Screened 2026-09-03 · the tape above runs as of 22:12 UTC · 11 Sep · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
The Label · The Season, Not the Day
This name holds its accumulation label.
Electronic Arts holds its Accumulation at $209.70. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 164 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-09-03
Phase
Accumulation
Quantitative state
Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 164 days
Price at the screen
$209.70
Valuation
59.74 trailing · 21.72 forward price to earnings
Values screen
PASS· score 0.0
Beta
0.64
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Full pass across all five screens. This security clears the Titan Ethical Standard: its business and its balance sheet both stay inside the lines.
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
11.79%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is just 11.8% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money.
Pass
Interest-bearing cash
0.88%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.9% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
26.62%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 26.6% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Revenue purity
0.93%
Below 5%
Only 0.9% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
What the Numbers Say It Is Worth
The Fair Value Range
Our framework reads AVOID: it trades at roughly a 0% discount to our $210.00 fair value, moderate competitive moat, 18.90% revenue growth.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-03 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 0.1% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 13 covering, consensus Hold. The average target sits +0% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Our model and the Street both land near today's price: fairly valued, with no strong edge either way.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-03 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Electronic Arts trades at almost no discount
Millions queue up for the latest FIFA or Battlefield release every year, yet Electronic Arts offers almost nothing in the way of a bargain. The shares sit within a whisker of our fair value at a forward multiple of 21.7 times, with revenue growing 12 percent and margins stuck at 12 percent. Moderate moat, 13 percent return on equity and a consensus hold rating tell the same story: steady but unexciting, with no margin of safety.
We pass for the simple reason that price and value have met. Revenue purity concerns leave the ethical screen inconclusive, so there is no extra credit on governance or product lines to tilt the balance.
Gaming demand can swing hard with new console cycles and player fatigue, and a moderate moat leaves room for rivals to chip away. The lack of discount removes the usual cushion against those swings. Analysis, not advice.
The risks · The main risks here are ordinary market swings and the chance our fair-value read proves too optimistic.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
EA trades on a US exchange. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The framework has shifted from markdown to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 0.4% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with ethical pass with moderate score. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 2% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 39%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 20%. The street (15 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $203.
2026-07-27Markdown$208.90+2.9%Entry 4
The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved up 2.9% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 2% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 39%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 20%. The street (15 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $203.
2026-07-18Markdown$203.00+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 2% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 39%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 20%. The street (15 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $203.
2026-07-03Markdown$203.00+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Markdown$203.00Entry 1
The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
