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The Screen · Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery
Dover Corporation
DOV · a US exchange · USD · Market cap $25.8B · 24,000 employees
Dover Corporation provides equipment and components, consumable supplies, aftermarket parts, software and digital solutions, and support services worldwide.
Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
Options no verdict drawn today, left as found
Ethical passes the values gate
Price191.42 USD
Fair value241.44
Ethical score82.0/100
RatingOVERVALUED
Our investment reviews on this name
2026-07-02Read Markdown214.76-10.9% to today ✓
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against today's price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
Dover Corporation holds its Markdown at $191.42. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 39 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-09-09
Phase
Markdown · caution
Quantitative state
Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 39 days
Price at the screen
$191.42
Valuation
23.12 trailing · 16.44 forward price to earnings
Values screen
PASS· score 82.0
Beta
1.15
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Full pass across all five screens. This security clears the Titan Ethical Standard: its business and its balance sheet both stay inside the lines.
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
26.63%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is just 26.6% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money.
Pass
Interest-bearing cash
0.00%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
22.71%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 22.7% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Revenue purity
0.90%
Below 5%
Only 0.9% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
What the Numbers Say It Is Worth
The Fair Value Range
Our framework reads OVERVALUED: it trades at roughly a 26% discount to our $241.44 fair value, moderate competitive moat, 6.90% revenue growth.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-09 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 26.1% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 18 covering, consensus None. The average target sits +31% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-09 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Solid Machinery Maker Priced Past Its Value
Dover builds the pumps, valves and presses that factories rely on day after day. The kit works, margins sit at 13 percent and revenue is rising 10 percent a year. Yet the shares trade at 18.5 times forward earnings while our fair value sits well below the current 214 dollar price.
We pass for one simple reason. The market already prices in more growth than the numbers support and the moderate moat offers little protection if orders slow. Eighteen analysts still say buy with a 255 dollar median target, but that optimism ignores how quickly industrial spending can turn.
Return on equity at 15 percent is respectable yet nothing special in this sector. Currency swings and any dip in capital spending would hit results fast. Analysis, not advice.
The risks · The main risks here are ordinary market swings and the chance our fair-value read proves too optimistic.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
DOV trades on a US exchange. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited
Every Entry, As Written
2026-08-27Markdown$201.92-5.7%Entry 5
The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 5.7% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 10% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 20%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 16%. The street (21 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $249.
2026-07-26Markdown$214.18-0.3%Entry 4
The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.3% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 10% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 20%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 16%. The street (21 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $249.
2026-07-18Markdown$214.76+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 10% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 20%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 16%. The street (21 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $249.
2026-07-03Markdown$214.76+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Markdown$214.76Entry 1
The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
