2026-10-25
RBC Bearings clears the business-activity screen and the figures we can measure look clean, but one or more financial figures are still pending, so the verdict is not final yet.
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latest tape · as of 08:02 UTC
The Screen · Industrials · Tools & Accessories
RBC Bearings Inc
RBC · the NYSE · USD · Market cap $15.1B · 5,816 employees
RBC Bearings Incorporated manufactures and markets engineered precision bearings, components, and systems in the United States and internationally.
Not yet scored496.04 USD
Price as of 3 Nov 2026Daily close, not a live quote
Screened 2026-11-03 · the tape above runs as of 08:02 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
Key facts today
- Price496.04 USD at the 3 Nov 2026 close
- Our value readFair vs our fair value, as of 3 Nov 2026
- Our regime readDistribution, as of 5 Nov 2026
- Ethical screenNot yet scored
- OptionsOpen interest leans to puts (put/call 2.37)
- Last reviewed3 Nov 2026 (2 days ago)
- Release timesRelease and earnings times on your chart: Event Guard Mentor
A summary of the dated readings below, not a live quote and not advice.
PRICE · ONE YEAR
Our fair-value range: $450.00 to $562.26, base estimate $488.92 (screen dated 2026-11-03).
- Trend Distribution
- Insiders no filings inside 60 days, left as found
- Positioning political selling, disclosed 2026-09-14
- Options put/call open interest 2.37, read 2026-11-05
- Ethical screen not yet scored
Price496.04 USD
Fair value488.92
Ethical score70.0/100
Value readFairas of 3 Nov 2026
Our investment reviews on this name
2026-10-23Read Markdown497.73-0.3% to today ✓Accumulation gives way to Markdown with results news in the headlines
2026-10-02Read Accumulation492.56+0.7% to today ✓Distribution gives way to Accumulation with volume flow in agreement
2026-09-11Read Distribution490.89+1.0% to today Markup gives way to Distribution after a 15% slide in 4 weeks
2026-08-11Read Markup576.37-13.9% to today Distribution gives way to Markup while volume is distributing
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
The full research record, in depth, below
This name holds its distribution label.
RBC Bearings Inc holds its Distribution at $496.04. Elevated stress, defensive posture warranted, held for 1 days.
| Phase | Distribution · caution |
| Quantitative state | Elevated stress, defensive posture warranted, held for 1 days |
| Price at the screen | $496.04 |
| Valuation | 47.22 trailing · 28.71 forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | Not scored · score 70.0 |
| Beta | 1.38 |
Five Screens, Shown in Full
This security has not been fully scored against the values screen yet.
| Test | Figure | Limit | What it means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business activity | Permissible | Core business clean | Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. | Pass |
| Debt load | 19.35% | Below 33% | Interest-bearing debt is just 19.4% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money. | Pass |
| Interest-bearing cash | 0.00% | Below 33% | Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit. | Pass |
| Receivables | 7.77% | Below 49% | Money owed to the company is 7.8% of assets, under the 49% limit. | Pass |
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
The Ethical ReadThe Read, in Plain English
RBC Bearings clears the business-activity screen and the figures we can measure look clean, but one or more financial figures are still pending, so the verdict is not final yet.
Read as at 2026-11-05. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.
2026-09-24
Clears
RBC Bearings clears all five screens. Its business is in a permissible area, its interest-bearing debt is about 19%, inside the ~33% line, and almost none of its income is interest, so it passes.
Earlier reads, kept as written. The ethical profile is tracked over time, not overwritten.
What the Numbers Say It Is WorthThe Fair Value Range
Our analysis reads Fair vs our fair value, as of 3 Nov 2026: it trades above our $488.92 fair value estimate, narrow competitive moat, 19.20% revenue growth.
How a fair value is estimated: discounted cash flow (DCF).
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-11-03 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. The price runs 1.5% above the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 9 covering, consensus Buy. The average target sits +30% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Our more conservative model reads it as roughly fairly valued here, while the Street is more bullish: a quality-at-a-fair-price name rather than a deep-value one.
Price History & ProjectionsWhere our models see it going: fair-value estimate $488.92, with a range of $450.00 to $562.26, dated to the 2026-11-03 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain WordsBearings keep things turning but not at this price
Think of the bearings inside a jet engine or a factory robot. They must handle huge loads without fail. RBC Bearings makes those precision parts across aerospace and industrial markets, posting 18 percent revenue growth and a 15 percent profit margin.
