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The Screen · Basic Materials · Steel

Algoma Steel Group Inc

ASTL · NASDAQ · USD · Market cap $404M · 2,400 employees

Algoma Steel Group Inc.

FAIL · Does not pass the screen
5.27 USD

Price as of 4 Nov 2026Daily close, not a live quote

Screened 2026-11-04 · the tape above runs as of 14:03 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed

Key facts today

  • Price5.27 USD at the 4 Nov 2026 close
  • Our regime readAccumulation, as of 5 Nov 2026
  • Ethical screenDoes not pass
  • OptionsOpen interest leans heavily to calls (put/call 0.10)
  • Last reviewed4 Nov 2026 (1 days ago)
  • Release timesRelease and earnings times on your chart: Event Guard Mentor

A summary of the dated readings below, not a live quote and not advice.

PRICE · ONE YEAR

Our fair-value range: range not available (screen dated 2026-11-04).

Current read
Accumulation ?
Screened · screened 2026-11-04
  • Trend Accumulation
  • Insiders no filings inside 60 days, left as found
  • Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
  • Options put/call open interest 0.10, read 2026-11-02
  • Ethical does not pass the values gate
Price5.27 USD
Ethical score70.0/100
Our investment reviews on this name
2026-11-01Read Accumulation4.77+10.5% to today ✓Markdown gives way to Accumulation after a 16% rise in 7 days
2026-10-25Read Markdown4.10+28.5% to today Accumulation gives way to Markdown first Markdown read since October
2026-10-18Read Accumulation4.10+28.5% to today ✓Markdown gives way to Accumulation
2026-10-11Read Markdown4.27+23.4% to today Accumulation gives way to Markdown

Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.

The full research record, in depth, below
The Label · The Season, Not the Day

This name holds its accumulation label.

Algoma Steel Group Inc holds its Accumulation at $5.27. The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 28 days.

As held on the ledger · 2026-11-04
PhaseAccumulation
Quantitative stateThe statistical read favours the sellers, held for 28 days
Price at the screen$5.27
ValuationN/A trailing · -13.43 forward price to earnings
Values screenFAIL · score 70.0
Beta1.64
The Workings

Five Screens, Shown in Full

Does not pass. Debt ratio

TestFigureLimitWhat it meansStatus
Business activity Permissible Core business clean Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. Pass
Debt load 40.74% Below 33% Interest-bearing debt is 40.7% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows. Fail
Interest-bearing cash 0.00% Below 33% Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit. Pass
Receivables 11.39% Below 49% Money owed to the company is 11.4% of assets, under the 49% limit. Pass
Revenue purity 0.32% Below 5% Only 0.3% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line. Pass

Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.

The Ethical Read

Why It Falls Short, in Plain English

Algoma Steel's business is in a permissible area, but its interest-bearing debt is about 41% of the company, well over the ~33% line, so it does not pass on the financial screens.

Read as at 2026-11-05. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.

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The Business, in Plain Words
The fundamentals · plain-English read
Forward P/E-13.4x
EPS, trailing-7.25
EPS, forward-0.29
Revenue growth-42.6%revenue is shrinking
Profit margin-60.0%currently unprofitable
Return on equity-122.4%not currently earning a positive return on equity
FCF yield-66.97%
Debt to equity2.72heavy leverage: higher risk if revenue softens
Current ratio2.45comfortably covers its short-term bills
Beta1.64much more volatile than the market
Short interest, float0.02%
52-week range3.02 - 7.19
MoatNONE
Market cap$404M
Employees2,400

Another profit measure, before interest, tax and non-cash costs: EBITDA.

The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market; it already moves more than the market on an average day; its business and earnings are exposed to Canada and to currency swings; it carries a real debt load, which raises the stakes if revenue slips.

Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.

Where & How to Trade

ASTL trades on NASDAQ (the company is based in Canada). As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.

The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited

Every Entry, As Written

2026-11-01 Accumulation · changed $4.77 +16.3% Entry 11

The framework has shifted from markdown to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 16.3% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 25%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%.

2026-10-25 Markdown · changed $4.10 +0.0% Entry 10

The framework has shifted from accumulation to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 25%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%.

2026-10-18 Accumulation · changed $4.10 -4.0% Entry 9

The framework has shifted from markdown to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 4.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 25%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%.

2026-10-11 Markdown · changed $4.27 +0.0% Entry 8

The framework has shifted from accumulation to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 25%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%.

2026-10-02 Accumulation $4.27 +0.0% Entry 7

Our analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 25%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%.

2026-09-24 Accumulation · changed $4.27 +11.5% Entry 6

The framework has shifted from markup to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 11.5% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 25%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%.

2026-08-22 Markup · changed $3.83 +0.0% Entry 5

The framework has shifted from accumulation to markup since the last review. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 25%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%.

2026-07-22 Accumulation $3.83 -23.6% Entry 4

Our analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 23.6% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 25%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%.

2026-07-18 Accumulation $5.01 +0.0% Entry 3

Our analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 25%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%.

2026-07-03 Accumulation $5.01 +0.0% Entry 2

Our analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.

Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.

Related Securities · Others in ASTL's Space

Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.

The Political Ledger · Congressional Disclosures
Disclosures naming ASTL
DatePoliticianPartyTypeAmount
2026-09-25 Ro Khanna Democrat buy 1K–15K
2026-09-25 Ro Khanna Democrat buy 1K–15K
2026-09-25 Ro Khanna Democrat buy 1K–15K
2026-09-11 Ro Khanna Democrat buy 1K–15K
2026-09-11 Ro Khanna Democrat buy 1K–15K
What Holding Actually Paid · Price Plus Dividends
If $1,000 had been placed · historical, not a promise
PeriodPrice thenPrice returnDivs per share$1,000 becameTotal return
1 month $5.14 -10.7% · $893 -10.7%
2 months $4.71 -2.6% · $975 -2.6%
3 months $3.69 +24.4% · $1,244 +24.4%
6 months $4.61 -0.4% · $996 -0.4%
1 year $6.09 -24.6% · $754 -24.6%
2 years $7.17 -36.0% $0.25 $675 -32.5%
3 years $7.39 -37.9% $0.45 $682 -31.8%
5 years $9.07 -49.4% $0.75 $588 -41.2%

Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

The Ledger's Promise

This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever ASTL does next, these words stay.

Algoma Steel Group Inc · ASTL · Accumulation · $5.27
Recorded 2026-11-04 · before the outcome · scored mechanically

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