NAS10029,447+1.73%S&P7,638+1.14%GOLD$4,412+0.27%BTC$77,965+2.04%VIX15.48+0.26%live tape · as of 13:00 UTC
The Screen · Energy · Oil & Gas Integrated
TotalEnergies SE
TTE · the NYSE · USD · Market cap $201.6B · 94,847 employees
TotalEnergies SE, an integrated energy company, produces and markets oil and biofuels, natural gas, biogas and low-carbon hydrogen, renewables, and electricity in France, the United States, Europe, Brazil, India, and int…
Screened 2026-09-10 · the tape above runs as of 13:00 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
The Label · The Season, Not the Day
This name holds its accumulation label.
TotalEnergies SE holds its Accumulation at $91.23. Elevated stress, defensive posture warranted, held for 6 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-09-10
Phase
Accumulation
Quantitative state
Elevated stress, defensive posture warranted, held for 6 days
Price at the screen
$91.23
Valuation
11.42 trailing · 8.81 forward price to earnings
Values screen
PASS· score 70.0
Beta
0.06
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Full pass across all five screens. This security clears the Titan Ethical Standard: its business and its balance sheet both stay inside the lines.
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
20.64%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is just 20.6% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money.
Pass
Interest-bearing cash
0.83%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.8% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
14.67%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 14.7% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Revenue purity
0.61%
Below 5%
Only 0.6% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-10 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 0.3% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 10 covering, consensus Buy. The average target sits +5% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Our model and the Street both land near today's price: fairly valued, with no strong edge either way.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-10 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Energy Titan's Cyclical Numbers Game
Picture this: for every barrel of oil pumped and every cubic meter of gas sold, a company like TotalEnergies SE is at the heart of the action. In a world increasingly focused on energy transition, TotalEnergies SE stands out for its broad portfolio spanning from traditional fossil fuels to renewables. It's a business that's reported a robust 28% revenue growth, yet with a forward P/E of 9.3x, the market seems to be discounting future prospects.
However, the cyclical nature of this industry demands a closer look at these numbers. The company's 9% profit margin and 14% ROE are solid, yet the low multiple might be signaling a peak earnings scenario—a classic cyclical value trap. With oil and gas prices having a significant sway over TotalEnergies SE's bottom line, investors could be right to be cautious.
Risk here is twofold: the market's skepticism about the sustainability of the current earnings in this cyclical sector, and the ever-present geopolitical and commodity price volatility. Despite passing our ethical screen, investors should tread carefully, keeping a weather eye on the cyclical winds of the energy market. Analysis, not advice.
The risks · The things to watch: its business and earnings are exposed to France and to currency swings.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
TTE trades on the NYSE (the company is based in France). As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The framework has shifted from distribution to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 6.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 25% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 54%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 17%. The street (7 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $97.
2026-07-23Distribution$81.39+0.0%Entry 10
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 25% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 54%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 17%. The street (7 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $97. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-07-22Distribution$81.39+0.0%Entry 9
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 25% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 54%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 17%. The street (7 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $97. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-07-21Distribution$81.39+0.0%Entry 8
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 25% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 54%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 17%. The street (7 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $97. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-07-20Distribution$81.39+0.0%Entry 7
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 25% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 54%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 17%. The street (7 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $97. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-07-19Distribution$81.39-7.5%Entry 6
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 7.5% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 25% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 54%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 17%. The street (7 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $97. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-07-18Distribution$88.02+0.0%Entry 5
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 25% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 54%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 17%. The street (7 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $97. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-07-17Distribution$88.02+0.0%Entry 4
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 25% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 54%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 17%. The street (7 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $97. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-07-16Distribution$88.02+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 25% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 54%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 17%. The street (7 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $97. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-07-03Distribution$88.02+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
