Screened 2026-09-11 · the tape above runs as of 19:03 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
The Label · The Season, Not the Day
This name holds its markdown label.
Mobileye Global Inc. holds its Markdown at $8.25. The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 10 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-09-11
Phase
Markdown · caution
Quantitative state
The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 10 days
Price at the screen
$8.25
Valuation
N/A trailing · 16.99 forward price to earnings
Values screen
Not scored· score 70.0
Beta
1.21
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
This security has not been fully scored against the values screen yet.
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
Excluded
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows.
Fail
Interest-bearing cash
0.00%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
15.75%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 15.7% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Revenue purity
3.33%
Below 5%
Only 3.3% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-11 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. The price runs 3.8% above the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 24 covering, consensus Buy. The average target sits +39% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Our more conservative model reads it as fully-to-richly valued here, while the Street is more bullish: a quality-at-a-fair-price name rather than a deep-value one.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-11 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Autonomous Driving Tech Still Drowns In Losses
Picture a chip that spots every pedestrian yet still cannot turn a profit on any mile driven. Mobileye shows 27% revenue growth and passes our ethical screen, yet forward earnings sit at 26.5 times while the firm posts a 204% negative profit margin and 41% negative return on equity. Fair value sits just 1% above the current price, leaving no real margin of safety and an opportunity rating of none.
Analyst chatter calls it a buy with an 11 dollar median target, but those numbers ignore the simple fact that heavy losses continue even as sales rise. The business splits between its core ADAS segment and the Moovit mobility app, yet neither has shown a path to consistent profits.
Currency moves, execution delays in China and the need to keep pouring cash into research keep the downside live. The market price already reflects most of the optimism on offer. Analysis, not advice.
The risks · The things to watch: its business and earnings are exposed to Israel and to currency swings.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
MBLY trades on Nasdaq (the company is based in Israel). As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited
Every Entry, As Written
2026-09-05Markdown · changed$8.68+9.9%Entry 5
The framework has shifted from distribution to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved up 9.9% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are down 43%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 21%. The street (29 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $13.
The framework has shifted from markup to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 14.3% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are down 43%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 21%. The street (29 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $13.
2026-07-18Markup$9.22-1.3%Entry 3
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 1.3% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are down 43%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 21%. The street (29 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $13.
2026-07-03Markup$9.34+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Markup$9.34Entry 1
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