We pass. The shares trade at 575 dollars against our fair value of 484 dollars, a 16 percent premium. At 35 times forward earnings the valuation leaves little room for error, especially with return on equity stuck at just 9 percent and only a narrow moat protecting the business.
The main risk is simple overpayment. Analyst targets sit higher, yet narrow competitive edges in a competitive components market can erode quickly if growth slows or input costs rise. Analysis, not advice.
| Forward P/E | 28.7xpriced for continued growth |
| Trailing P/E | 47.2xexpensive: the price assumes strong growth ahead |
| EPS, trailing | 10.12 |
| EPS, forward | 16.64 |
| Revenue growth | +19.2%steady growth |
| Profit margin | 16.4%healthy profit margins |
| Return on equity | 9.7%a modest return on shareholder capital |
| FCF yield | 1.87% |
| Debt to equity | 0.25minimal debt: a conservative balance sheet |
| Current ratio | 2.53comfortably covers its short-term bills |
| Beta | 1.38moves a little more than the market |
| Short interest, float | 0.02% |
| 52-week range | 401.90 - 667.69 |
| Moat | NARROW |
| Market cap | $15.1B |
| Employees | 5,816 |
Another profit measure, before interest, tax and non-cash costs: EBITDA.
The risks · The things to watch: it already moves more than the market on an average day.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to TradeRBC trades on the NYSE. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
Every Entry, As Written
2026-10-30
Markdown $477.84
+0.0% Entry 16
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 53%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 27%. The street (7 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $616. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-29
Markdown $477.84
+0.0% Entry 15
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 53%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 27%. The street (7 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $616. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-28
Markdown $477.84
+0.0% Entry 14
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 53%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 27%. The street (7 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $616. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-27
Markdown $477.84
-4.0% Entry 13
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 4.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 53%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 27%. The street (7 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $616. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-26
Markdown $497.73
+0.0% Entry 12
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 53%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 27%. The street (7 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $616. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-25
Markdown $497.73
+0.0% Entry 11
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 53%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 27%. The street (7 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $616. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-24
Markdown $497.73
+0.0% Entry 10
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 53%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 27%. The street (7 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $616. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-23
Markdown · changed $497.73
+0.0% Entry 9
The framework has shifted from accumulation to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 53%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 27%. The street (7 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $616. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-21
Accumulation $497.73
-1.2% Entry 8
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 1.2% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 53%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 27%. The street (7 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $616.
2026-10-14
Accumulation $503.68
+2.3% Entry 7
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 2.3% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 21% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 53%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 27%. The street (7 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $616.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
- RBC Bearings (RBC) Earnings Beat Leaves Its Valuation Story Open Yahoo Finance · 5d ago
- What RBC Bearings (RBC) Said on Its Q2 Earnings Call Yahoo Finance · 5d ago
- RBC Bearings Stock In Focus After Earnings Beat And Higher Sales Outlook Yahoo Finance · 5d ago
- RBC Bearings Incorporated Q2 2027 Earnings Call Summary Yahoo Finance · 5d ago
- RBC Bearings (RBC) Q2 2027 Earnings Call Transcript Yahoo Finance · 6d ago
Headlines from third-party outlets, linked for reference: not our reporting, not advice.
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Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.
| Date | Politician | Party | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Gil Cisneros | Democrat | sell | 15K–50K |
| 2026-09-14 | Gil Cisneros | Democrat | sell | 15K–50K |
| 2026-09-14 | Gil Cisneros | Democrat | sell | 15K–50K |
| 2026-07-16 | Gil Cisneros | Democrat | sell | 1K–15K |
| 2026-07-16 | Gil Cisneros | Democrat | sell | 1K–15K |
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $613.59 | -5.8% | · | $942 | -5.8% |
| 2 months | $598.30 | -3.4% | · | $966 | -3.4% |
| 3 months | $547.31 | +5.7% | · | $1,057 | +5.7% |
| 6 months | $458.15 | +26.2% | · | $1,262 | +26.2% |
| 1 year | $376.84 | +53.4% | · | $1,534 | +53.4% |
| 2 years | $276.10 | +109.4% | · | $2,094 | +109.4% |
| 3 years | $211.29 | +173.7% | · | $2,737 | +173.7% |
| 5 years | $191.27 | +202.3% | $9.01 | $3,070 | +207.0% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever RBC does next, these words stay.
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