Screened 2026-09-17 · the tape above runs as of 15:00 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
The Label · The Season, Not the Day
This name holds its accumulation label.
Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. holds its Accumulation at $34.00. The statistical read favours the buyers, held for 5 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-09-17
Phase
Accumulation
Quantitative state
The statistical read favours the buyers, held for 5 days
Price at the screen
$34.00
Valuation
680.00 trailing · 12.45 forward price to earnings
Values screen
PASS· score 70.0
Beta
1.30
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Full pass across all five screens. This security clears the Titan Ethical Standard: its business and its balance sheet both stay inside the lines.
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
32.39%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is just 32.4% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money.
Pass
Interest-bearing cash
0.00%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
14.99%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 15.0% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Revenue purity
0.00%
Below 5%
Only 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-17 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 56.8% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 4 covering, consensus Buy. The average target sits +53% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-17 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Trucking growth fails to reach the bottom line
Covenant moves freight across dedicated routes and warehouses for US shippers, yet the numbers show revenue climbing 14 percent while profit margins sit at zero and return on equity barely registers at 1 percent. Analysts see a buy at a forward multiple of 16.5 times, but the business generates no earnings to support that valuation or any margin of safety around the current price.
We pass because the combination of thin returns and an unknown competitive edge leaves little room for durable value creation. Ethical screens clear the name, yet the operating reality does not.
Cyclical trucking demand can swing quickly with fuel costs and freight volumes, and a zero profit margin offers no buffer when those cycles turn. Analysis, not advice.
The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
CVLG trades on the NYSE. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The framework has shifted from markup to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 26.8% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 55% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 92%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 29%. The street (1 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $35.
2026-07-25Markup$47.34+4.2%Entry 4
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 4.2% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 55% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 92%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 29%. The street (1 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $35.
2026-07-18Markup$45.45+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 55% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 92%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 29%. The street (1 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $35.
2026-07-03Markup$45.45+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Markup$45.45Entry 1
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
