The framework has shifted from accumulation to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved up 2.7% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 2% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 4%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 18%. The street (14 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $182.
Raymond James Financial
RJF · a US exchange · USD · Market cap $30.2B · 19,500 employees
Raymond James Financial, Inc., a diversified financial services company, provides private client group, capital markets, asset management, banking, and other services to individuals, corporations, and municipalities in t…
FAIL · Does not pass the screenPrice as of 6 Nov 2026Daily close, not a live quote
Screened 2026-11-06 · the tape above runs as of 14:00 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
Key facts today
- Price162.81 USD at the 6 Nov 2026 close
- Our value readUndervalued vs our fair value, as of 6 Nov 2026
- Our regime readMarkup, as of 7 Nov 2026
- Ethical screenDoes not pass
- OptionsOpen interest leans heavily to calls (put/call 0.30)
- Last reviewed6 Nov 2026 (1 days ago)
- Release timesRelease and earnings times on your chart: Event Guard Mentor
A summary of the dated readings below, not a live quote and not advice.
Our fair-value range: $182.88 to $304.79, base estimate $205.00 (screen dated 2026-11-06).
- Trend Markup
- Insiders no filings inside 60 days, left as found
- Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
- Options put/call open interest 0.30, read 2026-11-02
- Ethical does not pass the values gate
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
This name holds its markup label.
Raymond James Financial holds its Markup at $162.81. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 56 days.
| Phase | Markup |
| Quantitative state | Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 56 days |
| Price at the screen | $162.81 |
| Valuation | 13.20 trailing · 9.67 forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | FAIL · score 10.0 |
| Beta | 0.95 |
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Business activity screen
| Test | Figure | Limit | What it means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business activity | Excluded | Core business clean | Business activity: Financials sector | Fail |
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
The Ethical ReadWhy It Falls Short, in Plain English
Raymond James Financial does not clear the screen at the business-activity stage. It operates in conventional financial services, which the screen treats as interest-based, so the financial ratios are not the deciding factor here.
Read as at 2026-11-07. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.
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The Fair Value Range
Our analysis reads Undervalued vs our fair value, as of 6 Nov 2026: it trades at roughly a 20% discount to our $205.00 fair value, moderate competitive moat, 15.70% revenue growth.
How a fair value is estimated: discounted cash flow (DCF).
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-11-06 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 20.6% discount to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 14 covering, consensus Buy. The average target sits +12% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & ProjectionsWhere our models see it going: fair-value estimate $205.00, with a range of $182.88 to $304.79, dated to the 2026-11-06 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain WordsBrokers Can Look Cheap Yet Still Fail Us
Picture a steady wealth manager guiding retirees through market swings while quietly tripping an ethical screen on core business lines. That is Raymond James at 168 dollars a share, with analysts clustered around a 179 target and our own fair value at 195. We pass anyway.
Revenue is growing 13 percent and the firm earns a 17 percent return on equity with a moderate moat, yet the ethical failure on business activity rules it out regardless of the 11.9 times forward earnings or 15 percent profit margin. The 16 percent margin of safety to our number changes nothing when the screen is breached.
Risk sits in the ethical breach itself plus any cyclical pressure on asset management fees when markets turn. Analysis, not advice.
| Forward P/E | 9.7xcheap for a company growing this fast |
| Trailing P/E | 13.2xreasonably valued |
| EPS, trailing | 11.91 |
| EPS, forward | 16.26 |
| Revenue growth | +15.7%steady growth |
| Profit margin | 15.0%thin but positive margins |
| Return on equity | 18.7%a solid return on shareholder capital |
| Dividend yield | 140.00% |
| Debt to equity | 0.48minimal debt: a conservative balance sheet |
| Beta | 0.95steadier than the market |
| Short interest, float | 0.04% |
| 52-week range | 138.82 - 182.73 |
| Moat | MODERATE |
| Market cap | $30.2B |
| Employees | 19,500 |
Another profit measure, before interest, tax and non-cash costs: EBITDA.
The risks · The main risks here are ordinary market swings and the chance our fair-value read proves too optimistic.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to TradeRJF trades on a US exchange. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
Every Entry, As Written
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 2% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 4%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 18%. The street (14 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $184. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 2% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 4%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 18%. The street (14 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $184. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The framework has shifted from markdown to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 2% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 4%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 18%. The street (14 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $184. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 2% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 4%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 18%. The street (14 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $184. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 2% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 4%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 18%. The street (14 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $184. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 2% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 4%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 18%. The street (14 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $184. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 2% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 4%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 18%. The street (14 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $184. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.6% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 2% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 4%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 18%. The street (14 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $184. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 1.7% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 4%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 18%. The street (14 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $184.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
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Headlines from third-party outlets, linked for reference: not our reporting, not advice.
Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.
| Date | Insider | Title | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-19 | ALLAIRE BELLA LOYKHTER | Officer | 29,551 | $4,206,289 | |
| 2026-02-27 | AISENBREY CHRISTOPHER S | Officer | 600 | · | |
| 2026-02-24 | EDWARDS JEFFREY N. | Director | 1,503 | · | |
| 2026-02-19 | EDWARDS JEFFREY N. | Director | 1,253 | · | |
| 2026-02-19 | MISTARZ, CECILY | Director | 1,753 | · | |
| 2026-02-19 | DEBEL MARLENE | Director | 1,253 | · | |
| 2026-02-19 | ESTY BENJAMIN C | Director | 1,303 | · | |
| 2026-02-19 | SESHADRI RAJEEV | Director | 1,303 | · | |
| 2026-02-19 | BEGOR MARK W. | Director | 1,303 | · | |
| 2026-02-19 | MCGEARY RODERICK C | Director | 1,303 | · |
Public filings, recorded as found. The full tape lives at Insider Intelligence.
| Date | Politician | Party | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | Ro Khanna | Democrat | Purchase | 1K–15K |
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $151.04 | -0.1% | · | $999 | -0.1% |
| 2 months | $146.19 | +3.2% | · | $1,032 | +3.2% |
| 3 months | $144.04 | +4.7% | $0.54 | $1,051 | +5.1% |
| 6 months | $162.75 | -7.3% | $1.08 | $934 | -6.6% |
| 1 year | $144.94 | +4.1% | $2.08 | $1,055 | +5.5% |
| 2 years | $116.32 | +29.7% | $3.98 | $1,331 | +33.1% |
| 3 years | $91.63 | +64.6% | $5.72 | $1,709 | +70.9% |
| 5 years | $81.40 | +85.3% | $8.44 | $1,957 | +95.7% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever RJF does next, these words stay.
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