2026-10-25
Genuine Parts clears the business-activity screen and the figures we can measure look clean, but one or more financial figures are still pending, so the verdict is not final yet.
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latest tape · as of 18:01 UTC
The Screen · Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts
Genuine Parts Company
GPC · a US exchange · USD · Market cap $16.7B · 65,000 employees
Genuine Parts Company distributes automotive and industrial replacement parts.
Not yet scored124.44 USD
Price as of 5 Nov 2026Daily close, not a live quote
Screened 2026-11-05 · the tape above runs as of 18:01 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
Key facts today
- Price124.44 USD at the 5 Nov 2026 close
- Our value readUndervalued vs our fair value, as of 5 Nov 2026
- Our regime readDistribution, as of 5 Nov 2026
- Ethical screenNot yet scored
- OptionsOpen interest leans heavily to calls (put/call 0.39)
- Last reviewed5 Nov 2026 (1 days ago)
- Release timesRelease and earnings times on your chart: Event Guard Mentor
A summary of the dated readings below, not a live quote and not advice.
PRICE · ONE YEAR
Our fair-value range: $134.28 to $223.80, base estimate $155.02 (screen dated 2026-11-05).
- Trend Distribution
- Insiders no filings inside 60 days, left as found
- Positioning political buying, disclosed 2026-09-11
- Options put/call open interest 0.39, read 2026-11-05
- Ethical screen not yet scored
Price124.44 USD
Fair value155.02
Ethical score84.7/100
Value readUndervaluedas of 5 Nov 2026
Our investment reviews on this name
2026-10-27Read Distribution133.96-7.1% to today ✓Accumulation gives way to Distribution
2026-10-16Read Accumulation133.51-6.8% to today Markdown gives way to Accumulation after a 5% rise in 2 weeks
2026-10-02Read Markdown126.95-2.0% to today ✓Markup gives way to Markdown with results news in the headlines
2026-07-31Read Markup129.71-4.1% to today Distribution gives way to Markup after a 32% rise in 4 weeks
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
The full research record, in depth, below
This name holds its distribution label.
Genuine Parts Company holds its Distribution at $124.44. The statistical read favours the buyers, held for 58 days.
| Phase | Distribution · caution |
| Quantitative state | The statistical read favours the buyers, held for 58 days |
| Price at the screen | $124.44 |
| Valuation | 465.00 trailing · 14.86 forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | Not scored · score 84.7 |
| Beta | 0.68 |
Five Screens, Shown in Full
This security has not been fully scored against the values screen yet.
| Test | Figure | Limit | What it means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business activity | Permissible | Core business clean | Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. | Pass |
| Debt load | 31.43% | Below 33% | Interest-bearing debt is just 31.4% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money. | Pass |
| Interest-bearing cash | 0.00% | Below 33% | Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit. | Pass |
| Receivables | 13.70% | Below 49% | Money owed to the company is 13.7% of assets, under the 49% limit. | Pass |
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
The Ethical ReadThe Read, in Plain English
Genuine Parts clears the business-activity screen and the figures we can measure look clean, but one or more financial figures are still pending, so the verdict is not final yet.
Read as at 2026-11-05. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.
2026-09-24
Clears
Genuine Parts clears all five screens. Its business is in a permissible area, its interest-bearing debt is about 31%, inside the ~33% line, and almost none of its income is interest, so it passes.
Earlier reads, kept as written. The ethical profile is tracked over time, not overwritten.
What the Numbers Say It Is WorthThe Fair Value Range
Our analysis reads Undervalued vs our fair value, as of 5 Nov 2026: it trades at roughly an 18% discount to our $155.02 fair value, weak competitive moat, 4.20% revenue growth.
How a fair value is estimated: discounted cash flow (DCF).
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-11-05 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 19.7% discount to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 9 covering, consensus Buy. The average target sits +5% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & ProjectionsWhere our models see it going: fair-value estimate $155.02, with a range of $134.28 to $223.80, dated to the 2026-11-05 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain WordsCar Parts Flow But Profits Have Vanished
Every workshop that fixes a van or every plant that needs a bearing relies on steady distribution. Genuine Parts Company moves those automotive and industrial spares through its North American and international networks. Revenue is rising 7 percent, the shares sit at 15 times forward earnings with a 20 percent gap to fair value, and the name clears the ethical screen.
Profit margins are zero and return on equity is only 1 percent. In a cyclical auto parts business with a weak moat, that low multiple often flags peak earnings rather than a bargain. Analyst targets sit just above the current price and offer little cushion.
