AZO
AutoZone
Consumer Discretionary · Automotive Retail · US
$3,496.19
Close 2025-08-31
✗ ETHICAL FAIL

UNKNOWN MOAT
HIGH
Data Confidence: 86%
Full financial profile available
Market Cap
$57.9B
Trailing P/E
24.50
Forward P/E
20.00
Rev Growth
+8.2%
Profit Margin
12.5%
ROE
Analyst Target
$4,204.74
Recommendation
NONE
About AutoZone

AutoZone, Inc. operates as a retailer and distributor of automotive replacement parts and accessories in the United States, Mexico, and Brazil. The company offers a product line for cars, sport utility vehicles, vans, and light duty trucks, including new and remanufactured automotive hard parts, maintenance items, accessories, and non-automotive products. It also provides A/C compressors, batteries and accessories, bearings, belts and hoses, calipers, chassis, clutches, CV axles, engines, fuel pumps, fuses, ignition and lighting products, mufflers, radiators, starters and alternators, thermostats, and water pumps, as well as tire repairs. In addition, the company provides maintenance products, such as antifreeze and windshield washer fluids; brake drums, rotors, shoes, and pads; brake and power steering fluids, and oil and fuel additives; oil and transmission fluids; oil, cabin, air, fuel, and transmission filters; oxygen sensors; paints and accessories; refrigerants and accessories; shock absorbers and struts; spark plugs and wires; and windshield wipers. Further, it offers air fresheners, cell phone accessories, drinks and snacks, floor mats and seat covers, interior and exterior accessories, mirrors, performance products, protectants and cleaners, sealants and adhesives, steering wheel covers, tools, vehicle entertainment systems, and wash and wax products, as well as towing services. Additionally, the company provides a sales program that offers commercial credit and delivery of parts and other products; sells automotive diagnostic, repair, collision, and shop management information software under the ALLDATA brand through alldata.com; Duralast branded products through duralastparts.com; and automotive hard parts, maintenance items, accessories, and non-automotive products through autozone.com. AutoZone, Inc. was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee.

Opportunity Summary
Trading near fair value at $3496 (estimated $3500). Fails ethical screen (Debt ratio). Ranks better than 8% of screened stocks.
Ethical Screen
Business ActivityPASS
Debt Ratio (0.63%)FAIL
Cash Ratio (0.00%)PASS
Receivables Ratio (0.05%)PASS
Revenue Ratio (0.00%)PASS
OverallFAIL
Score Ethical: 10.0
Score Valuation: 56.5
Score Quality: 35.0
Score Combined: 33.4
Fair Value Est: $3,500.00 · Margin of Safety: +0.1% · Tier: AVOID

Full Analysis

Opportunity scores, earnings history, insider transactions, institutional holders, analyst consensus, and more.

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Opportunity Scores
Valuation94.6
Quality36.5
Cash Flow18.8
Moat40.0
Balance Sheet50.0
Debt Purity0.0
Liquid Purity100.0
Rev Purity98.8
Compliance58.5
Tier: BRONZE · Score: 51.8 · Rank: #1458
Earnings History (Last 8 Quarters)
DateEPS Est.Reported EPSSurprise %
2026-05-2636.17Pending--
2026-03-0327.4127.63+0.8%
2025-12-0932.3531.04-4.0%
2025-09-2350.7248.71-4.0%
2025-05-2737.2735.36-5.1%
2025-03-0429.2028.29-3.1%
2024-12-1033.7832.52-3.7%
2024-09-2453.5548.11-10.2%
Quarterly Financials
PeriodRevenueNet IncomeEBITDAGross ProfitOp. IncomeEPS
2026-02-28$4.3B$468.9M$854.1M$2.2B$698.5M28.29
2025-11-30$4.6B$530.8M$932.4M$2.4B$784.2M31.88
2025-08-31$6.2B$837.0M$1.4B$3.2B$1.2B50.02
2025-05-31$4.5B$608.4M$1.0B$2.4B$866.2M36.33
2025-02-28$4.0B$487.9M$844.7M$2.1B$706.8M29.06
2024-11-30
Insider Transactions
DateNameRoleSharesValue
2026-04-10GRAVES EARL G JRDirector50$173.9K
2026-03-31BEDSOLE JENNA MOfficer5$13.5K
2026-03-31DANIELE PHILIP B. IIIChief Executive Officer12$33.8K
2026-03-31JAYCOX KENNETH EOfficer1$3.4K
2026-03-31BORNINKHOF MICHELLE KChief Technology Officer4$10.1K
2026-03-31MURPHY JOHN SCOTTOfficer5$13.5K
2026-03-31JACKSON JAMEREChief Financial Officer1$3.4K
2026-01-23SMITH RICHARD CRAIGOfficer5,910$21.9M
2026-01-23SMITH RICHARD CRAIGOfficer5,910$3.5M
2026-01-16SMITH RICHARD CRAIGOfficer3,190$11.2M
Top Institutional Holders
HolderSharesValue% Held
Blackrock Inc.1.2M$4.2B0.1%
JPMORGAN CHASE & CO1.1M$3.9B0.1%
Vanguard Capital Management LLC1.1M$3.7B0.1%
State Street Corporation702.9K$2.4B0.0%
Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC545.8K$1.9B0.0%
Morgan Stanley446.1K$1.5B0.0%
Geode Capital Management, LLC414.7K$1.4B0.0%
Price (T.Rowe) Associates Inc391.0K$1.3B0.0%
Royal Bank of Canada325.5K$1.1B0.0%
FMR, LLC285.7K$973.3M0.0%
Analyst Recommendations
3 Months Ago
4
17
4
26 analysts
2 Months Ago
4
18
5
28 analysts
Last Month
4
17
6
28 analysts
Current
4
17
4
26 analysts
Strong Buy Buy Hold Sell Strong Sell
Additional Fundamentals
Enterprise Value
$68.7B
Price/Book
-19.35
Beta
0.436
Analysts
23
Total Revenue (TTM)
$19.6B
Total Debt
$12.8B
Earnings Growth
-2.3%
Rec. Mean
1.58
Short Ratio
1.76
Short % Float
0.0%
Employees
78,000

