PBR
Petrobras
Energy · Integrated Oil & Gas · NYSE (ADR)
$20.33
Close 2026-05-10
✓ ETHICAL PASS

UNKNOWN MOAT
HIGH
Data Confidence: 100%
Full financial profile available
Market Cap
$127.4B
Trailing P/E
6.50
Forward P/E
5.20
Rev Growth
+0.4%
Profit Margin
21.6%
ROE
25.6%
Analyst Target
$22.18
Recommendation
BUY
About Petrobras

Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras explores, produces, and sells oil and gas in Brazil, China, the United States, the Americas, Asia, Europe, Singapore, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Exploration and Production; Refining, Transportation & Marketing; and Gas & Low Carbon Energies. The Exploration and Production segment explores, develops, and produces crude oil, natural gas liquids, and natural gas primarily for supplies to the domestic refineries. Its Refining, Transportation and Marketing segment engages in the refining, logistics, transport, acquisition, and export of crude oil; trading of oil products; and production of fertilizers, as well as holding interests in petrochemical companies. The Gas and Low Carbon Energies segment is involved in the logistic and trading of natural gas and electricity; transportation and trading of liquefied natural gas; generation of electricity through thermoelectric power plants; renewable energy business; low carbon business; and natural gas processing business, as well as production of biodiesel and its co-products. It also engages in prospecting, drilling, refining, processing, trading, and transporting crude oil from producing onshore and offshore oil fields, and shale or other rocks, as well as oil products, natural gas, and other liquid hydrocarbons. In addition, the company engages in research, development, production, transportation, distribution, and trading of energy. Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras was incorporated in 1953 and is headquartered in Rio De Janeiro, Brazil.

Opportunity Summary
Trading at $20 against a fair value of $46, a 57% discount. 22% profit margins. Passes all ethical screens. Ranks better than 94% of screened stocks.
Ethical Screen
Business ActivityPASS
Debt Ratio (0.31%)PASS
Cash Ratio (0.03%)PASS
Receivables Ratio (0.02%)PASS
Revenue Ratio (0.04%)PASS
OverallPASS
Score Ethical: 75.3
Score Valuation: 95.0
Score Quality: 83.2
Score Combined: 70.1
Fair Value Est: $45.64 · Margin of Safety: +56.7% · Tier: OPPORTUNITY

Full Analysis

Opportunity scores, earnings history, insider transactions, institutional holders, analyst consensus, and more.

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Opportunity Scores
Valuation100.0
Quality81.8
Cash Flow100.0
Moat40.0
Balance Sheet72.5
Debt Purity4.9
Liquid Purity91.2
Rev Purity11.4
Compliance32.2
Tier: GOLD · Score: 75.0 · Rank: #164
Earnings History (Last 8 Quarters)
DateEPS Est.Reported EPSSurprise %
2026-08-061.24Pending--
2026-05-110.990.96-3.0%
2026-03-050.570.44-23.1%
2025-11-060.710.94+31.8%
2025-08-070.660.64-3.6%
2025-05-120.800.65-18.2%
2025-02-260.190.47+152.2%
2024-11-070.800.89+11.1%
Quarterly Financials
PeriodRevenueNet IncomeEBITDAGross ProfitOp. IncomeEPS
2026-03-31$123.7B$32.7B$70.4B$59.6B$35.9B5.06
2025-12-31$139.5B$18.5B$50.3B$64.3B$41.6B
2025-09-30$125.0B$32.1B$71.7B$59.7B$41.2B4.98
2025-06-30$115.3B$25.9B$59.9B$54.9B$30.0B4.06
2025-03-31$123.1B$35.2B$72.7B$60.7B$39.5B5.46
2024-12-31-2.67
Insider Transactions
No insider transaction data.
Top Institutional Holders
HolderSharesValue% Held
GQG Partners LLC173.4M$3.5B0.0%
BAILLIE GIFFORD & CO44.4M$884.3M0.0%
Capital International Investors44.2M$880.4M0.0%
Invesco Ltd.29.0M$578.0M0.0%
Arrowstreet Capital, Limited Partnership28.6M$568.2M0.0%
Lazard Asset Management LLC25.3M$502.5M0.0%
Itau Unibanco Holding, S.A.20.8M$413.4M0.0%
Morgan Stanley20.5M$408.3M0.0%
Schroder Investment Management Group18.3M$364.5M0.0%
ARGA Investment Management, LP17.7M$351.8M0.0%
Analyst Recommendations
3 Months Ago
3
7
5
15 analysts
2 Months Ago
2
6
7
15 analysts
Last Month
2
7
6
15 analysts
Current
3
8
4
15 analysts
Strong Buy Buy Hold Sell Strong Sell
Recent Price History
2026-05-10
$20.33
2026-05-09
$20.33
2026-05-08
$20.91
2026-05-08
$20.91
5D Range
May 8
May 8
May 9
May 10
Additional Fundamentals
Enterprise Value
$581.8B
Price/Book
1.53
Beta
-0.064
Analysts
14
Total Revenue (TTM)
$498.1B
Total Debt
$371.7B
Earnings Growth
-7.2%
Dividend Yield
8.8%
Rec. Mean
1.73
Short Ratio
1.83
Employees
43,199

