Framework Journal · one stock, one dated entry

Recorded 2026-07-29 · Permanent

An entry written while the outcome is still unknown. It will be scored by what the market does next, and it will never be edited to look cleverer than it was.

In plain words · HP Inc.

The label
Markup

read at $28.29

HP Inc. holds its Markup at $28.29.

PHINPOOPSC
  • PHPhase · the trend structure carries the Markup label
  • INInsiders · no filings inside 60 days, left as found
  • POPositioning · no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
  • OPOptions · no verdict drawn today, left as found
  • SCScreen · passes the values gate
  • edge confirmed
  • edge broken
  • edge forming

Each arm is one independent read. Conviction is not a single call, it is how many edges converge.

The investor read · the season, not the day

As held on the ledger · 2026-07-29
PhaseMarkup
Quantitative stateConsolidating, no directional conviction, held for 2 days
Price$28.29
Valuation9.82 trailing · 9.40 forward price to earnings
Values screenPASS · score 84.5
Beta1.21

The opportunity · what the numbers say it is worth

Our framework reads OPPORTUNITY — it trades at roughly a 5% discount to our $29.60 fair value, 9.00% revenue growth.

Read at
$28.29
9.82 P/E · 9.40 fwd
Our fair value
$29.60
5% discount
Analyst target (avg)
$24.50
-13% to current
Target low $18.00Analyst target rangeTarget high $29.60
▲ current $28.29 · | average target

Price history & projections · where it has been, where the models see it going

$34.5$25.8$17.1TODAY5y agoPROJECTIONConservative$29.60 +20%Our fair value$29.60 +20%Analyst high$29.60 +20%Analyst avg$24.50 -1%

The valuation journey · where the price sits against fair value and the Street

Current
$28.29
you are here
Conservative
$29.60
+5%
Analyst avg
$24.50
-13%
Our fair value
$29.60
+5%
Analyst high
$29.60
+5%

Green marks levels above today's price, red below; the shaded band is the gap between the price and our fair value.

Reading the gap · Our model sees value the Street hasn't fully caught up to yet.

Revenue growth9.00%
Profit margin4.45%
Analyst consensusHold · 16 covering

Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; target range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.

The values screen, explained · five checks, plain English

It depends which standard you follow. There are two widely recognised ways to check whether a company is suitable for a Muslim investor, and on this company they disagree. Here is how it did on each:

The common standard · AAOIFI
Used by most halal investing apps
✗ DOES NOT PASS
Our stricter standard · asset-based
The one Titan applies
✓ PASSES

Why the two disagree. They fall out over one thing only: the company’s debt. Our stricter standard measures that debt against what the company owns, and it works out too high to pass. The common standard measures the same debt against what the company is worth on the stock market, where it works out low enough to pass. Every other check, the two agree on. So in practice, most halal apps would treat this as fine to hold, while our stricter view would not — and which line you follow is between you and your scholar.

What these two standards are, and how they differ →

  • Business activity Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines — no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. Pass
  • Debt load Interest-bearing debt is just 26.1% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling — it does not run on borrowed money. Against market value it is 47.8%, under the 30% line the market-value standard uses — so that standard clears it. Divergent
  • Interest-bearing cash Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit. Pass
  • Receivables Money owed to the company is 22.5% of assets, under the 49% limit. Pass
  • Revenue purity Only 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources — under the 5% line. Pass

Every security is read against two recognised standards: our stricter asset-based screen (ratios measured against total assets) and the more widely used market-value standard (measured against market capitalisation). Where they agree we say so plainly; where they part ways — almost always on the debt check — we show both readings and mark it, because that disagreement is the finding, not a fault. We report the score; you and your scholar make the call.

The business, in plain words · what the numbers mean

HP trades like a tired workhorse worth watching

Picture the office printer that still runs after every laptop upgrade cycle. HP keeps selling those machines plus the PCs that power hybrid work, and it is growing revenue 9 percent while the shares sit on a forward multiple of just 8.3 times. Fair value sits 19 percent higher at 29.60 from the current 24.84, the ethical screen is clean, and that combination marks it out as an opportunity when most hardware names carry heavier valuations.

The catch is the thin 4 percent profit margin and an unknown moat in a market dominated by a few big suppliers. PC demand remains cyclical, so today's low multiple could simply reflect peak earnings rather than a permanent bargain. Sixteen analysts sit on a hold rating with a 24 target that offers little upside from here.

Analysis, not advice.

The fundamentals · plain-English read
Forward P/E9.4x
fairly priced for its growth rate
Trailing P/E9.8x
very cheap relative to earnings
Revenue growth9.0%
steady growth
Profit margin4.4%
barely profitable
Current ratio0.79
below 1 — short-term bills exceed liquid assets
Beta1.21
moves a little more than the market
Market cap$25.9B
Employees55,000

The risks · The main risks here are ordinary market swings and the chance our fair-value read proves too optimistic.

Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.

Latest news · what the market is reading on HPQ

Headlines from third-party outlets, linked for reference — not our reporting, not advice.

Related securities · others in HPQ's space worth a look

Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.

Where & how to trade · wherever in the world you are

HPQ trades on a US exchange. As a US-listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering US markets. New to this, or investing from outside the US? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.

The trader read · the latest dated commentary

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 1%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 19%. The street (16 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $23. Entered 2026-07-18 · Markup

The dated journal · newest first, never edited

2026-07-18 Markup $25.58 +0.0% Entry 3

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 1%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 19%. The street (16 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $23.

2026-07-03 Markup $25.58 +0.0% Entry 2

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.

2026-07-02 Markup $25.58 Entry 1

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.

Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.

The insider ledger · Form 4 filings, as filed

Most recent filings · HPQ
DateInsiderTitleTypeSharesValue
2026-04-16 MISCIK JUDITH A Director 12,176 ·
2026-04-16 FRANCISCO MA. FATIMA Director 12,176 ·
2026-04-16 PETTITI GIANLUCA Director 12,176 ·
2026-04-01 BERGH CHARLES V Director 9,881 ·
2026-03-25 BERGH CHARLES V Director 48,544 $555,829
2026-03-11 CITRINO MARY ANNE Director 45,172 $834,327
2026-03-11 CITRINO MARY ANNE Director 72,816 $833,743
2026-02-03 PATEL KETAN MAGANLAL Officer 1,119 ·
2025-12-26 PATEL KETAN MAGANLAL Officer 33,321 $772,714
2025-12-10 FRANCISCO MA. FATIMA Director 13,880 ·

Public filings, recorded as found. The full tape lives at Insider Intelligence.

The political ledger · congressional disclosures

Disclosures naming HPQ
DatePoliticianPartyTypeAmount
2026-04-13 Ro Khanna Democrat Purchase 1K–15K

What holding actually paid · price plus dividends

If $1,000 had been placed · historical, not a promise
PeriodPrice thenPrice returnDivs per share$1,000 becameTotal return
1 month $21.67 +14.0% · $1,140 +14.0%
2 months $18.26 +35.2% · $1,352 +35.2%
3 months $18.95 +30.3% · $1,303 +30.3%
6 months $25.00 -1.2% $0.30 $1,000 0.0%
1 year $24.33 +1.5% $1.18 $1,063 +6.3%
2 years $33.28 -25.8% $2.31 $811 -18.9%
3 years $26.45 -6.6% $3.39 $1,062 +6.2%
5 years $25.30 -2.4% $5.11 $1,178 +17.8%

Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever HPQ does next, these words stay.

HP Inc. · HPQ · Markup · $28.29
Recorded 2026-07-29 · before the outcome · scored mechanically

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