EA
Electronic Arts
Communication Services · Interactive Home Entertainment · US
$200.44
Close 2025-03-31
✗ NOT SCREENED

MODERATE MOAT
HIGH
Data Confidence: 100%
Full financial profile available
Market Cap
$50.2B
Trailing P/E
57.10
Forward P/E
20.50
Rev Growth
+11.9%
Profit Margin
11.8%
ROE
13.5%
Analyst Target
$202.80
Recommendation
HOLD
About Electronic Arts

Electronic Arts Inc. develops, markets, publishes, and delivers games, content, and services for game consoles, PCs, and mobile phones worldwide. It develops and publishes games and experiences across diverse genres, such as sports, racing, first-person shooter, action, role-playing, and simulation; and live services offerings, including extra content and subscription offerings through its global football and American football franchises, such as EA SPORTS College Football and EA SPORTS Madden NFL, as well as based on its IP comprising The Sims, Apex Legends, and Battlefield. The company markets and sells its games and services through digital distribution and retail channels; and directly to mass market retailers, specialty stores, and distribution arrangements. Electronic Arts Inc. was incorporated in 1982 and is headquartered in Redwood City, California.

Opportunity Summary
Trading near fair value at $200 (estimated $195). Moderate competitive position. Fails ethical screen (Revenue purity). Ranks better than 13% of screened stocks.
Ethical Screen
Business ActivityPASS
Debt Ratio (0.16%)PASS
Cash Ratio (0.01%)PASS
Receivables Ratio (0.23%)PASS
Revenue RatioDATA_MISSING
OverallINCONCLUSIVE
Score Ethical: 0.0
Score Valuation: 50.5
Score Quality: 46.0
Score Combined: 44.6
Fair Value Est: $195.00 · Margin of Safety: -2.7% · Tier: AVOID

Full Analysis

Opportunity scores, earnings history, insider transactions, institutional holders, analyst consensus, and more.

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Opportunity Scores
Valuation68.6
Quality45.8
Cash Flow57.5
Moat50.0
Balance Sheet99.1
Debt Purity52.2
Liquid Purity97.3
Rev Purity50.0
Compliance79.5
Tier: SILVER · Score: 58.1 · Rank: #570
Earnings History (Last 8 Quarters)
DateEPS Est.Reported EPSSurprise %
2026-07-280.93Pending--
2026-05-052.361.59-32.4%
2026-02-034.804.82+0.6%
2025-10-281.301.21-7.0%
2025-07-290.630.79+25.8%
2025-05-061.081.58+45.9%
2025-02-043.082.83-8.0%
2024-10-290.891.11+24.9%
Quarterly Financials
PeriodRevenueNet IncomeEBITDAGross ProfitOp. IncomeEPS
2026-03-31$2.1B$461.0M$673.0M$1.8B$564.0M1.84
2025-12-31$1.9B$88.0M$224.0M$1.4B$127.0M0.35
2025-09-30$1.8B$137.0M$293.0M$1.4B$200.0M0.55
2025-06-30$1.7B$201.0M$350.0M$1.4B$271.0M0.80
2025-03-31$1.9B$254.0M$501.0M$1.5B$398.0M0.99
2024-12-31
Insider Transactions
DateNameRoleSharesValue
2026-05-18WILSON ANDREWChief Executive Officer2,240$450.5K
2026-05-15KELLY ERIC CHARLESOfficer5,518--
2026-05-15CANFIELD STUARTChief Financial Officer10,937--
2026-05-15MIELE LAURA KARENOfficer18,852--
2026-05-15SINGH VIJAYANTHIMALAOfficer13,815--
2026-05-15SCHATZ JACOB JOfficer13,815--
2026-05-15WILSON ANDREWChief Executive Officer44,800--
2026-05-15WILSON ANDREWChief Executive Officer5,000$1.0M
2026-05-15SINGH VIJAYANTHIMALAOfficer1,200$241.0K
2026-05-15MIELE LAURA KARENOfficer2,500$501.3K
Top Institutional Holders
HolderSharesValue% Held
Blackrock Inc.25.1M$5.0B0.1%
Public Investment Fund24.8M$5.0B0.1%
Vanguard Capital Management LLC15.5M$3.1B0.1%
State Street Corporation14.1M$2.8B0.1%
Pentwater Capital Management Lp12.8M$2.6B0.1%
Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC11.1M$2.2B0.0%
Geode Capital Management, LLC7.5M$1.5B0.0%
UBS Group AG6.4M$1.3B0.0%
Millennium Management Llc4.3M$859.3M0.0%
Ninety One UK Ltd4.2M$839.2M0.0%
Analyst Recommendations
3 Months Ago
2
16
18 analysts
2 Months Ago
3
17
21 analysts
Last Month
3
17
21 analysts
Current
2
17
19 analysts
Strong Buy Buy Hold Sell Strong Sell
Additional Fundamentals
Enterprise Value
$49.3B
Price/Book
7.45
Beta
0.656
Analysts
15
Total Revenue (TTM)
$7.5B
Total Debt
$1.9B
Earnings Growth
+85.3%
Dividend Yield
38.0%
Rec. Mean
2.79
Short Ratio
6.30
Short % Float
0.0%
Employees
14,600