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Trade Consideration
The Opportunity
Score 33.4 (P25 — top 74.9% of scored tickers). Unknown Moat. Ethical FAIL. 23 analysts at Buy.
Price: $3,496.19 | Target: $4,204.74 (+20%) | Fair Value: $3,500.00 (+0%)
Score
33
Moat
UNKNOWN
Conviction
Standard
Upside
+20%
The Fundamentals
Revenue Growth+8.2%
Profit Margin0.0%
Forward P/E20.0
Market Cap$57.9B
Earnings Track Record
DateEstimateReportedSurprise
2026-05-26$36.17Pending
2026-03-03$27.41$27.63+0.8%
2025-12-09$32.35$31.04-4.0%
2025-09-23$50.72$48.71-4.0%
2025-05-27$37.27$35.36-5.1%
2025-03-04$29.20$28.29-3.1%
Position Sizing Scenarios
Stop: $2,971.76 (-15%) | Entry: $3,496.19
SharesCostProfit to TargetR:R
To Consensus ($4,204.74, 23 analysts)
10$34,961.90+$7,085.50 (20%)1.4R
50$174,809.50+$35,427.50 (20%)1.4R
100$349,619.00+$70,855.00 (20%)1.4R
To Fair Value ($3,500.00)
10$34,961.90+$38.10 (0%)0.0R
50$174,809.50+$190.50 (0%)0.0R
100$349,619.00+$381.00 (0%)0.0R
Risk Factors
  • No elevated risk flags in current data
The Verdict
AutoZone holds a unknown competitive moat.
Quantitative Grade

A single score combining all analytical layers below. A is strongest, D is weakest.

D
Quant Score
30.3
Risk Grade
LOW_RISK
Layers
8
Quality: HMM_CRISIS
Risk Profile

How much could this ticker lose on a bad day? These metrics measure worst-case scenarios from historical data.

VaR 95%
-2.5%
worst expected daily loss, 19 in 20 days
CVaR 95%
-3.8%
avg loss on the worst 5% of days
Annual Volatility
Sortino Ratio
0.27
above 1.0 is good
Max Drawdown
-28.8%
Worst Day
Forward Outlook

Based on 10,000 simulated price paths, here is the probability of where this ticker could be in 30, 60, and 90 days.

30d Prob Up
90d Prob Up
Median Return 30d
Liquidity Score
95
Liquidity Grade
HIGHLY LIQUID
Trend & Momentum

What direction is this ticker actually moving, filtered through noise? Is it speeding up or slowing down?

Kalman Trend
Trend Strength
Momentum Signal
HMM Regime
RSI Signal
Technical Signals

Classic chart signals that institutional traders monitor. Golden Cross is bullish, Death Cross is bearish.

MA Crossover
BELOW_200
Bollinger Position
BELOW_LOWER
Beta
Relative Volume
1.7x
Short Interest
Financial Health

Is this company financially sound? The Z-Score measures bankruptcy risk. The F-Score measures fundamental strength.

Altman Z-Score
below 1.81 = distress zone
Piotroski F-Score
Earnings Beat Rate
25.0%
Earnings Consistency
Correlations

These tickers tend to move together (positive) or in opposite directions (negative). Useful for portfolio diversification.

Most Correlated
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Inverse Correlated
TickerCorrelation
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Seasonality

Does this ticker have consistent patterns on certain days or months? Historical tendencies, not guarantees.

Best Day
Monday
Worst Day
Tuesday
Best Month
Jan
Worst Month
May
Fri-Mon Effect
-0.2890581722886419
Earnings Drift

After this company beats earnings, does the price keep going up? Drift tracks post-earnings momentum.

Avg Drift After Beat
-7.1%
Beat Drift Positive %
0.0%
Consistency
Momentum Rankings

How does this ticker's recent performance compare to the entire universe? Ranked across 1, 3, 6, and 12-month returns.

1M Return
-13.3%
3M Return
-18.1%
6M Return
-19.5%
12M Return
-19.7%
Momentum Rank
#4091
Momentum Signal
DOWN

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