

TestFigureLimitWhat it meansStatus
Business activity Excluded Core business clean Business activity: Financials sector Fail

Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.

The Ethical Read

Why It Falls Short, in Plain English

Raymond James Financial does not clear the screen at the business-activity stage. It operates in conventional financial services, which the screen treats as interest-based, so the financial ratios are not the deciding factor here.

Read as at 2026-11-07. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.

Follow this verdict

Get an email when RJF's ethical verdict changes

Today RJF does not pass the screen. If new figures move it to a pass, we send you one short email with the before and after. Verdicts change rarely, so you may not hear from us for a long time.

Free, no account needed. Every email has a link to stop.

What the Numbers Say It Is Worth

The Fair Value Range

Our analysis reads Undervalued vs our fair value, as of 6 Nov 2026: it trades at roughly a 20% discount to our $205.00 fair value, moderate competitive moat, 15.70% revenue growth.

How a fair value is estimated: discounted cash flow (DCF).

182.88Conservative205.00Base case304.79Growth case 162.81Price

Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-11-06 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 20.6% discount to the base estimate.

The Street's Range
160.00Street low 182.00Street average 205.00Street high 162.81Price

Third-party analyst targets: 14 covering, consensus Buy. The average target sits +12% from the screen price.

Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.

Price History & Projections

Where our models see it going: fair-value estimate $205.00, with a range of $182.88 to $304.79, dated to the 2026-11-06 screen.

Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.

The Business, in Plain Words

Brokers Can Look Cheap Yet Still Fail Us

Picture a steady wealth manager guiding retirees through market swings while quietly tripping an ethical screen on core business lines. That is Raymond James at 168 dollars a share, with analysts clustered around a 179 target and our own fair value at 195. We pass anyway.

Revenue is growing 13 percent and the firm earns a 17 percent return on equity with a moderate moat, yet the ethical failure on business activity rules it out regardless of the 11.9 times forward earnings or 15 percent profit margin. The 16 percent margin of safety to our number changes nothing when the screen is breached.

Risk sits in the ethical breach itself plus any cyclical pressure on asset management fees when markets turn. Analysis, not advice.

The fundamentals · plain-English read
Forward P/E9.7xcheap for a company growing this fast
Trailing P/E13.2xreasonably valued
EPS, trailing11.91
EPS, forward16.26
Revenue growth+15.7%steady growth
Profit margin15.0%thin but positive margins
Return on equity18.7%a solid return on shareholder capital
Dividend yield140.00%
Debt to equity0.48minimal debt: a conservative balance sheet
Beta0.95steadier than the market
Short interest, float0.04%
52-week range138.82 - 182.73
MoatMODERATE
Market cap$30.2B
Employees19,500

Another profit measure, before interest, tax and non-cash costs: EBITDA.

The risks · The main risks here are ordinary market swings and the chance our fair-value read proves too optimistic.

Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.

Where & How to Trade

RJF trades on a US exchange. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.

The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited

Every Entry, As Written

2026-11-04 Markdown · changed $161.67 +2.7% Entry 16

The framework has shifted from accumulation to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved up 2.7% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 2% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 4%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 18%. The street (14 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $182.

2026-10-28 Accumulation $157.37 +0.0% Entry 15

The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 2% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 4%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 18%. The street (14 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $184. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.

2026-10-27 Accumulation $157.37 +0.0% Entry 14

The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 2% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 4%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 18%. The street (14 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $184. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.

2026-10-26 Accumulation · changed $157.37 +0.0% Entry 13

The framework has shifted from markdown to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 2% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 4%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 18%. The street (14 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $184. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.

2026-10-25 Markdown $157.37 +0.0% Entry 12

The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 2% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 4%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 18%. The street (14 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $184. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.

2026-10-24 Markdown $157.37 +0.0% Entry 11

The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 2% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 4%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 18%. The street (14 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $184. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.

2026-10-23 Markdown $157.37 +0.0% Entry 10

The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 2% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 4%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 18%. The street (14 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $184. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.

2026-10-22 Markdown $157.37 +0.0% Entry 9

The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 2% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 4%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 18%. The street (14 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $184. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.

2026-10-21 Markdown $157.37 -0.6% Entry 8

The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.6% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 2% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 4%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 18%. The street (14 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $184. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.

2026-10-14 Markdown $158.38 -1.7% Entry 7

The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 1.7% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 4%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 18%. The street (14 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $184.

Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.

Latest News · What the Market Is Reading on RJF

Headlines from third-party outlets, linked for reference: not our reporting, not advice.

Related Securities · Others in RJF's Space

Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.

The Insider Ledger · Form 4 Filings, As Filed
Most recent filings · RJF
DateInsiderTitleTypeSharesValue
2026-03-19 ALLAIRE BELLA LOYKHTER Officer 29,551 $4,206,289
2026-02-27 AISENBREY CHRISTOPHER S Officer 600 ·
2026-02-24 EDWARDS JEFFREY N. Director 1,503 ·
2026-02-19 EDWARDS JEFFREY N. Director 1,253 ·
2026-02-19 MISTARZ, CECILY Director 1,753 ·
2026-02-19 DEBEL MARLENE Director 1,253 ·
2026-02-19 ESTY BENJAMIN C Director 1,303 ·
2026-02-19 SESHADRI RAJEEV Director 1,303 ·
2026-02-19 BEGOR MARK W. Director 1,303 ·
2026-02-19 MCGEARY RODERICK C Director 1,303 ·

Public filings, recorded as found. The full tape lives at Insider Intelligence.

The Political Ledger · Congressional Disclosures
Disclosures naming RJF
DatePoliticianPartyTypeAmount
2026-04-13 Ro Khanna Democrat Purchase 1K–15K
What Holding Actually Paid · Price Plus Dividends
If $1,000 had been placed · historical, not a promise
PeriodPrice thenPrice returnDivs per share$1,000 becameTotal return
1 month $151.04 -0.1% · $999 -0.1%
2 months $146.19 +3.2% · $1,032 +3.2%
3 months $144.04 +4.7% $0.54 $1,051 +5.1%
6 months $162.75 -7.3% $1.08 $934 -6.6%
1 year $144.94 +4.1% $2.08 $1,055 +5.5%
2 years $116.32 +29.7% $3.98 $1,331 +33.1%
3 years $91.63 +64.6% $5.72 $1,709 +70.9%
5 years $81.40 +85.3% $8.44 $1,957 +95.7%

Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

The Ledger's Promise

This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever RJF does next, these words stay.

Raymond James Financial · RJF · Markup · $162.81
Recorded 2026-11-06 · before the outcome · scored mechanically

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