Tripadvisor, Inc., an online travel company, engages in the provision of travel guidance products and services worldwide.
FAIL · Does not pass the screen
8.94 USD
At the last full screen 2026-09-16
Screened 2026-09-16 · the tape above runs as of 11:00 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
The Label · The Season, Not the Day
This name holds its markdown label.
Tripadvisor, Inc. holds its Markdown at $8.94. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 52 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-09-16
Phase
Markdown · caution
Quantitative state
Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 52 days
Price at the screen
$8.94
Valuation
N/A trailing · 8.32 forward price to earnings
Values screen
FAIL· score 70.0
Beta
0.84
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Debt ratio
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
47.66%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is 47.7% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows.
Fail
Interest-bearing cash
0.00%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
46.29%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 46.3% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Revenue purity
2.12%
Below 5%
Only 2.1% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-16 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 26.8% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 15 covering, consensus None. The average target sits +45% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-16 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Tripadvisor stuck in travel's slow lane
Picture a traveller scrolling Tripadvisor for the perfect tour, only to find the platform itself shrinking. Revenue fell 4 percent last year while the business eked out a 1 percent profit margin and a 3 percent return on equity. Forward earnings trade at 9.2 times yet analysts see almost no upside from the current price, and our screen flags no real opportunity despite clearing the ethical test.
The low multiple reflects a cyclical travel business facing stiffer competition and thin pricing power. Peak-cycle earnings often look cheap on paper, yet they rarely stay elevated once demand normalises. Unknown competitive moat adds another layer of uncertainty around whether margins can expand meaningfully from here.
We therefore pass. The modest margin of safety implied by our fair-value estimate is not enough to offset the weak growth trajectory and modest capital returns. Analysis, not advice.
The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
TRIP trades on Nasdaq. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited
Every Entry, As Written
2026-09-15Markdown · changed$9.79-8.6%Entry 5
The framework has shifted from distribution to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 8.6% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 19%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 21%. The street (15 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $13.
2026-08-15Distribution$10.71-13.7%Entry 4
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 13.7% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 19%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 21%. The street (15 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $13.
2026-07-18Distribution$12.41+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 19%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 21%. The street (15 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $13.
2026-07-03Distribution$12.41+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Distribution$12.41Entry 1
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
