Screened 2026-09-07 · the tape above runs as of 23:00 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
The Label · The Season, Not the Day
This name holds its accumulation label.
Kolibri Global Energy Inc. holds its Accumulation at $6.15. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 44 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-09-07
Phase
Accumulation
Quantitative state
Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 44 days
Price at the screen
$6.15
Valuation
11.39 trailing · 9.61 forward price to earnings
Values screen
PASS· score 89.7
Beta
1.48
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Full pass across all five screens. This security clears the Titan Ethical Standard: its business and its balance sheet both stay inside the lines.
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
25.58%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is just 25.6% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money.
Pass
Interest-bearing cash
1.69%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 1.7% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
0.00%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 0.0% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Revenue purity
0.00%
Below 5%
Only 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
What the Numbers Say It Is Worth
The Fair Value Range
Our framework reads OPPORTUNITY: it trades at roughly a 9% discount to our $6.70 fair value, weak competitive moat, 102.90% revenue growth.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-07 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 9.0% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-07 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Small Shale Operator At A Cyclical Discount
Every barrel lifted from the Caney Shale must still clear volatile prices and bigger rivals. Kolibri Global Energy sits in that patch with revenue up 20 percent and a forward earnings multiple of 8.2 times. The shares trade at a 28 percent discount to our fair value, which is the sort of gap that appears when the market prices in the next downturn before it arrives.
The business throws off a 23 percent profit margin and clears our ethical screen without issue. One analyst sees an $8 target, well above the current price, and the balance sheet looks light enough to keep the drills turning through a soft patch.
Yet this is exactly the cyclical value trap to watch. Low multiples often sit on peak earnings in oil and gas, a weak moat leaves it exposed to bigger players, and 7 percent return on equity shows limited pricing power once prices turn. Analysis, not advice.
The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market; it already moves more than the market on an average day.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
KGEI trades on Nasdaq. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited
Every Entry, As Written
2026-09-03Accumulation$6.04+15.5%Entry 5
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 15.5% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 18%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 33%. The street (1 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $8.
2026-08-03Accumulation · changed$5.23-2.4%Entry 4
The framework has shifted from markup to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 2.4% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 18%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 33%. The street (1 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $8.
2026-07-18Markup$5.36+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 18%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 33%. The street (1 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $8.
2026-07-03Markup$5.36+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Markup$5.36Entry 1
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
