NAS10029,644+0.67%S&P7,651+0.17%GOLD$4,416+0.37%BTC$81,118+6.17%VIX14.81−4.08%live tape · as of 15:00 UTC
The Screen · Consumer Cyclical · Lodging
Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc.
WH · the NYSE · USD · Market cap $5.1B · 2,000 employees
Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc.
FAIL · Does not pass the screen
69.31 USD
At the last full screen 2026-09-11
Screened 2026-09-11 · the tape above runs as of 15:00 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
The Label · The Season, Not the Day
This name holds its markdown label.
Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. holds its Markdown at $69.31. The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 264 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-09-11
Phase
Markdown · caution
Quantitative state
The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 264 days
Price at the screen
$69.31
Valuation
25.11 trailing · 13.00 forward price to earnings
Values screen
FAIL· score 70.0
Beta
0.64
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Debt ratio
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
61.29%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is 61.3% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows.
Fail
Interest-bearing cash
0.00%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
8.49%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 8.5% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Revenue purity
0.56%
Below 5%
Only 0.6% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-11 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 55.3% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 17 covering, consensus Buy. The average target sits +41% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-11 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Everyday hotel stays hide a cyclical franchisor
Picture a driver pulling into a familiar chain hotel after a long day on the road. The brand feels local yet the same logo appears across continents. Wyndham sits behind the largest franchised network in the business, with 8,300 properties and solid 38 percent ROE, yet the 4 percent revenue growth and cyclical lodging exposure keep us on the sidelines despite the 42 percent gap to our fair value.
The 14.3 times forward earnings and 13 percent profit margin look reasonable on paper and the ethical screen clears cleanly. Analyst consensus points to a $100 target, but the opportunity rating remains none because low single-digit growth in a sector tied to travel cycles rarely compounds the way a durable compounder should.
Lodging demand can swing sharply with recessions or fuel prices, so a low multiple here often signals peak earnings rather than a bargain. Currency moves and consumer spending shifts add further volatility. Analysis, not advice.
The risks · The things to watch: it carries a real debt load, which raises the stakes if revenue slips.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
WH trades on the NYSE. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited
Every Entry, As Written
2026-09-17Markdown · changed$69.31-7.8%Entry 5
The framework has shifted from distribution to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 7.8% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 7%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 21%. The street (17 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $100.
2026-08-18Distribution$75.21-5.3%Entry 4
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 5.3% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 7%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 21%. The street (17 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $100.
2026-07-18Distribution$79.39+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 7%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 21%. The street (17 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $100.
2026-07-03Distribution$79.39+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Distribution$79.39Entry 1
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
