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The Screen · Energy · Oil & Gas E&P
GTEGran Tierra Energy Inc
GTE · NYSE AMERICAN · USD · Market cap $233M · 406 employees
Gran Tierra Energy Inc., together with its subsidiaries, is involved in the exploration and production of oil and gas properties in Colombia, Canada, and Ecuador.
FAIL · Does not pass the screen
10.26 USD
Price as of 3 Nov 2026Daily close, not a live quote
Screened 2026-11-03 · the tape above runs as of 12:11 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
Key facts today
Price10.26 USD at the 3 Nov 2026 close
Fair value5.54. Our model only; no analyst estimate to cross-check.
Our value readOvervalued vs our fair value, as of 3 Nov 2026
Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
Options put/call open interest 2.52, read 2026-11-03
Ethical does not pass the values gate
Price10.26 USD
Fair value5.54Our model only; no analyst estimate to cross-check.
Ethical score70.0/100
Value readOvervaluedas of 3 Nov 2026
Our investment reviews on this name
2026-10-14Read Accumulation10.58-3.0% to today Markdown gives way to Accumulation
2026-10-02Read Markdown10.30-0.4% to today ✓Markup gives way to Markdown after a 56% rise in 5 weeks
2026-08-31Read Markup6.59+55.7% to today ✓Distribution gives way to Markup
2026-07-31Read Distribution6.59+55.7% to today Markdown gives way to Distribution after a 19% slide in 4 weeks
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
Gran Tierra Energy Inc holds its Accumulation at $10.26. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 41 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-11-03
Phase
Accumulation
Quantitative state
Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 41 days
Price at the screen
$10.26
Valuation
N/A trailing · 9.52 forward price to earnings
Values screen
FAIL· score 70.0
Beta
0.13
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Debt ratio
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
45.70%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is 45.7% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows.
Fail
Interest-bearing cash
0.00%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
6.19%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 6.2% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Revenue purity
0.18%
Below 5%
Only 0.2% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
The Ethical Read
Why It Falls Short, in Plain English
Gran Tierra Energy's business is in a permissible area, but its interest-bearing debt is about 46% of the company, well over the ~33% line, so it does not pass on the financial screens.
Read as at 2026-11-04. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.
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Get an email when GTE's ethical verdict changes
Today GTE does not pass the screen. If new figures move it to a pass, we send you one short email with the before and after. Verdicts change rarely, so you may not hear from us for a long time.
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What the Numbers Say It Is Worth
The Fair Value Range
Our model only; no analyst estimate to cross-check.
Our analysis reads Overvalued vs our fair value, as of 3 Nov 2026: it trades above our $5.54 fair value estimate, none competitive moat, 2.30% revenue growth.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-11-03 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. The price runs 85.2% above the base estimate.
Where our models see it going: fair-value estimate $5.54, with a range of $5.54 to $9.15, dated to the 2026-11-03 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Why it gives us pause
At 9.5x forward earnings, the price already runs ahead of the business. It trades 86% above our $5.54 fair value, so you would be buying at a premium, not a discount. The none moat is real, but quality alone does not make an expensive price cheap.
Another profit measure, before interest, tax and non-cash costs: EBITDA.
The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market; its business and earnings are exposed to Canada and to currency swings; it carries a real debt load, which raises the stakes if revenue slips.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
GTE trades on NYSE AMERICAN (the company is based in Canada). As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited
Every Entry, As Written
2026-11-04Accumulation$10.26-3.4%Entry 10
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 3.4% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is holding around 51% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 66%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 28%. The street (1 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $6. Insiders have been net buyers over the past quarter.
2026-10-28Accumulation$10.62+0.0%Entry 9
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is holding around 51% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 66%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 28%. The street (1 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $6. Insiders have been net buyers over the past quarter.
2026-10-21Accumulation$10.62+0.4%Entry 8
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 0.4% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is holding around 44% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 66%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 28%. The street (1 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $6. Insiders have been net buyers over the past quarter.
The framework has shifted from markdown to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 2.7% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is holding around 41% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 66%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 28%. The street (1 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $6. Insiders have been net buyers over the past quarter.
2026-10-02Markdown · changed$10.30+56.3%Entry 6
The framework has shifted from markup to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved up 56.3% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is holding around 41% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 66%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 28%. The street (1 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $6. Insiders have been net buyers over the past quarter. Since the last review it its composite score eased.
2026-08-31Markup · changed$6.59+0.0%Entry 5
The framework has shifted from distribution to markup since the last review. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is holding around 41% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 66%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 28%. The street (1 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $6. Insiders have been net buyers over the past quarter.
The framework has shifted from markdown to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 19.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is holding around 41% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 66%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 28%. The street (1 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $6. Insiders have been net buyers over the past quarter.
2026-07-18Markdown$8.14+0.0%Entry 3
Our analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is holding around 41% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 66%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 28%. The street (1 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $6.
2026-07-03Markdown$8.14+0.0%Entry 2
Our analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Markdown$8.14Entry 1
Our analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.