The framework has shifted from distribution to markup since the last review. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 28.6% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are down 70%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 30%. The street (13 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $352.
Strategy Inc
MSTR · NASDAQ · USD · Market cap $52.0B · 1,511 employees
Strategy Inc, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a bitcoin treasury company in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and internationally.
PASS · Titan Ethical · score 70.0At the last full screen
2026-09-11
Screened 2026-09-11 · the tape above runs as of 11:00 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
This name holds its markup label.
Strategy Inc holds its Markup at $130.97. The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 61 days.
| Phase | Markup |
| Quantitative state | The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 61 days |
| Price at the screen | $130.97 |
| Valuation | N/A trailing · 2.65 forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | PASS · score 70.0 |
| Beta | 3.60 |
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Full pass across all five screens. This security clears the Titan Ethical Standard: its business and its balance sheet both stay inside the lines.
| Test | Figure | Limit | What it means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business activity | Permissible | Core business clean | Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. | Pass |
| Debt load | 13.36% | Below 33% | Interest-bearing debt is just 13.4% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money. | Pass |
| Interest-bearing cash | 0.00% | Below 33% | Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit. | Pass |
| Receivables | 4.07% | Below 49% | Money owed to the company is 4.1% of assets, under the 49% limit. | Pass |
| Revenue purity | 0.00% | Below 5% | Only 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line. | Pass |
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
What the Numbers Say It Is WorthThe Fair Value Range
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-11 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 90.9% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 15 covering, consensus Strong Buy. The average target sits +53% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & ProjectionsWhere it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-11 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain WordsBitcoin bets dressed as corporate shares
Picture a listed company whose main job is to hold Bitcoin and issue shares against it. That is Strategy Inc today. Revenue growth sits at just 12 percent while profit margins sit at zero and return on equity is negative 31 percent. The narrow moat and lack of real operating cash flow make it a pure proxy rather than a software business.
Our fair value sits well above the current price yet the opportunity rating stays at none. The ethical screen clears but the business model fails our test for durable cash generation and predictable earnings. Analyst targets around 250 dollars reflect enthusiasm for the Bitcoin trade, not for the company itself.
Volatility tied to digital assets remains the dominant risk alongside a balance sheet that offers no cushion in a downturn. A low multiple here signals peak exposure rather than value. Analysis, not advice.
| Forward P/E | 2.6xcheap for a company growing this fast |
| EPS, trailing | -99.16 |
| EPS, forward | 49.49 |
| Revenue growth | +6.9%slow but positive growth |
| Profit margin | 0.0%currently unprofitable |
| Return on equity | -63.6%not currently earning a positive return on equity |
| FCF yield | -43.41% |
| Debt to equity | 0.15minimal debt: a conservative balance sheet |
| Current ratio | 5.39comfortably covers its short-term bills |
| Beta | 3.60much more volatile than the market |
| Short interest, float | 0.09% |
| 52-week range | 81.81 - 365.21 |
| Moat | NARROW |
| Market cap | $52.0B |
| Employees | 1,511 |
The risks · The things to watch: it already moves more than the market on an average day.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to TradeMSTR trades on NASDAQ. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
Every Entry, As Written
The framework has shifted from markdown to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 20.4% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are down 70%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 30%. The street (13 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $352.
The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are down 70%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 30%. The street (13 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $352.
The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.
The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
- Weekly Wrap: Crypto Struggles as Technology Stocks Fall CryptoProwl · 17 Jul 2026
- Price Prediction: MicroStrategy Has 260% Upside as Bitcoin Adoption Accelerates 24/7 Wall St. · 17 Jul 2026
- MicroStrategy’s Saylor Pitches Bitcoin Bull Case With 300 Years of Fiat History BeInCrypto · 17 Jul 2026
- Strategy Is Now Barely Worth Its Weight In Bitcoin Investor's Business Daily · 17 Jul 2026
- How MicroStrategy Lost Reddit’s Retail Investors in Weeks 24/7 Wall St. · 17 Jul 2026
Headlines from third-party outlets, linked for reference: not our reporting, not advice.
Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.
| Date | Politician | Party | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Jun2026 | Gil Cisneros | Democrat | buy | 15K–50K |
| 21 Oct2025 | Shri Thanedar | Democrat | sell | 15K–50K |
| 21 Oct2025 | Shri Thanedar | Democrat | sell | 15K–50K |
| 21 Oct2025 | Shri Thanedar | Democrat | sell | 15K–50K |
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $195.94 | -40.8% | · | $592 | -40.8% |
| 2 months | $128.64 | -9.8% | · | $902 | -9.8% |
| 3 months | $137.34 | -15.5% | · | $845 | -15.5% |
| 6 months | $183.30 | -36.7% | · | $633 | -36.7% |
| 1 year | $391.18 | -70.3% | · | $297 | -70.3% |
| 2 years | $159.99 | -27.5% | · | $725 | -27.5% |
| 3 years | $28.23 | +310.9% | · | $4,109 | +310.9% |
| 5 years | $51.64 | +124.7% | · | $2,247 | +124.7% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever MSTR does next, these words stay.
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Join the deskScreening is research, not a fatwa and not financial advice. Figures are drawn from public accounts at the screen date shown. Always manage your risk.