The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 1% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 13%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 16%. The street (19 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $627. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
Lockheed Martin LMT
Outside both standards
An entry written while the outcome is still unknown. It will be scored by what the market does next, and it will never be edited to look cleverer than it was.
In plain words · Lockheed Martin Corporation, an aerospace and defense company, engages in the research, design, development, manufacture, integration, and sustainment of technology systems, products, and services in the United States, E…
read at $582.60
Lockheed Martin holds its Markup at $582.60.
- PHPhase · the trend structure carries the Markup label
- INInsiders · no filings inside 60 days, left as found
- POPositioning · no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
- OPOptions · no verdict drawn today, left as found
- SCScreen · does not pass the values gate
- edge confirmed
- edge broken
- edge forming
Each arm is one independent read. Conviction is not a single call, it is how many edges converge.
The investor read · the season, not the day
| Phase | Markup |
| Quantitative state | The statistical read favours the buyers, held for 22 days |
| Price | $582.60 |
| Valuation | 21.48 trailing · 18.11 forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | FAIL · score 10.0 |
| Beta | 0.11 |
The opportunity · what the numbers say it is worth
Our framework reads AVOID — it trades at roughly a 7% discount to our $621.75 fair value, narrow competitive moat, 0.30% revenue growth.
Price history & projections · where it has been, where the models see it going
The valuation journey · where the price sits against fair value and the Street
Green marks levels above today's price, red below; the shaded band is the gap between the price and our fair value.
Reading the gap · Our model sees value the Street hasn't fully caught up to yet.
| Revenue growth | 0.30% |
| Profit margin | 6.38% |
| Debt to equity | 276.37 |
| Analyst consensus | Hold · 19 covering |
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; target range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The values screen, explained · five checks, plain English
This company is excluded by both standards. There are two widely recognised ways to check whether a company is suitable for a Muslim investor. It fails on both:
Used by most halal investing apps ✗ DOES NOT PASS
The one Titan applies ✗ DOES NOT PASS
Why it fails. The problem is its business activity screen. Because both standards agree on this, it is a clear exclusion, not a borderline case.
What these two standards are, and how they differ →
- Business activity Business activity: Aerospace & Defense Fail
Every security is read against two recognised standards: our stricter asset-based screen (ratios measured against total assets) and the more widely used market-value standard (measured against market capitalisation). Where they agree we say so plainly; where they part ways — almost always on the debt check — we show both readings and mark it, because that disagreement is the finding, not a fault. We report the score; you and your scholar make the call.
The business, in plain words · what the numbers mean
Defense giant fails the ethical test outright
Every time a new fighter jet rolls off the line or a missile system heads overseas, Lockheed Martin sits at the centre of the deal. We pass on the name because it fails our ethical screen on core business activity, and that verdict sits above any margin of safety calculation.
Revenue is flat, margins sit at six percent and the forward multiple looks reasonable at fifteen point nine times. Narrow moat and high return on equity do not change the fact that the ethical filter rules the stock out regardless of analyst targets near six hundred dollars.
The main risk is that investors overlook the screen when government spending looks reliable, yet that same exposure keeps the ethical red flag in place. Analysis, not advice.
| Forward P/E | 18.1x expensive even after accounting for its growth |
| Trailing P/E | 21.5x a premium valuation |
| Revenue growth | 0.3% slow but positive growth |
| Profit margin | 6.4% thin but positive margins |
| Return on equity | 67.6% an exceptional return on shareholder capital |
| Debt to equity | 2.76 heavy leverage — higher risk if revenue softens |
| Current ratio | 1.14 adequate liquidity, worth monitoring |
| Beta | 0.11 barely tracks the market's swings |
| Market cap | $134.0B |
| Employees | 123,000 |
The risks · The things to watch: it carries a real debt load, which raises the stakes if revenue slips.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Latest news · what the market is reading on LMT
- › Lockheed Martin’s Missile Contract Brings More Jobs, Higher Production Benzinga · 2d ago
- › Iran Tensions Illustrate Defense Supply Shortages That Will Benefit These 3 Stocks Motley Fool · 3d ago
- › Could Kratos (KTOS) Hypersonics Expansion Quietly Reframe Its Capacity and Defense-Contracting Narrative? Simply Wall St. · 3d ago
- › L3Harris Missile Business Is Booming. So Why Is the Stock Tanking? Barrons.com · 3d ago
- › Lockheed Martin Gets a ‘Mega’ Missile Contract. War Spending Hasn’t Peaked. Barrons.com · 3d ago
Headlines from third-party outlets, linked for reference — not our reporting, not advice.
Related securities · others in LMT's space worth a look
Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.
Where & how to trade · wherever in the world you are
LMT trades on a US exchange. As a US-listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering US markets. New to this, or investing from outside the US? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The trader read · the latest dated commentary
The dated journal · newest first, never edited
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 1% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 13%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 16%. The street (19 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $627. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 2.9% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 1% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 13%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 16%. The street (19 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $627. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 1% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 13%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 16%. The street (19 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $627. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 1% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 13%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 16%. The street (19 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $627. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 1% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 13%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 16%. The street (19 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $627. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
The insider ledger · Form 4 filings, as filed
| Date | Insider | Title | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-01 | HOLLUB VICKI A. | Director | 415 | · | |
| 2026-03-11 | CAHILL TIMOTHY S | Officer | 4,620 | $3,000,551 | |
| 2026-02-27 | ULMER GREGORY M | Officer | 2,840 | $1,868,947 | |
| 2026-02-26 | O'CONNOR KEVIN J | General Counsel | 5,285 | · | |
| 2026-02-24 | HILL STEPHANIE C | Officer | 2,410 | $1,592,149 | |
| 2026-02-20 | TAICLET JAMES D JR | Chief Executive Officer | 7,842 | · | |
| 2026-02-20 | ST JOHN FRANK A | Chief Operating Officer | 3,063 | · | |
| 2026-02-20 | ULMER GREGORY M | Officer | 2,059 | · | |
| 2026-02-20 | LIGHTFOOT ROBERT M JR | Officer | 2,059 | · | |
| 2026-02-20 | PAUL HARRY EDWARD III | Officer | 209 | · |
Public filings, recorded as found. The full tape lives at Insider Intelligence.
The political ledger · congressional disclosures
| Date | Politician | Party | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Feb2025 | Tim Walberg | Republican | buy | 1K–15K |
| 2024-07-20 | April McClain Delaney | buy | 8000 | |
| 2023-08-15 | Mark Green | buy | 20000 |
What holding actually paid · price plus dividends
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $508.92 | +3.3% | $3.45 | $1,040 | +4.0% |
| 2 months | $609.73 | -13.8% | $3.45 | $868 | -13.2% |
| 3 months | $648.58 | -18.9% | $3.45 | $816 | -18.4% |
| 6 months | $469.32 | +12.0% | $6.90 | $1,135 | +13.5% |
| 1 year | $464.38 | +13.2% | $13.65 | $1,161 | +16.1% |
| 2 years | $443.49 | +18.5% | $26.70 | $1,246 | +24.6% |
| 3 years | $426.93 | +23.1% | $39.15 | $1,323 | +32.3% |
| 5 years | $338.83 | +55.2% | $61.95 | $1,734 | +73.4% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.