Bridgestone Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells tires and rubber products in Japan, China, India, the Asia Pacific, the United States, the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa.
FAIL · Does not pass the screen
11.89 USD
Screen close, 2026-09-21 · not a live quote
Screened 2026-09-21 · the tape above runs as of 11:00 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
PRICE · FAIR-VALUE RANGE1M3M6MYTD1Y3Y5Y
What this means: price 11.89 against the desk's fair-value range, base estimate 12.69, over the last year.
Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
Options no verdict drawn today, left as found
Ethical does not pass the values gate
Price11.89 USD
Fair value12.69
Ethical score70.0/100
RatingAVOID
Our investment reviews on this name
2026-07-02Read Markup10.61+12.1% to today ✓
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
Bridgestone Corporation holds its Distribution at $11.89. The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 8 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-09-21
Phase
Distribution · caution
Quantitative state
The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 8 days
Price at the screen
$11.89
Valuation
18.87 trailing · 6.43 forward price to earnings
Values screen
FAIL· score 70.0
Beta
0.47
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Debt ratio
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
3,140.90%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is 3,140.9% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows.
Fail
Interest-bearing cash
2,710.97%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing cash and securities are 2,711.0% of assets, above the one-third limit.
Fail
Receivables
0.00%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 0.0% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Revenue purity
0.00%
Below 5%
Only 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
What the Numbers Say It Is Worth
The Fair Value Range
Our framework reads AVOID: it trades at roughly a 7% discount to our $12.69 fair value, weak competitive moat, 14.20% revenue growth.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-21 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 6.7% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-21 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Tyres roll on but debt and cycles bite
Every vehicle eventually needs new rubber, yet Bridgestone trades at a forward multiple of just 6.2 times while sitting above our fair value. The low price looks tempting until you remember this is a cyclical auto parts business where peak earnings often coincide with the lowest multiples. On top of that the ethical screen flags the debt ratio, so we pass.
Revenue is growing at 5 percent with an 8 percent profit margin and 9 percent return on equity, but the moat is weak and one lone analyst sees little upside from here. The combination of modest returns and balance sheet concerns outweighs any apparent cheapness.
Cyclical exposure means earnings can drop sharply when car sales slow, turning the low multiple into a trap rather than a bargain. Analysis, not advice.
The risks · The things to watch: its business and earnings are exposed to Japan and to currency swings.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
BRDCY trades on PNK (the company is based in Japan). As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited
Every Entry, As Written
2026-08-23Markup$12.93+12.5%Entry 5
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 12.5% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 5%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 11%. The street (1 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $11.
2026-07-23Markup$11.49+8.3%Entry 4
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 8.3% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 5%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 11%. The street (1 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $11.
2026-07-18Markup$10.61+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 5%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 11%. The street (1 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $11.
2026-07-03Markup$10.61+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Markup$10.61Entry 1
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
