2026-10-25
NWPX Infrastructure, clears the business-activity screen and the figures we can measure look clean, but one or more financial figures are still pending, so the verdict is not final yet.
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latest tape · as of 16:02 UTC
The Screen · Basic Materials · Steel
NWPX Infrastructure, Inc.
NWPX · Nasdaq · USD · Market cap $928M · 1,318 employees
NWPX Infrastructure, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells water-related infrastructure products in the United States and Canada.
Not yet scored91.93 USD
Price as of 4 Nov 2026Daily close, not a live quote
Screened 2026-11-04 · the tape above runs as of 16:02 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
Key facts today
- Price91.93 USD at the 4 Nov 2026 close
- Our value readOvervalued vs our fair value, as of 4 Nov 2026
- Our regime readMarkdown, as of 4 Nov 2026
- Ethical screenNot yet scored
- OptionsOpen interest leans heavily to calls (put/call 0.00)
- Last reviewed4 Nov 2026 (1 days ago)
- Release timesRelease and earnings times on your chart: Event Guard Mentor
A summary of the dated readings below, not a live quote and not advice.
PRICE · ONE YEAR
Our fair-value range: $76.12 to $87.54, base estimate $76.12 (screen dated 2026-11-04).
- Trend Markdown
- Insiders insiders sold, $26,620, latest filing 2026-10-05
- Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
- Options put/call open interest 0.00, read 2026-11-05
- Ethical screen not yet scored
Price91.93 USD
Fair value76.12
Ethical score70.0/100
Value readOvervaluedas of 4 Nov 2026
Our investment reviews on this name
2026-09-08Read Markdown114.28-19.6% to today ✓Markup gives way to Markdown after an 11% slide in 10 weeks
2026-07-02Read Markup128.85-28.7% to today First review on file: Markup
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
The full research record, in depth, below
This name holds its markdown label.
NWPX Infrastructure, Inc. holds its Markdown at $91.93. The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 64 days.
| Phase | Markdown · caution |
| Quantitative state | The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 64 days |
| Price at the screen | $91.93 |
| Valuation | 19.37 trailing · 18.39 forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | Not scored · score 70.0 |
| Beta | 1.08 |
Five Screens, Shown in Full
This security has not been fully scored against the values screen yet.
| Test | Figure | Limit | What it means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business activity | Permissible | Core business clean | Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. | Pass |
| Debt load | 17.74% | Below 33% | Interest-bearing debt is just 17.7% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money. | Pass |
| Interest-bearing cash | 0.00% | Below 33% | Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit. | Pass |
| Receivables | 13.88% | Below 49% | Money owed to the company is 13.9% of assets, under the 49% limit. | Pass |
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
The Ethical ReadThe Read, in Plain English
NWPX Infrastructure, clears the business-activity screen and the figures we can measure look clean, but one or more financial figures are still pending, so the verdict is not final yet.
Read as at 2026-11-05. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.
2026-09-24
Clears
NWPX Infrastructure, clears all five screens. Its business is in a permissible area, its interest-bearing debt is about 18%, inside the ~33% line, and almost none of its income is interest, so it passes.
Earlier reads, kept as written. The ethical profile is tracked over time, not overwritten.
What the Numbers Say It Is WorthThe Fair Value Range
Our analysis reads Overvalued vs our fair value, as of 4 Nov 2026: it trades above our $76.12 fair value estimate, 19.70% revenue growth.
How a fair value is estimated: discounted cash flow (DCF).
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-11-04 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. The price runs 20.8% above the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets. The average target sits +17% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Our more conservative model reads it as fully-to-richly valued here, while the Street is more bullish: a quality-at-a-fair-price name rather than a deep-value one.
Price History & ProjectionsWhere our models see it going: fair-value estimate $76.12, with a range of $76.12 to $87.54, dated to the 2026-11-04 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain WordsWater pipes firm priced well beyond reality
Every time a municipal contract lands for steel water mains the revenue pops, yet the business still sits in a sector where demand swings with budgets and commodity prices. NWPX trades at 138 dollars against a fair value near 75 dollars, a forward multiple of 27 times earnings and a negative margin of safety. That leaves little room for the cyclical swings that define steel and infrastructure work.
Growth has run at 19 percent recently with an 8 percent profit margin and 11 percent return on equity, yet none of those figures justify paying well above the 108 dollar analyst target in a hold-rated name. The moat remains unknown and the industry shows classic peak-earnings traits where high multiples often signal the top of the cycle rather than a bargain.
