The analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 11.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 27%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 28%. The street (5 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $21. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
Arlo Technologies, Inc.
ARLO · the NYSE · USD · Market cap $1.6B · 376 employees
Arlo Technologies, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides cloud-based platform services in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific regions.
FAIL · Does not pass the screenPrice as of 6 Nov 2026Daily close, not a live quote
Screened 2026-11-06 · the tape above runs as of 02:02 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
Key facts today
- Price12.34 USD at the 6 Nov 2026 close
- Our value readFair vs our fair value, as of 6 Nov 2026
- Our regime readMarkup, as of 7 Nov 2026
- Ethical screenDoes not pass
- OptionsOpen interest leans heavily to calls (put/call 0.03)
- Last reviewed6 Nov 2026 (1 days ago)
- Release timesRelease and earnings times on your chart: Event Guard Mentor
A summary of the dated readings below, not a live quote and not advice.
Our fair-value range: $14.40 to $17.06, base estimate $14.83 (screen dated 2026-11-06).
- Trend Markup
- Insiders insiders sold, $1,203,000, latest filing 2026-09-28
- Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
- Options put/call open interest 0.03, read 2026-11-02
- Ethical does not pass the values gate
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
This name holds its markup label.
Arlo Technologies, Inc. holds its Markup at $12.34. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 148 days.
| Phase | Markup |
| Quantitative state | Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 148 days |
| Price at the screen | $12.34 |
| Valuation | 53.00 trailing · 14.47 forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | FAIL · score 70.0 |
| Beta | 1.61 |
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Accounts receivable
| Test | Figure | Limit | What it means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business activity | Permissible | Core business clean | Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. | Pass |
| Debt load | 2.17% | Below 33% | Interest-bearing debt is just 2.2% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money. | Pass |
| Interest-bearing cash | 6.44% | Below 33% | Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 6.4% of assets, under the one-third limit. | Pass |
| Receivables | 59.93% | Below 49% | Money owed to the company is 59.9% of assets, above the 49% limit. | Fail |
| Revenue purity | 1.03% | Below 5% | Only 1.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line. | Pass |
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
The Ethical ReadWhy It Falls Short, in Plain English
Arlo Technologies,'s business is fine, but its receivables are about 60% of its assets, well over the ~49% line, so it does not pass on the financial screens.
Read as at 2026-11-05. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.
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The Fair Value Range
Our analysis reads Fair vs our fair value, as of 6 Nov 2026: 20.50% revenue growth.
How a fair value is estimated: discounted cash flow (DCF).
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-11-06 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 16.8% discount to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 6 covering, consensus Strong Buy. The average target sits +70% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Our more conservative model reads it as roughly fairly valued here, while the Street is more bullish: a quality-at-a-fair-price name rather than a deep-value one.
Price History & ProjectionsWhere our models see it going: fair-value estimate $14.83, with a range of $14.40 to $17.06, dated to the 2026-11-06 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain WordsWhy it is worth knowing
A quality business. It trades close to our $14.83 fair value, so the easy discount is gone; you would be paying up for the quality.
| Forward P/E | 14.5xcheap for a company growing this fast |
| Trailing P/E | 53.0xexpensive: the price assumes strong growth ahead |
| EPS, trailing | 0.28 |
| EPS, forward | 1.03 |
| Revenue growth | +20.5%strong top-line growth |
| Profit margin | 5.2%thin but positive margins |
| Return on equity | 22.1%an exceptional return on shareholder capital |
| FCF yield | 3.91% |
| Debt to equity | 4.88heavy leverage: higher risk if revenue softens |
| Current ratio | 1.40adequate liquidity, worth monitoring |
| Beta | 1.61much more volatile than the market |
| Short interest, float | 0.15% |
| 52-week range | 11.05 - 17.76 |
| Market cap | $1.6B |
| Employees | 376 |
Another profit measure, before interest, tax and non-cash costs: EBITDA.
The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market; it already moves more than the market on an average day; it carries a real debt load, which raises the stakes if revenue slips.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to TradeARLO trades on the NYSE. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
Every Entry, As Written
The analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 5.3% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 27%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 28%. The street (5 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $21. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 27%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 28%. The street (5 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $21. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 27%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 28%. The street (5 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $21. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The framework has shifted from accumulation to markup since the last review. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 6.1% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 27%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 28%. The street (5 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $21. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 27%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 28%. The street (5 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $21. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 27%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 28%. The street (5 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $21. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The framework has shifted from markdown to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 8.3% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 27%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 28%. The street (5 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $21. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved up 1.3% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 27%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 28%. The street (5 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $21. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter.
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved up 0.3% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 27%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 28%. The street (5 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $21. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
- Stocks making big moves yesterday: Arlo Technologies, Herc, Polaris, Dell, and Euronet Worldwide Yahoo Finance · 9d ago
- Arlo Technologies (ARLO) shares skyrocket, what you need to know Yahoo Finance · 10d ago
- Arlo Technologies Announces Inducement Awards Under NYSE Rule 303A.08 Yahoo Finance · 10d ago
- Arlo Technologies stock rises on $100M buyback program Yahoo Finance · 11d ago
- Arlo Adopts New Stock Repurchase Program Yahoo Finance · 11d ago
Headlines from third-party outlets, linked for reference: not our reporting, not advice.
Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.
| Date | Insider | Title | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 | Binder Kurtis Joseph | CFO | S - Sale | 96,569 | $1,203,000 |
Public filings, recorded as found. The full tape lives at Insider Intelligence.
| Date | Politician | Party | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Scott Peters | Democrat | buy | 250K–500K |
| 2026-09-25 | Scott Peters | Democrat | buy | 250K–500K |
| 2026-09-25 | Scott Peters | Democrat | buy | 250K–500K |
| 2026-09-14 | Diana Harshbarger | Republican | sell | 50K–100K |
| 2026-09-08 | Diana Harshbarger | Republican | sell | 50K–100K |
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $13.59 | -8.7% | · | $913 | -8.7% |
| 2 months | $13.12 | -5.4% | · | $946 | -5.4% |
| 3 months | $13.51 | -8.1% | · | $919 | -8.1% |
| 6 months | $14.43 | -14.0% | · | $860 | -14.0% |
| 1 year | $17.09 | -27.4% | · | $726 | -27.4% |
| 2 years | $13.18 | -5.8% | · | $942 | -5.8% |
| 3 years | $9.09 | +36.5% | · | $1,365 | +36.5% |
| 5 years | $6.86 | +80.9% | · | $1,809 | +80.9% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever ARLO does next, these words stay.
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