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Trade Consideration
The Opportunity
Score 44.6 (P59 — top 41.2% of scored tickers). Moderate Moat. Ethical FAIL. 15 analysts at Hold.
Price: $200.44 | Target: $202.80 (+1%) | Fair Value: $195.00 (+-3%)
Score
45
Moat
MODERATE
Conviction
Standard
Upside
+1%
The Fundamentals
Revenue Growth+11.9%
Profit Margin0.0%
ROE13.5%
Forward P/E20.5
Market Cap$50.2B
Earnings Track Record
DateEstimateReportedSurprise
2026-07-28$0.93Pending
2026-05-05$2.36$1.59-32.4%
2026-02-03$4.80$4.82+0.6%
2025-10-28$1.30$1.21-7.0%
2025-07-29$0.63$0.79+25.8%
2025-05-06$1.08$1.58+45.9%
Position Sizing Scenarios
Stop: $170.37 (-15%) | Entry: $200.44
SharesCostProfit to TargetR:R
To Consensus ($202.80, 15 analysts)
10$2,004.40+$23.60 (1%)0.1R
50$10,022.00+$118.00 (1%)0.1R
100$20,044.00+$236.00 (1%)0.1R
To Fair Value ($195.00)
10$2,004.40+$-54.40 (-3%)-0.2R
50$10,022.00+$-272.00 (-3%)-0.2R
100$20,044.00+$-544.00 (-3%)-0.2R
Risk Factors
  • Elevated short interest (6.30 days to cover)
The Verdict
Electronic Arts holds a moderate competitive moat.
Quantitative Grade

A single score combining all analytical layers below. A is strongest, D is weakest.

C
Quant Score
51.3
Risk Grade
LOW_RISK
Layers
8
Quality: STRONG_EARNINGS_DRIFT
Risk Profile

How much could this ticker lose on a bad day? These metrics measure worst-case scenarios from historical data.

VaR 95%
-1.8%
worst expected daily loss, 19 in 20 days
CVaR 95%
-3.5%
avg loss on the worst 5% of days
Annual Volatility
Sortino Ratio
0.92
above 1.0 is good
Max Drawdown
-30.5%
Worst Day
Forward Outlook

Based on 10,000 simulated price paths, here is the probability of where this ticker could be in 30, 60, and 90 days.

30d Prob Up
90d Prob Up
Median Return 30d
Liquidity Score
95
Liquidity Grade
HIGHLY LIQUID
Trend & Momentum

What direction is this ticker actually moving, filtered through noise? Is it speeding up or slowing down?

Kalman Trend
Trend Strength
Momentum Signal
HMM Regime
RSI Signal
Technical Signals

Classic chart signals that institutional traders monitor. Golden Cross is bullish, Death Cross is bearish.

MA Crossover
ABOVE_200
Bollinger Position
LOWER_HALF
Beta
Relative Volume
1.2x
Short Interest
Financial Health

Is this company financially sound? The Z-Score measures bankruptcy risk. The F-Score measures fundamental strength.

Altman Z-Score
below 1.81 = distress zone
Piotroski F-Score
Earnings Beat Rate
62.5%
Earnings Consistency
Correlations

These tickers tend to move together (positive) or in opposite directions (negative). Useful for portfolio diversification.

Most Correlated
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Inverse Correlated
TickerCorrelation
MCLDF-0.239
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4193.SR-0.151
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Seasonality

Does this ticker have consistent patterns on certain days or months? Historical tendencies, not guarantees.

Best Day
Monday
Worst Day
Thursday
Best Month
Jun
Worst Month
Jan
Fri-Mon Effect
-0.18230370084498018
Earnings Drift

After this company beats earnings, does the price keep going up? Drift tracks post-earnings momentum.

Avg Drift After Beat
+5.3%
Beat Drift Positive %
80.0%
Consistency
Momentum Rankings

How does this ticker's recent performance compare to the entire universe? Ranked across 1, 3, 6, and 12-month returns.

1M Return
-0.8%
3M Return
+0.2%
6M Return
+0.2%
12M Return
+37.8%
Momentum Rank
#2211
Momentum Signal
FLAT

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