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The Screen · Energy · Oil & Gas Integrated
Diversified Energy Company
DEC · the NYSE · USD · Market cap $992M · 1,987 employees
Diversified Energy Company, an independent energy company, engages in the production, transportation and marketing of natural gas, oil, and liquids primarily in the Appalachian and Central regions of the United States.
FAIL · Does not pass the screen
13.64 USD
Price as of 3 Nov 2026Daily close, not a live quote
Screened 2026-11-03 · the tape above runs as of 06:07 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
Key facts today
Price13.64 USD at the 3 Nov 2026 close
Fair valueUnder review: our model's value is 1.59x the price, above our 1.35x limit.
Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
Options no verdict drawn today, left as found
Ethical does not pass the values gate
Price13.64 USD
Fair valueUnder review
Ethical score70.0/100
Our investment reviews on this name
2026-10-22Read Accumulation14.43-5.5% to today Markdown gives way to Accumulation after a 5% rise in 3 weeks
2026-10-02Read Markdown13.71-0.5% to today ✓Accumulation gives way to Markdown with volume flow in agreement
2026-08-26Read Accumulation13.36+2.1% to today ✓Distribution gives way to Accumulation with volume flow in agreement
2026-07-02Read Distribution13.85-1.5% to today ✓First review on file: Distribution
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
Diversified Energy Company holds its Accumulation at $13.64. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 373 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-11-03
Phase
Accumulation
Quantitative state
Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 373 days
Price at the screen
$13.64
Valuation
1.72 trailing · 5.10 forward price to earnings
Values screen
FAIL· score 70.0
Beta
0.32
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Debt ratio
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
49.08%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is 49.1% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows.
Fail
Interest-bearing cash
0.00%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
7.10%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 7.1% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
The Ethical Read
Why It Falls Short, in Plain English
Diversified Energy's business is in a permissible area, but its interest-bearing debt is about 49% of the company, well over the ~33% line, so it does not pass on the financial screens.
Read as at 2026-11-04. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.
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Today DEC does not pass the screen. If new figures move it to a pass, we send you one short email with the before and after. Verdicts change rarely, so you may not hear from us for a long time.
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What the Numbers Say It Is Worth
The Fair Value Range
Fair value under review. Our model's value is 1.59x the price, above our 1.35x limit. We show no fair value, margin of safety or value read built on it until the review clears.
Another profit measure, before interest, tax and non-cash costs: EBITDA.
The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market; it carries a real debt load, which raises the stakes if revenue slips.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
DEC trades on the NYSE. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited
Every Entry, As Written
2026-11-03Accumulation$14.44+0.0%Entry 15
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is holding around 2% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 6%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 27%. The street (7 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $22. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-11-02Accumulation$14.44+0.0%Entry 14
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is holding around 2% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 6%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 27%. The street (7 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $22. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-11-01Accumulation$14.44-1.2%Entry 13
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 1.2% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is holding around 2% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 6%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 27%. The street (7 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $22. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-31Accumulation$14.61+0.0%Entry 12
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is holding around 2% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 6%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 27%. The street (7 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $22. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-30Accumulation$14.61-0.5%Entry 11
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.5% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is holding around 2% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 6%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 27%. The street (7 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $22. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-29Accumulation$14.69+1.8%Entry 10
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 1.8% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is holding around 2% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 6%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 27%. The street (7 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $22. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-28Accumulation$14.43+0.0%Entry 9
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is holding around 2% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 6%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 27%. The street (7 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $22. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The framework has shifted from markdown to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 4.3% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 6%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 27%. The street (7 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $22.
2026-10-15Markdown$13.83+0.9%Entry 7
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved up 0.9% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is holding around 4% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 6%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 27%. The street (7 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $22.
2026-10-02Markdown · changed$13.71+2.6%Entry 6
The framework has shifted from accumulation to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved up 2.6% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is holding around 4% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 6%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 27%. The street (7 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $22.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
