Framework Journal · one stock, one dated entry

Recorded 2026-07-29 · Permanent

Korea Electric Power Corporation logoKorea Electric Power Corporation KEP

Outside both standards

An entry written while the outcome is still unknown. It will be scored by what the market does next, and it will never be edited to look cleverer than it was.

In plain words · Korea Electric Power Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity in South Korea and internationally.

The label
Distribution

read at $11.64

Korea Electric Power Corporation holds its Distribution at $11.64.

PHINPOOPSC
  • PHPhase · the trend structure carries the Distribution label
  • INInsiders · no filings inside 60 days, left as found
  • POPositioning · no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
  • OPOptions · no verdict drawn today, left as found
  • SCScreen · does not pass the values gate
  • edge confirmed
  • edge broken
  • edge forming

Each arm is one independent read. Conviction is not a single call, it is how many edges converge.

The investor read · the season, not the day

As held on the ledger · 2026-07-29
PhaseDistribution · caution
Quantitative stateThe statistical read favours the buyers, held for 9 days
Price$11.64
Valuation2.63 trailing · 3.03 forward price to earnings
Values screenFAIL · score 70.0
Beta0.79

The opportunity · what the numbers say it is worth

Our framework reads AVOID — it trades at roughly a 38% discount to our $16.00 fair value, moderate competitive moat, 0.70% revenue growth.

Read at
$11.64
2.63 P/E · 3.03 fwd
Our fair value
$16.00
38% discount
Analyst target (avg)
$16.00
+37% to current

Price history & projections · where it has been, where the models see it going

$17.5$12.0$6.4TODAY5y agoPROJECTIONConservative$16.00 +34%Analyst avg$16.00 +34%Our fair value$16.00 +34%Analyst high$16.00 +34%

The valuation journey · where the price sits against fair value and the Street

Current
$11.64
you are here
Conservative
$16.00
+37%
Analyst avg
$16.00
+37%
Our fair value
$16.00
+37%
Analyst high
$16.00
+37%

Green marks levels above today's price, red below; the shaded band is the gap between the price and our fair value.

Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.

Revenue growth0.70%
Profit margin8.92%
Debt to equity255.55
Analyst consensusNone · 1 covering

Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; target range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.

The values screen, explained · five checks, plain English

This company is excluded by both standards. There are two widely recognised ways to check whether a company is suitable for a Muslim investor. It fails on both:

The common standard · AAOIFI
Used by most halal investing apps
✗ DOES NOT PASS
Our stricter standard · asset-based
The one Titan applies
✗ DOES NOT PASS

Why it fails. The problem is its debt ratio. Because both standards agree on this, it is a clear exclusion, not a borderline case.

What these two standards are, and how they differ →

  • Business activity Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines — no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. Pass
  • Debt load Interest-bearing debt is 751,490.8% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows. Fail
  • Interest-bearing cash Interest-bearing cash and securities are 31,671.6% of assets, above the one-third limit. Fail
  • Receivables Money owed to the company is 0.0% of assets, under the 49% limit. Pass
  • Revenue purity Only 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources — under the 5% line. Pass

Every security is read against two recognised standards: our stricter asset-based screen (ratios measured against total assets) and the more widely used market-value standard (measured against market capitalisation). Where they agree we say so plainly; where they part ways — almost always on the debt check — we show both readings and mark it, because that disagreement is the finding, not a fault. We report the score; you and your scholar make the call.

The business, in plain words · what the numbers mean

South Korea's power utility carries hidden debt

Electricity reaches every home in Seoul through a state-backed utility that trades like a bargain on the surface. Korea Electric Power shows a forward multiple of just 3 times earnings and sits 41 percent below our fair value estimate. Revenue inches along at 1 percent while profit margins reach 9 percent and return on equity hits 19 percent.

We pass for one clear reason. The ethical screen rejects the debt ratio outright, regardless of the moderate moat or the single analyst target at 16 dollars. Leverage leaves no margin for the regulatory squeezes and fuel price swings that define this business.

A low multiple on a utility often marks peak earnings or structural pressure rather than a genuine discount. Currency moves and policy shifts add further volatility that the balance sheet cannot absorb. Analysis, not advice.

The fundamentals · plain-English read
Forward P/E3.0x
expensive even after accounting for its growth
Trailing P/E2.6x
very cheap relative to earnings
Revenue growth0.7%
slow but positive growth
Profit margin8.9%
thin but positive margins
Return on equity18.7%
a solid return on shareholder capital
Debt to equity2.56
heavy leverage — higher risk if revenue softens
Current ratio0.43
below 1 — short-term bills exceed liquid assets
Beta0.79
steadier than the market
Market cap$14.9B

The risks · The things to watch: its business and earnings are exposed to South Korea and to currency swings; it carries a real debt load, which raises the stakes if revenue slips.

Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.

Related securities · others in KEP's space worth a look

Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.

Where & how to trade · wherever in the world you are

KEP trades on the NYSE (the company is based in South Korea). As a US-listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering US markets. New to this, or investing from outside the US? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.

The trader read · the latest dated commentary

The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 17%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 33%. The street (1 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $16. Entered 2026-07-18 · Distribution

The dated journal · newest first, never edited

2026-07-18 Distribution $12.76 +0.0% Entry 3

The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 17%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 33%. The street (1 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $16.

2026-07-03 Distribution $12.76 +0.0% Entry 2

The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.

2026-07-02 Distribution $12.76 Entry 1

The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.

Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.

What holding actually paid · price plus dividends

If $1,000 had been placed · historical, not a promise
PeriodPrice thenPrice returnDivs per share$1,000 becameTotal return
1 month $14.76 -19.0% · $810 -19.0%
2 months $14.80 -19.3% · $807 -19.3%
3 months $15.98 -25.2% · $748 -25.2%
6 months $16.74 -28.6% · $714 -28.6%
1 year $10.24 +16.7% · $1,167 +16.7%
2 years $7.21 +65.8% $0.08 $1,668 +66.8%
3 years $7.35 +62.6% $0.08 $1,637 +63.7%
5 years $11.60 +3.0% $0.08 $1,037 +3.7%

Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever KEP does next, these words stay.

Korea Electric Power Corporation · KEP · Distribution · $11.64
Recorded 2026-07-29 · before the outcome · scored mechanically

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