Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
Options put/call open interest 0.29, read 2026-11-03
Ethical passes the values gate
Price252.32 USD
Fair value335.84
Ethical score82.2/100
Value readUndervaluedas of 3 Nov 2026
Our investment reviews on this name
2026-10-11Read Markup209.40+20.5% to today ✓Distribution gives way to Markup first Markup read since August
2026-10-02Read Distribution209.40+20.5% to today Markup gives way to Distribution after a 9% slide in 13 weeks
2026-07-02Read Markup229.96+9.7% to today ✓First review on file: Markup
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
Autodesk holds its Markup at $252.32. The statistical read favours the buyers, held for 17 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-11-03
Phase
Markup
Quantitative state
The statistical read favours the buyers, held for 17 days
Price at the screen
$252.32
Valuation
31.35 trailing · 17.02 forward price to earnings
Values screen
PASS· score 82.2
Beta
1.33
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Full pass across all five screens. This security clears the Titan Ethical Standard: its business and its balance sheet both stay inside the lines.
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
21.93%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is just 21.9% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money.
Pass
Interest-bearing cash
3.02%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 3.0% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
29.58%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 29.6% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Revenue purity
0.37%
Below 5%
Only 0.4% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
The Ethical Read
Why It Clears, in Plain English
Autodesk clears all five screens. Its business is in a permissible area, its interest-bearing debt is about 22%, inside the ~33% line, and almost none of its income is interest, so it passes.
Read as at 2026-11-04. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.
Follow this verdict
Get an email when ADSK's ethical verdict changes
Today ADSK passes the screen. If new figures move it to a fail, we send you one short email with the before and after. Verdicts change rarely, so you may not hear from us for a long time.
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What the Numbers Say It Is Worth
The Fair Value Range
Our analysis reads Undervalued vs our fair value, as of 3 Nov 2026: it trades at roughly a 25% discount to our $335.84 fair value, moderate competitive moat, 16.10% revenue growth.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-11-03 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 24.9% discount to the base estimate.
Where our models see it going: fair-value estimate $335.84, with a range of $276.89 to $461.48, dated to the 2026-11-03 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Design software powering real projects worldwide
Engineers drawing up bridges or studios crafting the next blockbuster all lean on the same core platform to move from idea to finished work. Autodesk sits in that workflow and keeps adding users across regions.
Revenue climbs 18 percent a year while returns on equity hit 50 percent and the forward multiple sits at 15.3 times. Shares trade at 218 dollars against a fair value of 342 dollars, which leaves a 57 percent margin of safety. The ethical screen clears and the moat looks moderate yet durable enough for steady cash generation.
Growth can still slow when construction or media budgets tighten, and a moderate moat means rivals keep testing pricing power. Currency swings add another layer that investors must watch. Analysis, not advice.
Another profit measure, before interest, tax and non-cash costs: EBITDA.
The risks · The things to watch: it already moves more than the market on an average day.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
ADSK trades on a US exchange. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited
Every Entry, As Written
2026-11-01Markup$249.61+1.8%Entry 18
The analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 1.8% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are down 25%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 18%. The street (32 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $325.
2026-10-25Markup$245.16+0.0%Entry 17
The analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are down 25%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 18%. The street (32 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $325.
2026-10-18Markup$245.16+17.1%Entry 16
The analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 17.1% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are down 25%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 18%. The street (32 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $325.
2026-10-11Markup · changed$209.40+0.0%Entry 15
The framework has shifted from distribution to markup since the last review. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are down 25%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 18%. The street (32 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $325.
The framework has shifted from markup to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 16.6% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are down 25%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 18%. The street (32 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $325.
2026-08-27Markup$251.02+0.0%Entry 13
Our analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are down 25%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 18%. The street (32 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $325. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-08-26Markup$251.02+0.0%Entry 12
Our analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are down 25%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 18%. The street (32 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $325. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-08-25Markup$251.02+0.0%Entry 11
Our analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are down 25%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 18%. The street (32 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $325. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-08-24Markup$251.02+0.0%Entry 10
Our analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are down 25%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 18%. The street (32 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $325. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-08-23Markup$251.02+0.0%Entry 9
Our analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are down 25%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 18%. The street (32 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $325. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.