Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
Options put/call open interest 1.86, read 2026-11-01
Ethical does not pass the values gate
Price213.36 USD
Fair value193.31
Ethical score10.0/100
Value readFairas of 5 Nov 2026
Our investment reviews on this name
2026-11-02Read Distribution190.17+12.2% to today Markup gives way to Distribution first Distribution read since October
2026-10-30Read Markup193.39+10.3% to today ✓Distribution gives way to Markup after an 8% slide in 6 weeks
2026-09-15Read Distribution211.14+1.1% to today Markup gives way to Distribution with volume flow in agreement
2026-07-02Read Markup214.39-0.5% to today First review on file: Markup
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
Take-Two Interactive holds its Markup at $213.36. The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 8 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-11-05
Phase
Markup
Quantitative state
The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 8 days
Price at the screen
$213.36
Valuation
N/A trailing · 18.81 forward price to earnings
Values screen
FAIL· score 10.0
Beta
0.97
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Debt ratio
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
44.72%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is 44.7% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows.
Fail
Interest-bearing cash
0.10%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.1% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
24.26%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 24.3% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Revenue purity
1.75%
Below 5%
Only 1.8% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
The Ethical Read
Why It Falls Short, in Plain English
Take-Two Interactive's business is in a permissible area, but its interest-bearing debt is about 45% of the company, well over the ~33% line, so it does not pass on the financial screens.
Read as at 2026-11-05. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.
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What the Numbers Say It Is Worth
The Fair Value Range
Our analysis reads Fair vs our fair value, as of 5 Nov 2026: it trades above our $193.31 fair value estimate, weak competitive moat, 2.00% revenue growth.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-11-05 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. The price runs 10.4% above the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 29 covering, consensus Strong Buy. The average target sits +36% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Our more conservative model reads it as fully-to-richly valued here, while the Street is more bullish: a quality-at-a-fair-price name rather than a deep-value one.
Where our models see it going: fair-value estimate $193.31, with a range of $153.00 to $222.31, dated to the 2026-11-05 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Grand Theft Auto Cannot Hide Weak Numbers
Picture the next Grand Theft Auto launch and the queues outside stores. Take-Two still trades well above our fair value at a forward multiple of 23.7 times, while revenue grows only 6 percent and margins sit at minus 4 percent. We pass because the business shows a weak moat, negative return on equity of 11 percent and already fails our ethical screen on debt levels.
Analysts may cluster around a 289 dollar target, yet the gap to our 205.87 dollar fair value leaves a 13 percent shortfall before any growth materialises. Hit-driven releases can swing results sharply, and the company has yet to prove it can deliver consistent profits across cycles.
The combination of stretched valuation, thin margins and the debt screen failure keeps the opportunity rating at avoid. Analysis, not advice.
Another profit measure, before interest, tax and non-cash costs: EBITDA.
The risks · The main risks here are ordinary market swings and the chance our fair-value read proves too optimistic.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
TTWO trades on a US exchange. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited
Every Entry, As Written
2026-11-06Distribution$213.36+2.1%Entry 14
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved up 2.1% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 10%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 21%. The street (27 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $280. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-11-05Distribution$208.90+7.1%Entry 13
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved up 7.1% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 10%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 21%. The street (27 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $280. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-11-04Distribution$194.99+2.5%Entry 12
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved up 2.5% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 10%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 21%. The street (27 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $280. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-11-03Distribution$190.17+0.0%Entry 11
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 10%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 21%. The street (27 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $280. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The framework has shifted from markup to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 1.7% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 10%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 21%. The street (27 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $280. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-30Markup · changed$193.39-7.6%Entry 9
The framework has shifted from distribution to markup since the last review. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 7.6% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 10%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 21%. The street (27 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $280.
2026-10-23Distribution$209.38+0.0%Entry 8
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 10%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 21%. The street (27 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $280.
2026-10-16Distribution$209.38+3.5%Entry 7
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved up 3.5% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 10%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 21%. The street (27 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $280.
2026-10-02Distribution$202.35-4.2%Entry 6
Our analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 4.2% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 10%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 21%. The street (27 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $280. Since the last review it entered the Titan Ethical 500.
The framework has shifted from markup to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 10.1% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 10%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 21%. The street (27 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $280.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.