Slowing vehicle sales, online rivals and any downturn in industrial spending would hit volumes fast. The numbers show a business under real pressure despite the surface appeal. Analysis, not advice.
| Forward P/E | 14.9xexpensive even after accounting for its growth |
| Trailing P/E | 465.0xexpensive: the price assumes strong growth ahead |
| EPS, trailing | 0.26 |
| EPS, forward | 8.14 |
| Revenue growth | +4.2%slow but positive growth |
| Profit margin | 0.1%barely profitable |
| Return on equity | 0.7%a modest return on shareholder capital |
| FCF yield | 5.49% |
| Dividend yield | 4.37% |
| Debt to equity | 1.46a meaningful debt load worth watching |
| Current ratio | 1.22adequate liquidity, worth monitoring |
| Beta | 0.68steadier than the market |
| Short interest, float | 0.06% |
| 52-week range | 90.78 - 151.57 |
| Moat | WEAK |
| Market cap | $16.7B |
| Employees | 65,000 |
Another profit measure, before interest, tax and non-cash costs: EBITDA.
The risks · The main risks here are ordinary market swings and the chance our fair-value read proves too optimistic.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to TradeGPC trades on a US exchange. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
Every Entry, As Written
2026-11-03
Distribution $120.90
-9.7% Entry 16
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 9.7% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 3% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 20%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 14%. The street (7 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $132.
2026-10-27
Distribution · changed $133.96
+0.0% Entry 15
The framework has shifted from accumulation to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 3% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 20%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 14%. The street (7 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $132.
2026-10-20
Accumulation $133.96
+0.0% Entry 14
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 12% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are down 20%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 14%. The street (7 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $132. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-19
Accumulation $133.96
+0.0% Entry 13
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 12% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are down 20%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 14%. The street (7 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $132. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-18
Accumulation $133.96
+0.0% Entry 12
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are down 20%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 14%. The street (7 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $132. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-17
Accumulation $133.96
+0.3% Entry 11
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 0.3% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are down 20%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 14%. The street (7 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $132. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-16
Accumulation · changed $133.51
+5.1% Entry 10
The framework has shifted from markdown to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 5.1% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are down 20%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 14%. The street (7 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $132. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-15
Markdown $127.02
+0.0% Entry 9
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are down 20%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 14%. The street (7 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $132. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-14
Markdown $127.02
+0.0% Entry 8
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are down 20%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 14%. The street (7 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $132. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-13
Markdown $127.02
+0.1% Entry 7
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved up 0.1% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are down 20%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 14%. The street (7 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $132. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
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| Date | Insider | Title | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-05 | HOWE JAMES F. | Officer | 415 | $43,297 | |
| 2026-05-04 | HOWE JAMES F. | Officer | 1,392 | $144,893 | |
| 2026-05-01 | HARDIN PAUL RUSSELL | Director | 1,673 | · | |
| 2026-05-01 | COX RICHARD JR. | Director | 1,673 | · | |
| 2026-05-01 | LAFONT JEAN-JACQUES | Director | 1,673 | · | |
| 2026-05-01 | HYLAND DONNA WESTBROOK | Director | 1,673 | · | |
| 2026-05-01 | PRYOR JULIETTE WILLIAMS | Director | 1,673 | · | |
| 2026-05-01 | STENGEL WILLIAM P. II | Chief Executive Officer | 29,753 | · | |
| 2026-05-01 | HULETT JENNIFER | Officer | 4,572 | · | |
| 2026-05-01 | NAPPIER HERBERT C. IV | Chief Financial Officer | 11,450 | · |
Public filings, recorded as found. The full tape lives at Insider Intelligence.
| Date | Politician | Party | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Ro Khanna | Democrat | buy | 1K–15K |
| 2026-09-11 | Ro Khanna | Democrat | buy | 1K–15K |
| 2026-09-11 | Ro Khanna | Democrat | buy | 1K–15K |
| 2026-04-13 | Ro Khanna | Democrat | Sale | 1K–15K |
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $100.33 | -2.7% | $1.06 | $984 | -1.6% |
| 2 months | $106.35 | -8.2% | $1.06 | $928 | -7.2% |
| 3 months | $105.86 | -7.8% | $1.06 | $932 | -6.8% |
| 6 months | $131.31 | -25.7% | $2.13 | $760 | -24.0% |
| 1 year | $122.16 | -20.1% | $4.19 | $833 | -16.7% |
| 2 years | $133.24 | -26.7% | $8.25 | $795 | -20.5% |
| 3 years | $141.85 | -31.2% | $12.15 | $774 | -22.6% |
| 5 years | $111.78 | -12.7% | $19.26 | $1,046 | +4.6% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever GPC does next, these words stay.
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