Elite Intelligence

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Trade Consideration
The Opportunity
Score 70.1 (P100 — top 0.3% of scored tickers). Unknown Moat. Ethical PASS. 14 analysts at Buy.
Price: $20.33 | Target: $22.65 (+11%) | Fair Value: $45.64 (+124%)
Score
70
Moat
Unknown
Conviction
Moderate
Upside
+11%
The Fundamentals
Revenue Growth+0.4%
Profit Margin21.6%
ROE25.6%
Forward P/E5.2
Market Cap$127.4B
Earnings Track Record
DateEstimateReportedSurprise
2026-08-06$1.24Pending
2026-05-11$0.99$0.96-3.0%
2026-03-05$0.57$0.44-23.1%
2025-11-06$0.71$0.94+31.8%
2025-08-07$0.66$0.64-3.6%
2025-05-12$0.80$0.65-18.2%
Position Sizing Scenarios
Stop: $17.28 (-15%) | Entry: $20.33
SharesCostProfit to TargetR:R
To Consensus ($22.65, 14 analysts)
10$203.30+$23.20 (11%)0.8R
50$1,016.50+$116.00 (11%)0.8R
100$2,033.00+$232.00 (11%)0.8R
To Fair Value ($45.64)
10$203.30+$253.10 (124%)8.3R
50$1,016.50+$1,265.50 (124%)8.3R
100$2,033.00+$2,531.00 (124%)8.3R
Risk Factors
  • No elevated risk flags in current data
The Verdict
Petrobras passes all ethical screens, holds a unknown competitive moat, and trades at a 56.7% discount to fair value.
Quantitative Grade

A single score combining all analytical layers below. A is strongest, D is weakest.

B
Quant Score
58.7
Risk Grade
LOW_RISK
Layers
8
Quality: STRONG_EARNINGS_DRIFT
Risk Profile

How much could this ticker lose on a bad day? These metrics measure worst-case scenarios from historical data.

VaR 95%
-2.9%
worst expected daily loss, 19 in 20 days
CVaR 95%
-4.7%
avg loss on the worst 5% of days
Annual Volatility
Sortino Ratio
0.99
above 1.0 is good
Max Drawdown
-24.8%
Worst Day
Forward Outlook

Based on 10,000 simulated price paths, here is the probability of where this ticker could be in 30, 60, and 90 days.

30d Prob Up
90d Prob Up
Median Return 30d
Liquidity Score
95
Liquidity Grade
HIGHLY LIQUID
Trend & Momentum

What direction is this ticker actually moving, filtered through noise? Is it speeding up or slowing down?

Kalman Trend
Trend Strength
Momentum Signal
HMM Regime
RSI Signal
Technical Signals

Classic chart signals that institutional traders monitor. Golden Cross is bullish, Death Cross is bearish.

MA Crossover
ABOVE_200
Bollinger Position
NEAR_LOWER
Beta
Relative Volume
0.7x
Short Interest
Financial Health

Is this company financially sound? The Z-Score measures bankruptcy risk. The F-Score measures fundamental strength.

Altman Z-Score
below 1.81 = distress zone
Piotroski F-Score
Earnings Beat Rate
50.0%
Earnings Consistency
Correlations

These tickers tend to move together (positive) or in opposite directions (negative). Useful for portfolio diversification.

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Inverse Correlated
TickerCorrelation
4264.SR-0.299
ALEC.AE-0.275
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7204.SR-0.206
Seasonality

Does this ticker have consistent patterns on certain days or months? Historical tendencies, not guarantees.

Best Day
Monday
Worst Day
Friday
Best Month
Jan
Worst Month
Apr
Fri-Mon Effect
-0.5380351982884897
Earnings Drift

After this company beats earnings, does the price keep going up? Drift tracks post-earnings momentum.

Avg Drift After Beat
+2.4%
Beat Drift Positive %
75.0%
Consistency
Momentum Rankings

How does this ticker's recent performance compare to the entire universe? Ranked across 1, 3, 6, and 12-month returns.

1M Return
-7.0%
3M Return
+18.0%
6M Return
+52.7%
12M Return
+73.4%
Momentum Rank
#835
Momentum Signal
STRONG_UP

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