Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
Options put/call open interest 0.34, read 2026-11-02
Ethical does not pass the values gate
Price19.36 USD
Fair value38.63
Ethical score70.0/100
Value readUndervaluedas of 5 Nov 2026
Our investment reviews on this name
2026-10-26Read Distribution23.67-18.2% to today ✓Markdown gives way to Distribution
2026-10-22Read Markdown23.67-18.2% to today ✓Accumulation gives way to Markdown after an 8% slide in 6 days
2026-10-16Read Accumulation25.78-24.9% to today Markdown gives way to Accumulation with results news in the headlines
2026-10-02Read Markdown26.25-26.2% to today ✓Distribution gives way to Markdown after a 17% slide in 9 weeks
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
Garrett Motion Inc. holds its Distribution at $19.36. The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 11 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-11-05
Phase
Distribution · caution
Quantitative state
The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 11 days
Price at the screen
$19.36
Valuation
10.14 trailing · 8.71 forward price to earnings
Values screen
FAIL· score 70.0
Beta
0.96
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Debt ratio
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
62.06%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is 62.1% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows.
Fail
Interest-bearing cash
0.00%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
30.00%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 30.0% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Revenue purity
0.11%
Below 5%
Only 0.1% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
The Ethical Read
Why It Falls Short, in Plain English
Garrett Motion's business is in a permissible area, but its interest-bearing debt is about 62% of the company, well over the ~33% line, so it does not pass on the financial screens.
Read as at 2026-11-05. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.
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What the Numbers Say It Is Worth
The Fair Value Range
Our analysis reads Undervalued vs our fair value, as of 5 Nov 2026: it trades at roughly a 49% discount to our $38.63 fair value, 3.10% revenue growth.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-11-05 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 49.9% discount to the base estimate.
Where our models see it going: fair-value estimate $38.63, with a range of $33.20 to $39.54, dated to the 2026-11-05 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Turbochargers Spin But Offer No Edge
Picture a mechanic in Stuttgart swapping a turbo on a diesel van. Garrett Motion builds those parts and more for cars and industrial kit, yet the numbers show steady but unremarkable progress at 12% revenue growth and 9% margins. With a forward multiple of 14.4 times and an opportunity rating of none, the shares sit below our fair value yet fail to clear the bar for real conviction.
The ethical screen clears, and six analysts lean buy with a $35 median target, but the auto-parts cycle remains the dominant force. Low multiples on cyclical earnings often signal peak rather than value, and an unknown moat leaves little protection when vehicle production slows or raw-material costs rise.
Risk therefore centres on that cyclical exposure and limited differentiation, which caps upside even at the current $31.77 price. Analysis, not advice.
Another profit measure, before interest, tax and non-cash costs: EBITDA.
The risks · The things to watch: its business and earnings are exposed to Switzerland and to currency swings.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
GTX trades on Nasdaq (the company is based in Switzerland). As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited
Every Entry, As Written
2026-11-05Distribution$19.77-8.3%Entry 16
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 8.3% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 6% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 213%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 44%. The street (6 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $36.
2026-10-29Distribution$21.55-9.0%Entry 15
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 9.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 6% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 213%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 44%. The street (6 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $36. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-28Distribution$23.67+0.0%Entry 14
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 6% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 213%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 44%. The street (6 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $36. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-27Distribution$23.67+0.0%Entry 13
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 6% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 213%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 44%. The street (6 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $36. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The framework has shifted from markdown to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 6% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 213%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 44%. The street (6 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $36. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-25Markdown$23.67+0.0%Entry 11
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 8% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 213%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 44%. The street (6 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $36. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-24Markdown$23.67+0.0%Entry 10
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 8% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 213%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 44%. The street (6 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $36. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-23Markdown$23.67+0.0%Entry 9
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 8% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 213%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 44%. The street (6 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $36. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-22Markdown · changed$23.67-8.2%Entry 8
The framework has shifted from accumulation to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 8.2% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 8% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 213%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 44%. The street (6 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $36. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The framework has shifted from markdown to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 1.8% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 85% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 213%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 44%. The street (6 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $36.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
