The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 1.5% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 23% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 23%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 20%. The street (29 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $253. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
AbbVie
ABBV · a US exchange · USD · Market cap $513.9B · 57,000 employees
AbbVie Inc., a research-based biopharmaceutical company, engages in the research and development, manufacturing, commercializing, and sale of medicines and therapies worldwide.
FAIL · Does not pass the screenPrice as of 4 Nov 2026Daily close, not a live quote
Screened 2026-11-04 · the tape above runs as of 16:02 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
Key facts today
- Price294.83 USD at the 4 Nov 2026 close
- Our value readFair vs our fair value, as of 4 Nov 2026
- Our regime readAccumulation, as of 5 Nov 2026
- Ethical screenDoes not pass
- OptionsOpen interest leans heavily to calls (put/call 0.39)
- Last reviewed4 Nov 2026 (1 days ago)
- Release timesRelease and earnings times on your chart: Event Guard Mentor
A summary of the dated readings below, not a live quote and not advice.
Our fair-value range: $267.33 to $445.54, base estimate $322.22 (screen dated 2026-11-04).
- Trend Accumulation
- Insiders no filings inside 60 days, left as found
- Positioning political selling, disclosed 2026-09-14
- Options put/call open interest 0.39, read 2026-11-02
- Ethical does not pass the values gate
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
This name holds its accumulation label.
AbbVie holds its Accumulation at $294.83. The statistical read favours the buyers, held for 19 days.
| Phase | Accumulation |
| Quantitative state | The statistical read favours the buyers, held for 19 days |
| Price at the screen | $294.83 |
| Valuation | 82.14 trailing · 17.95 forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | FAIL · score 10.0 |
| Beta | 0.23 |
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Debt ratio
| Test | Figure | Limit | What it means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business activity | Permissible | Core business clean | Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. | Pass |
| Debt load | 50.39% | Below 33% | Interest-bearing debt is 50.4% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows. | Fail |
| Interest-bearing cash | 0.20% | Below 33% | Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.2% of assets, under the one-third limit. | Pass |
| Receivables | 13.30% | Below 49% | Money owed to the company is 13.3% of assets, under the 49% limit. | Pass |
| Revenue purity | 0.43% | Below 5% | Only 0.4% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line. | Pass |
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
The Ethical ReadWhy It Falls Short, in Plain English
AbbVie's business is in a permissible area, but its interest-bearing debt is about 50% of the company, well over the ~33% line, so it does not pass on the financial screens.
Read as at 2026-11-05. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.
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The Fair Value Range
Our analysis reads Fair vs our fair value, as of 4 Nov 2026: it trades at roughly a 9% discount to our $322.22 fair value, 10.20% revenue growth.
How a fair value is estimated: discounted cash flow (DCF).
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-11-04 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 8.5% discount to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 27 covering, consensus Buy. The average target sits −2% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Our model sees value the Street hasn't fully caught up to yet.
Price History & ProjectionsWhere our models see it going: fair-value estimate $322.22, with a range of $267.33 to $445.54, dated to the 2026-11-04 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain WordsPharmaceuticals Giant with a Shadow of Debt
Imagine every time a new drug is prescribed, a pharmaceutical giant collects a small fee for its innovation, and that's AbbVie. The company's portfolio includes treatments for autoimmune and inflammatory diseases, with products like Skyrizi and Rinvoq leading the charge. But when we delve into its financials, something sticks out - a substantial debt load that trips our ethical screen. This is why we're avoiding it.
AbbVie's revenue growth of 10% and profit margin of 10% sound promising, and a forward P/E of 16.1x might suggest a bargain in a sector known for high multiples. Yet, the market consensus rating of 'buy' with a median target of $280 per share doesn't account for the elephant in the room - a debt ratio that our ethical screen flags as problematic. This risk overshadows the potential gains, making AbbVie a company to avoid.
Risk sits heavily here, predominantly due to AbbVie's debt ratio, which fails our ethical screen. This is a crucial metric, as high debt can constrain a company's ability to invest in future growth and weather economic storms. While the numbers on the surface might paint a different picture, our ethical-first approach compels us to sidestep the risk. Analysis, not advice.
| Forward P/E | 17.9xpriced for continued growth |
| Trailing P/E | 82.1xexpensive: the price assumes strong growth ahead |
| EPS, trailing | 3.54 |
| EPS, forward | 16.20 |
| Revenue growth | +10.2%steady growth |
| Profit margin | 9.8%thin but positive margins |
| FCF yield | 3.28% |
| Dividend yield | 343.00% |
| Current ratio | 0.81below 1: short-term bills exceed liquid assets |
| Beta | 0.23barely tracks the market's swings |
| Short interest, float | 0.01% |
| 52-week range | 190.75 - 292.58 |
| Market cap | $513.9B |
| Employees | 57,000 |
Another profit measure, before interest, tax and non-cash costs: EBITDA.
The risks · The things to watch: as a drug manufacturers - general name, trial and regulatory outcomes can move it sharply either way.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to TradeABBV trades on a US exchange. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
Every Entry, As Written
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 1.1% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 23% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 23%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 20%. The street (29 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $253. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 23% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 23%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 20%. The street (29 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $253. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 23% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 23%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 20%. The street (29 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $253. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 23% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 23%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 20%. The street (29 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $253. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 23% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 23%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 20%. The street (29 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $253. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 23% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 23%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 20%. The street (29 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $253. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 23% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 23%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 20%. The street (29 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $253. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 7.2% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 23%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 20%. The street (29 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $253.
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 23%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 20%. The street (29 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $253.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
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Headlines from third-party outlets, linked for reference: not our reporting, not advice.
Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.
| Date | Insider | Title | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Purdue David Ryan | SVP, Controller | Sale | 5,230 | $1,221,519 |
| 2026-03-02 | Siatis Perry C | EVP, GC, SECRETARY | Sale | 18,668 | $4,375,549 |
| 2026-02-25 | Siatis Perry C | EVP, GC, SECRETARY | Sale | 22,381 | $5,147,630 |
| 2025-08-12 | Saleki-Gerhardt Azita | EVP, CHIEF OPERATIONS OFFICER | Sale | 42,370 | $8,407,055 |
| 2025-08-05 | Donoghoe Nicholas | EVP, CHIEF BUS, STRAT OFFICER | Sale | 13,295 | $2,639,253 |
Public filings, recorded as found. The full tape lives at Insider Intelligence.
| Date | Politician | Party | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Pete Sessions | Republican | sell | 15K–50K |
| 2026-09-14 | Pete Sessions | Republican | sell | 15K–50K |
| 2026-09-14 | Pete Sessions | Republican | sell | 15K–50K |
| 2026-09-04 | Ro Khanna | Democrat | sell | 15K–50K |
| 2026-09-04 | Ro Khanna | Democrat | sell | 15K–50K |
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $202.78 | +11.4% | · | $1,114 | +11.4% |
| 2 months | $206.23 | +9.6% | $1.73 | $1,104 | +10.4% |
| 3 months | $223.52 | +1.1% | $1.73 | $1,018 | +1.8% |
| 6 months | $220.36 | +2.5% | $3.46 | $1,041 | +4.1% |
| 1 year | $183.52 | +23.1% | $6.74 | $1,268 | +26.8% |
| 2 years | $159.30 | +41.8% | $13.12 | $1,501 | +50.1% |
| 3 years | $124.09 | +82.1% | $19.18 | $1,975 | +97.5% |
| 5 years | $95.69 | +136.1% | $30.38 | $2,678 | +167.8% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever ABBV does next, these words stay.
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