Screened 2026-09-11 · the tape above runs as of 19:03 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
The Label · The Season, Not the Day
This name holds its distribution label.
Garrett Motion Inc. holds its Distribution at $27.62. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 19 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-09-11
Phase
Distribution · caution
Quantitative state
Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 19 days
Price at the screen
$27.62
Valuation
15.18 trailing · 12.01 forward price to earnings
Values screen
FAIL· score 70.0
Beta
0.80
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Debt ratio
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
62.06%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is 62.1% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows.
Fail
Interest-bearing cash
0.00%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
30.00%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 30.0% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Revenue purity
0.11%
Below 5%
Only 0.1% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-11 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 52.1% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 6 covering, consensus Buy. The average target sits +32% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-11 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Turbochargers Spin But Offer No Edge
Picture a mechanic in Stuttgart swapping a turbo on a diesel van. Garrett Motion builds those parts and more for cars and industrial kit, yet the numbers show steady but unremarkable progress at 12% revenue growth and 9% margins. With a forward multiple of 14.4 times and an opportunity rating of none, the shares sit below our fair value yet fail to clear the bar for real conviction.
The ethical screen clears, and six analysts lean buy with a $35 median target, but the auto-parts cycle remains the dominant force. Low multiples on cyclical earnings often signal peak rather than value, and an unknown moat leaves little protection when vehicle production slows or raw-material costs rise.
Risk therefore centres on that cyclical exposure and limited differentiation, which caps upside even at the current $31.77 price. Analysis, not advice.
The risks · The things to watch: its business and earnings are exposed to Switzerland and to currency swings.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
GTX trades on Nasdaq (the company is based in Switzerland). As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited
Every Entry, As Written
2026-08-31Distribution$26.27-17.3%Entry 5
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 17.3% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 85% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 213%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 44%. The street (6 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $36.
The framework has shifted from markup to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 5.3% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 85% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 213%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 44%. The street (6 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $36.
2026-07-18Markup$33.56+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 85% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 213%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 44%. The street (6 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $36.
2026-07-03Markup$33.56+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Markup$33.56Entry 1
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
