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The Screen · Energy · Building Products & Equipment
NPK International Inc.
NPKI · the NYSE · USD · Market cap $1.1B · 510 employees
NPK International Inc., a temporary worksite access solutions company, manufactures, sells, and rents recyclable composite matting products in the United States and United Kingdom.
Screened 2026-09-16 · the tape above runs as of 15:00 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
The Label · The Season, Not the Day
This name holds its markdown label.
NPK International Inc. holds its Markdown at $12.91. The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 248 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-09-16
Phase
Markdown · caution
Quantitative state
The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 248 days
Price at the screen
$12.91
Valuation
28.07 trailing · 20.60 forward price to earnings
Values screen
PASS· score 70.0
Beta
1.30
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Full pass across all five screens. This security clears the Titan Ethical Standard: its business and its balance sheet both stay inside the lines.
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
6.05%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is just 6.1% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money.
Pass
Interest-bearing cash
0.00%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
13.12%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 13.1% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Revenue purity
0.00%
Below 5%
Only 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-16 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 1.8% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 3 covering, consensus None. The average target sits +63% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Our more conservative model reads it as roughly fairly valued here, while the Street is more bullish: a quality-at-a-fair-price name rather than a deep-value one.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-16 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Energy Matting Rentals Hit a Cyclical Ceiling
Picture a contractor laying temporary floors only when the oil rigs are running flat out. NPKI sells and rents those floors, yet the shares already trade above our fair value with a negative margin of safety and a forward multiple of 23 times. Revenue growth of 16 percent and a 14 percent profit margin look respectable on paper, but they sit inside an industry that expands and contracts with energy spending rather than any durable advantage.
We therefore pass. The business clears our ethical screen without issue, yet the combination of unknown moat, modest 10 percent return on equity and a price well clear of intrinsic value leaves no margin for error. Three analysts may eye a higher target, but that does not change the arithmetic.
The real risk is the classic cyclical trap. Earnings can look strong near the top of an energy cycle, making any multiple appear reasonable until the next downturn arrives and peak profits disappear. Analysis, not advice.
The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market; it already moves more than the market on an average day.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
NPKI trades on the NYSE. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited
Every Entry, As Written
2026-09-06Markdown · changed$13.55-5.5%Entry 5
The framework has shifted from distribution to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 5.5% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 16% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 76%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 32%. The street (3 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $20.
2026-08-07Distribution$14.34-4.3%Entry 4
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 4.3% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 16% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 76%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 32%. The street (3 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $20.
2026-07-18Distribution$14.98+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 16% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 76%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 32%. The street (3 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $20.
2026-07-03Distribution$14.98+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Distribution$14.98Entry 1
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
