NAS10029,644+0.67%S&P7,651+0.17%GOLD$4,417−0.18%BTC$81,133−0.12%VIX14.81−4.08%live tape · as of 23:00 UTC · 20 Sep
The Screen · Consumer Cyclical · Recreational Vehicles
Brunswick Corporation
BC · the NYSE · USD · Market cap $4.6B · 14,000 employees
Brunswick Corporation designs, manufactures, and markets recreation products in the United States, Europe, the Asia-Pacific, Canada, and internationally.
FAIL · Does not pass the screen
70.72 USD
At the last full screen 2026-09-11
Screened 2026-09-11 · the tape above runs as of 23:00 UTC · 20 Sep · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
PRICE · FAIR-VALUE RANGE1M3M6MYTD1Y3Y5Y
What this means: price 70.72 against the desk's fair-value range, base estimate 81.26, over the last year.
Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
Options no verdict drawn today, left as found
Ethical does not pass the values gate
Price70.72 USD
Fair value81.26
Ethical score70.0/100
Our investment reviews on this name
2026-08-22Read Accumulation81.25-13.0% to today
2026-07-02Read Markup82.56-14.3% to today
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against today's price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
Brunswick Corporation holds its Markdown at $70.72. The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 144 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-09-11
Phase
Markdown · caution
Quantitative state
The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 144 days
Price at the screen
$70.72
Valuation
N/A trailing · 13.06 forward price to earnings
Values screen
FAIL· score 70.0
Beta
1.33
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Debt ratio
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
42.97%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is 43.0% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows.
Fail
Interest-bearing cash
0.02%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
14.68%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 14.7% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Revenue purity
0.13%
Below 5%
Only 0.1% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-11 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 14.9% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 17 covering, consensus Buy. The average target sits +27% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-11 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Boats Look Cheap Until The Cycle Turns
Picture a weekend boater in Florida trading up to a bigger engine and a new hull. That purchase flows straight into Brunswick's propulsion and boat segments. The business shows 13% revenue growth and clears our ethical screen, yet it still fails our opportunity test. Negative profit margins and an 8% negative return on equity tell us earnings are fragile even before any slowdown hits.
The 15 times forward earnings multiple looks reasonable next to a 12% gap to our fair value. Analysts like the name and set targets near 90 dollars. We see a classic cyclical setup instead. Low multiples on peak or recovering earnings often mask the next downturn rather than signal a bargain.
Currency moves, fuel prices and discretionary spending swings can all hammer volumes fast. With no clear moat and returns already below zero, the margin of safety offers little protection if the cycle rolls over. Analysis, not advice.
The risks · The things to watch: it already moves more than the market on an average day.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
BC trades on the NYSE. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The framework has shifted from markup to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 1.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 15% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 40%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%. The street (17 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $90.
2026-07-22Markup$80.45-2.6%Entry 4
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 2.6% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 15% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 40%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%. The street (17 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $90.
2026-07-18Markup$82.56+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 15% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 40%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%. The street (17 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $90.
2026-07-03Markup$82.56+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Markup$82.56Entry 1
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