Valuation risk dominates here even though the ethical screen clears. A cyclical business already reflecting optimistic assumptions leaves investors exposed if spending slows or input costs rise. Analysis, not advice.
| Forward P/E | 18.4xfairly priced for its growth rate |
| Trailing P/E | 19.4xreasonably valued |
| EPS, trailing | 4.97 |
| EPS, forward | 5.24 |
| Revenue growth | +19.7%steady growth |
| Profit margin | 8.5%thin but positive margins |
| Return on equity | 12.2%a solid return on shareholder capital |
| FCF yield | 6.58% |
| Debt to equity | 0.26minimal debt: a conservative balance sheet |
| Current ratio | 2.71comfortably covers its short-term bills |
| Beta | 1.08moves a little more than the market |
| Short interest, float | 0.09% |
| 52-week range | 53.15 - 152.03 |
| Market cap | $928M |
| Employees | 1,318 |
Another profit measure, before interest, tax and non-cash costs: EBITDA.
The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to TradeNWPX trades on Nasdaq. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
Every Entry, As Written
2026-11-04
Markdown $96.18
-0.1% Entry 16
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.1% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 4% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 209%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 41%. The street (2 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $99. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter.
2026-10-28
Markdown $96.29
+0.0% Entry 15
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 4% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 209%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 41%. The street (2 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $99. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-27
Markdown $96.29
+0.0% Entry 14
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 4% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 209%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 41%. The street (2 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $99. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-26
Markdown $96.29
+0.0% Entry 13
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 4% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 209%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 41%. The street (2 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $99. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-25
Markdown $96.29
+0.0% Entry 12
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 2% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 209%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 41%. The street (2 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $99. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-24
Markdown $96.29
+0.0% Entry 11
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 2% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 209%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 41%. The street (2 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $99. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-23
Markdown $96.29
-1.9% Entry 10
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 1.9% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 2% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 209%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 41%. The street (2 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $99. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-22
Markdown $98.15
+0.0% Entry 9
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 2% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 209%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 41%. The street (2 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $99. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-21
Markdown $98.15
-3.1% Entry 8
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 3.1% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 2% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 209%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 41%. The street (2 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $99. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-14
Markdown $101.32
-1.2% Entry 7
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 1.2% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 74% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 209%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 41%. The street (2 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $99. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
- 2 Small-Cap Stocks for Long-Term Investors and 1 We Brush Off Yahoo Finance · 27d ago
- IIIN or NWPX: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now? Yahoo Finance · 2 Oct 2026
- NWPX Infrastructure Names John Schillie Vice President and General Manager of NWPX Park Yahoo Finance · 23 Sep 2026
- 1 Industrials Stock with Impressive Fundamentals and 2 We Avoid Yahoo Finance · 23 Sep 2026
- Q2 Earnings Highs And Lows: Northwest Pipe (NASDAQ:NWPX) Vs The Rest Of The HVAC and Water Systems Stocks Yahoo Finance · 22 Sep 2026
Headlines from third-party outlets, linked for reference: not our reporting, not advice.
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Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.
| Date | Insider | Title | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | Stokes Eric | SVP, Group Pres of WTS | S - Sale+OE | 12,631 | $1,337,176 |
| 2026-10-05 | Larson Keith R | Dir | S - Sale | 250 | $26,620 |
| 2026-10-01 | Stokes Eric | SVP, Group Pres of WTS | S - Sale+OE | 12,353 | $1,277,047 |
| 2026-09-28 | Larson Keith R | Dir | S - Sale | 1,000 | $102,195 |
Public filings, recorded as found. The full tape lives at Insider Intelligence.
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $111.18 | +9.8% | · | $1,098 | +9.8% |
| 2 months | $84.28 | +44.8% | · | $1,448 | +44.8% |
| 3 months | $73.25 | +66.6% | · | $1,666 | +66.6% |
| 6 months | $62.83 | +94.3% | · | $1,943 | +94.3% |
| 1 year | $39.54 | +208.7% | · | $3,087 | +208.7% |
| 2 years | $33.67 | +262.5% | · | $3,625 | +262.5% |
| 3 years | $29.72 | +310.7% | · | $4,107 | +310.7% |
| 5 years | $30.21 | +304.1% | · | $4,041 | +304.1% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever NWPX does next, these words stay.
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