The framework has shifted from markup to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 17.6% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is holding around 66% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 35%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%. Insiders have been net buyers over the past quarter.
Vera Bradley Inc
VRA · NASDAQ · USD · Market cap $171M · 1,360 employees
Vera Bradley, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs and manufactures women's handbags, luggage and travel items, fashion and home accessories, and gifts in the United States.
PASS · Titan Ethical · score 70.0Price as of 5 Nov 2026Daily close, not a live quote
Screened 2026-11-05 · the tape above runs as of 20:03 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
Key facts today
- Price6.98 USD at the 5 Nov 2026 close
- Fair value4.00. Our model only; only one analyst covers it, too few to cross-check it.
- Our value readOvervalued vs our fair value, as of 5 Nov 2026
- Our regime readAccumulation, as of 5 Nov 2026
- Ethical screenPasses, score 70.0 out of 100
- OptionsOpen interest leans heavily to calls (put/call 0.01)
- Last reviewed5 Nov 2026 (1 days ago)
- Release timesRelease and earnings times on your chart: Event Guard Mentor
A summary of the dated readings below, not a live quote and not advice.
Our fair-value range: $4.00 to $4.59, base estimate $4.00 (screen dated 2026-11-05).
- Trend Accumulation
- Insiders insiders bought, latest filing 2026-10-06
- Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
- Options put/call open interest 0.01, read 2026-11-05
- Ethical passes the values gate
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
This name holds its accumulation label.
Vera Bradley Inc holds its Accumulation at $6.98. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 8 days.
| Phase | Accumulation |
| Quantitative state | Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 8 days |
| Price at the screen | $6.98 |
| Valuation | N/A trailing · 54.09 forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | PASS · score 70.0 |
| Beta | 1.50 |
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Full pass across all five screens. This security clears the Titan Ethical Standard: its business and its balance sheet both stay inside the lines.
| Test | Figure | Limit | What it means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business activity | Permissible | Core business clean | Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. | Pass |
| Debt load | 30.14% | Below 33% | Interest-bearing debt is just 30.1% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money. | Pass |
| Interest-bearing cash | 0.00% | Below 33% | Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit. | Pass |
| Receivables | 15.30% | Below 49% | Money owed to the company is 15.3% of assets, under the 49% limit. | Pass |
| Revenue purity | 0.24% | Below 5% | Only 0.2% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line. | Pass |
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
The Ethical ReadWhy It Clears, in Plain English
Vera Bradley clears all five screens. Its business is in a permissible area, its interest-bearing debt is about 30%, inside the ~33% line, and almost none of its income is interest, so it passes.
Read as at 2026-11-05. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.
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The Fair Value Range
Our model only; only one analyst covers it, too few to cross-check it.
Our analysis reads Overvalued vs our fair value, as of 5 Nov 2026: it trades above our $4.00 fair value estimate, none competitive moat, 1.10% revenue growth.
How a fair value is estimated: discounted cash flow (DCF).
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-11-05 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. The price runs 74.5% above the base estimate.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the Street see limited upside at this price.
Price History & ProjectionsWhere our models see it going: fair-value estimate $4.00, with a range of $4.00 to $4.59, dated to the 2026-11-05 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain WordsWhy it gives us pause
At 54.1x forward earnings, the price already runs ahead of the business. It trades 75% above our $4.00 fair value, so you would be buying at a premium, not a discount. The none moat is real, but quality alone does not make an expensive price cheap.
| Forward P/E | 54.1xexpensive even after accounting for its growth |
| EPS, trailing | -0.36 |
| EPS, forward | 0.11 |
| Revenue growth | +1.1%slow but positive growth |
| Profit margin | -3.7%currently unprofitable |
| Return on equity | -7.4%not currently earning a positive return on equity |
| FCF yield | 31.10% |
| Debt to equity | 0.54moderate, manageable leverage |
| Current ratio | 2.44comfortably covers its short-term bills |
| Beta | 1.50much more volatile than the market |
| Short interest, float | 0.03% |
| 52-week range | 1.39 - 6.43 |
| Moat | NONE |
| Market cap | $171M |
| Employees | 1,360 |
Another profit measure, before interest, tax and non-cash costs: EBITDA.
The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market; it already moves more than the market on an average day.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to TradeVRA trades on NASDAQ. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
Every Entry, As Written
The analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.6% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is holding around 66% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 35%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%. Insiders have been net buyers over the past quarter.
The analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 9.6% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is holding around 67% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 35%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%. Insiders have been net buyers over the past quarter.
The analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 27.3% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is holding around 20% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 35%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%. Insiders have been net buyers over the past quarter.
The framework has shifted from markdown to markup since the last review. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 30.8% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is holding around 20% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 35%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%. Insiders have been net buyers over the past quarter. Since the last review it its composite score eased.
Our analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 12.5% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is holding around 20% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 35%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%.
The framework has shifted from distribution to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 1.1% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is holding around 20% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 35%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%.
Our analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is holding around 20% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 35%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%.
Our analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.
Our analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
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Headlines from third-party outlets, linked for reference: not our reporting, not advice.
Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.
| Date | Insider | Title | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-06 | Brockman Ivan | Dir | P - Purchase | 10,000 | $50,200 |
| 2026-09-25 | Brockman Ivan | Dir | P - Purchase | 2,500 | $10,000 |
Public filings, recorded as found. The full tape lives at Insider Intelligence.
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $4.00 | -20.5% | · | $795 | -20.5% |
| 2 months | $3.88 | -18.0% | · | $820 | -18.0% |
| 3 months | $3.38 | -5.9% | · | $941 | -5.9% |
| 6 months | $1.80 | +76.7% | · | $1,767 | +76.7% |
| 1 year | $2.35 | +35.3% | · | $1,353 | +35.3% |
| 2 years | $7.90 | -59.8% | · | $403 | -59.8% |
| 3 years | $5.82 | -45.4% | · | $546 | -45.4% |
| 5 years | $12.72 | -75.0% | · | $250 | -75.0% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever VRA does next, these words stay.
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Join the deskScreening is research, not a fatwa and not financial advice. Figures are drawn from public accounts at the screen date shown. Always manage your risk.