Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
Options put/call open interest 8.24, read 2026-10-29
Ethical passes the values gate
Price40.33 USD
Fair value54.45
Ethical score64.7/100
Our investment reviews on this name
2026-10-02Read Distribution41.72-3.3% to today ✓Markdown gives way to Distribution after a 9% slide in 3 weeks
2026-09-11Read Markdown45.85-12.0% to today ✓Markup gives way to Markdown after a 24% rise in 10 weeks
2026-07-02Read Markup36.97+9.1% to today ✓First review on file: Markup
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
Gibraltar Industries, Inc. holds its Distribution at $40.33. The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 37 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-10-29
Phase
Distribution · caution
Quantitative state
The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 37 days
Price at the screen
$40.33
Valuation
19.44 trailing · 8.29 forward price to earnings
Values screen
PASS· score 64.7
Beta
1.24
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Full pass across all five screens. This security clears the Titan Ethical Standard: its business and its balance sheet both stay inside the lines.
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
4.14%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is just 4.1% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money.
Pass
Interest-bearing cash
0.00%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
16.94%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 16.9% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Revenue purity
0.15%
Below 5%
Only 0.2% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
The Ethical Read
Why It Clears, in Plain English
Gibraltar Industries, clears all five screens. Its business is in a permissible area, its interest-bearing debt is about 4%, inside the ~33% line, and almost none of its income is interest, so it passes.
Read as at 2026-10-29. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.
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Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-10-29 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 35.0% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 4 covering, consensus Strong Buy. The average target sits +98% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-10-29 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Cheap multiple on building products signals a trap
Picture a house builder ordering steel and solar racking right at the top of a housing cycle. Gibraltar sits behind that order book, yet the low forward multiple of 9.1 times masks the fact that revenue jumped 45 percent on peak demand while margins already sit at minus 11 percent.
We pass because the numbers show classic cyclical pressure rather than durable value. Return on equity of just 7 percent and an unknown moat leave little room for error once construction spending cools, even though the ethical screen clears.
Low earnings multiples in building products often mark the start of mean reversion, not an entry point. Analyst targets sit far higher, but history shows those peaks rarely hold when volumes turn.
The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market; it carries a real debt load, which raises the stakes if revenue slips.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
ROCK trades on Nasdaq. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited
Every Entry, As Written
2026-10-30Distribution$40.33+5.2%Entry 11
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved up 5.2% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 39%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 17%. The street (3 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $69. Insiders have been net buyers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-29Distribution$38.33-2.3%Entry 10
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 2.3% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 39%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 17%. The street (3 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $69. Insiders have been net buyers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-22Distribution$39.25+0.0%Entry 9
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are down 39%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 17%. The street (3 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $69. Insiders have been net buyers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-21Distribution$39.25+7.1%Entry 8
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved up 7.1% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are down 39%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 17%. The street (3 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $69. Insiders have been net buyers over the past quarter.
2026-10-14Distribution$36.66-12.1%Entry 7
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 12.1% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 39%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 17%. The street (3 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $69. Insiders have been net buyers over the past quarter.
The framework has shifted from markdown to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 9.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 39%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 17%. The street (3 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $69. Insiders have been net buyers over the past quarter.
2026-09-11Markdown · changed$45.85+6.2%Entry 5
The framework has shifted from markup to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved up 6.2% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 39%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 17%. The street (3 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $69. Insiders have been net buyers over the past quarter.
2026-08-11Markup$43.18+16.8%Entry 4
Our analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 16.8% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 39%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 17%. The street (3 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $69. Insiders have been net buyers over the past quarter.
2026-07-18Markup$36.97+0.0%Entry 3
Our analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 39%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 17%. The street (3 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $69. Insiders have been net buyers over the past quarter.
2026-07-03Markup$36.97+0.0%Entry 2
Our analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (65). The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
