ATMU · the NYSE · USD · Market cap $4.0B · 4,500 employees
Atmus Filtration Technologies Inc.
FAIL · Does not pass the screen
48.82 USD
At the last full screen 2026-08-27
Screened 2026-08-27 · the tape above runs as of 22:12 UTC · 11 Sep · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
The Label · The Season, Not the Day
This name holds its markdown label.
Atmus Filtration Technologies Inc. holds its Markdown at $48.82. The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 3 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-08-27
Phase
Markdown · caution
Quantitative state
The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 3 days
Price at the screen
$48.82
Valuation
18.70 trailing · 14.89 forward price to earnings
Values screen
FAIL· score 70.0
Beta
1.19
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Debt ratio
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
45.30%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is 45.3% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows.
Fail
Interest-bearing cash
0.00%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
41.20%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 41.2% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Revenue purity
0.00%
Below 5%
Only 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-08-27 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 42.5% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 5 covering, consensus Buy. The average target sits +37% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-08-27 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Engine filters run into the same cycle trap
Every lorry or tractor that keeps goods moving relies on fresh fuel and air filters to stay on the road. Atmus supplies those parts under the Fleetguard name and shows solid numbers, with revenue up 15 percent, a 12 percent profit margin and a striking 63 percent return on equity. Yet the shares trade at 15.9 times forward earnings against a cyclical auto-parts backdrop, and that combination rarely signals lasting value.
We pass because the business sits squarely inside consumer cyclical auto parts. A low multiple on peak earnings often masks the next downturn rather than offering a bargain, and the unknown moat leaves little protection when volumes fall. Analyst targets sit near 67 dollars while our own fair value implies more room, but the sector rhythm overrides the arithmetic.
Currency swings, raw-material costs and sudden drops in truck or equipment production remain the real threats. The ethical screen clears, yet the opportunity rating stays at none for these structural reasons. Analysis, not advice.
The risks · The things to watch: it carries a real debt load, which raises the stakes if revenue slips.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
ATMU trades on the NYSE. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited
Every Entry, As Written
2026-08-22Distribution$49.80-3.0%Entry 5
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 3.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 9% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 31%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 27%. The street (5 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $66.
2026-07-22Distribution$51.36+3.1%Entry 4
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved up 3.1% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 9% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 31%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 27%. The street (5 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $66.
2026-07-18Distribution$49.80+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 9% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 31%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 27%. The street (5 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $66.
2026-07-03Distribution$49.80+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Distribution$49.80Entry 1
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
