NAS10027,087+1.72%S&P7,401+0.65%GOLD$4,073−1.00%BTC$75,828−0.15%VIX24.55−12.88%latest tape · as of 20:03 UTC
The Screen · Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric
ELPCCompanhia Paranaense de Energia
ELPC · the NYSE · USD · Market cap $7.9B · 4,287 employees
Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, study, planning, construction, production, transformation, transportation, distribution, and commercialization of electric…
Not yet scored
10.52 USD
Price as of 5 Nov 2026Daily close, not a live quote
Screened 2026-11-05 · the tape above runs as of 20:03 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
Key facts today
Price10.52 USD at the 5 Nov 2026 close
Our value readUndervalued vs our fair value, as of 5 Nov 2026
Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
Options no verdict drawn today, left as found
Ethical screen not yet scored
Price10.52 USD
Fair value12.95
Ethical score70.0/100
Value readUndervaluedas of 5 Nov 2026
Our investment reviews on this name
2026-11-01Read Distribution10.55-0.3% to today ✓Markup gives way to Distribution after an 18% slide in 3 weeks
2026-10-11Read Markup12.86-18.2% to today Accumulation gives way to Markup
2026-10-02Read Accumulation12.66-16.9% to today Markdown gives way to Accumulation after a 12% rise in 5 weeks
2026-08-27Read Markdown11.29-6.8% to today ✓Distribution gives way to Markdown
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
Companhia Paranaense de Energia holds its Distribution at $10.52. Elevated stress, defensive posture warranted, held for 4 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-11-05
Phase
Distribution · caution
Quantitative state
Elevated stress, defensive posture warranted, held for 4 days
Price at the screen
$10.52
Valuation
13.17 trailing · 14.70 forward price to earnings
Values screen
Not scored· score 70.0
Beta
0.36
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
This security has not been fully scored against the values screen yet.
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
Excluded
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows.
Fail
Interest-bearing cash
Excluded
Below 33%
Interest-bearing cash and securities are of assets, above the one-third limit.
Fail
Receivables
Excluded
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is of assets, above the 49% limit.
Fail
Revenue purity
1.81%
Below 5%
Only 1.8% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
The Ethical Read
The Read, in Plain English
Companhia Paranaense de Energia clears the business-activity screen and the figures we can measure look clean, but one or more financial figures are still pending, so the verdict is not final yet.
Read as at 2026-11-05. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.
What the Numbers Say It Is Worth
The Fair Value Range
Our analysis reads Undervalued vs our fair value, as of 5 Nov 2026: it trades at roughly an 18% discount to our $12.95 fair value, 11.10% revenue growth.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-11-05 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 18.8% discount to the base estimate.
Where our models see it going: fair-value estimate $12.95, with a range of $11.07 to $14.89, dated to the 2026-11-05 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Why it stands out
A 11%-growth business trading at just 14.7x forward earnings. That is an 18% discount to our $12.95 fair value: the market is pricing it cautiously while the fundamentals argue otherwise. 3 analysts rate it Strong Buy with a $15.00 average target, about 43% above the screened price.
Another profit measure, before interest, tax and non-cash costs: EBITDA.
The risks · The things to watch: its business and earnings are exposed to Brazil and to currency swings.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
ELPC trades on the NYSE (the company is based in Brazil). As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The framework has shifted from markup to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 23.6% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 22% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 37%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 32%. The street (3 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $17. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter.
2026-10-25Markup$13.80+7.3%Entry 8
The analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 7.3% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 24% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 37%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 32%. The street (3 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $17. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter.
2026-10-11Markup · changed$12.86+1.6%Entry 7
The framework has shifted from accumulation to markup since the last review. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 1.6% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 13% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 37%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 32%. The street (3 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $17.
The framework has shifted from markdown to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 12.1% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 13% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 37%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 32%. The street (3 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $17.
2026-08-27Markdown · changed$11.29-2.4%Entry 5
The framework has shifted from distribution to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 2.4% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 13% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 37%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 32%. The street (3 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $17.
2026-07-27Distribution$11.57-0.3%Entry 4
Our analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.3% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 13% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 37%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 32%. The street (3 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $17.
2026-07-18Distribution$11.61+0.0%Entry 3
Our analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 13% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 37%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 32%. The street (3 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $17.
2026-07-03Distribution$11.61+0.0%Entry 2
Our analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Distribution$11.61Entry 1
Our analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.