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The Screen · Consumer Cyclical · Auto & Truck Dealerships

CarGurus, Inc. logoCarGurus, Inc.

CARG · Nasdaq · USD · Market cap $3.3B · 1,218 employees

CarGurus, Inc.

PASS · Titan Ethical · score 70.0
33.74 USD

Price as of 6 Nov 2026Daily close, not a live quote

Screened 2026-11-06 · the tape above runs as of 04:01 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed

Key facts today

  • Price33.74 USD at the 6 Nov 2026 close
  • Our value readUndervalued vs our fair value, as of 6 Nov 2026
  • Our regime readMarkup, as of 7 Nov 2026
  • Ethical screenPasses, score 70.0 out of 100
  • OptionsOpen interest leans to puts (put/call 94.08)
  • Last reviewed6 Nov 2026 (2 days ago)
  • Release timesRelease and earnings times on your chart: Event Guard Mentor

A summary of the dated readings below, not a live quote and not advice.

PRICE · ONE YEAR

Our fair-value range: $46.00 to $67.48, base estimate $46.00 (screen dated 2026-11-06).

Current read
Markup ?
Undervalued · screened 2026-11-06
  • Trend Markup
  • Insiders insiders sold, $323,300, latest filing 2026-11-02
  • Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
  • Options put/call open interest 94.08, read 2026-11-07
  • Ethical passes the values gate
Price33.74 USD
Fair value46.00
Ethical score70.0/100
Value readUndervaluedas of 6 Nov 2026
Our investment reviews on this name
2026-10-30Read Accumulation32.50+3.8% to today ✓Markdown gives way to Accumulation
2026-10-29Read Markdown31.32+7.7% to today Accumulation gives way to Markdown first Markdown read since October
2026-10-28Read Accumulation31.19+8.2% to today ✓Markdown gives way to Accumulation after a 6% slide in 4 weeks
2026-10-02Read Markdown33.17+1.7% to today Markup gives way to Markdown after a 15% slide in 6 weeks

Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.

The full research record, in depth, below
The Label · The Season, Not the Day

This name holds its markup label.

CarGurus, Inc. holds its Markup at $33.74. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 39 days.

As held on the ledger · 2026-11-06
PhaseMarkup
Quantitative stateConsolidating, no directional conviction, held for 39 days
Price at the screen$33.74
Valuation19.43 trailing · 12.08 forward price to earnings
Values screenPASS · score 70.0
Beta1.24
The Workings

Five Screens, Shown in Full

Full pass across all five screens. This security clears the Titan Ethical Standard: its business and its balance sheet both stay inside the lines.

TestFigureLimitWhat it meansStatus
Business activity Permissible Core business clean Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. Pass
Debt load 28.83% Below 33% Interest-bearing debt is just 28.8% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money. Pass
Interest-bearing cash 0.00% Below 33% Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit. Pass
Receivables 35.12% Below 49% Money owed to the company is 35.1% of assets, under the 49% limit. Pass
Revenue purity 1.01% Below 5% Only 1.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line. Pass

Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.

The Ethical Read

Why It Clears, in Plain English

CarGurus, clears all five screens. Its business is in a permissible area, its interest-bearing debt is about 29%, inside the ~33% line, and interest is about 1% of its income, under the ~5% line, so it passes.

Read as at 2026-11-07. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.

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Today CARG passes the screen. If new figures move it to a fail, we send you one short email with the before and after. Verdicts change rarely, so you may not hear from us for a long time.

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What the Numbers Say It Is Worth

The Fair Value Range

Our analysis reads Undervalued vs our fair value, as of 6 Nov 2026: it trades at roughly a 27% discount to our $46.00 fair value, 13.10% revenue growth.

How a fair value is estimated: discounted cash flow (DCF).

46.00Conservative46.00Base case67.48Growth case 33.74Price

Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-11-06 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 26.7% discount to the base estimate.

The Street's Range
35.00Street low 42.00Street average 46.00Street high 33.74Price

Third-party analyst targets: 11 covering, consensus Buy. The average target sits +24% from the screen price.

Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.

Price History & Projections

Where our models see it going: fair-value estimate $46.00, with a range of $46.00 to $67.48, dated to the 2026-11-06 screen.

Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.

The Business, in Plain Words

Online car platform trades below its calculated value

Picture a buyer scrolling through dealer listings on their phone instead of driving between lots. CarGurus powers that marketplace and is growing revenue 15 percent a year while earning 16 percent profit margins and an unusually high 58 percent return on equity.

The shares sit at 12 times forward earnings, below our 43 dollar fair value from the current 35 dollar price, and the ethical screen passes without flags. Analyst consensus points to a 37 dollar target, leaving the stock looking inexpensive on standard metrics.

Still, auto retail is cyclical, so a low multiple can simply mark peak earnings rather than a bargain. An unknown moat leaves durability open to question in a competitive space. Analysis, not advice.

The fundamentals · plain-English read
Forward P/E12.1xfairly priced for its growth rate
Trailing P/E19.4xreasonably valued
EPS, trailing1.88
EPS, forward3.02
Revenue growth+13.1%steady growth
Profit margin18.2%healthy profit margins
Return on equity53.5%an exceptional return on shareholder capital
FCF yield7.42%
Debt to equity0.70moderate, manageable leverage
Current ratio1.85healthy short-term liquidity
Beta1.24moves a little more than the market
Short interest, float0.22%
52-week range26.39 - 41.22
Market cap$3.3B
Employees1,218

Another profit measure, before interest, tax and non-cash costs: EBITDA.

The risks · The main risks here are ordinary market swings and the chance our fair-value read proves too optimistic.

Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.

Where & How to Trade

CARG trades on Nasdaq. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.

The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited

Every Entry, As Written

2026-11-05 Accumulation $36.52 +8.1% Entry 17

The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 8.1% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are down 15%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%. The street (12 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $37. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.

2026-11-04 Accumulation $33.77 -0.1% Entry 16

The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.1% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are down 15%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%. The street (12 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $37. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.

2026-11-03 Accumulation $33.79 +5.0% Entry 15

The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 5.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are down 15%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%. The street (12 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $37. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.

2026-11-02 Accumulation $32.18 +0.0% Entry 14

The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are down 15%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%. The street (12 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $37. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.

2026-11-01 Accumulation $32.18 +0.0% Entry 13

The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are down 15%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%. The street (12 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $37. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.

2026-10-31 Accumulation $32.18 -1.0% Entry 12

The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 1.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are down 15%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%. The street (12 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $37. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.

2026-10-30 Accumulation · changed $32.50 +3.8% Entry 11

The framework has shifted from markdown to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 3.8% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are down 15%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%. The street (12 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $37. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.

2026-10-29 Markdown · changed $31.32 +0.4% Entry 10

The framework has shifted from accumulation to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved up 0.4% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are down 15%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%. The street (12 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $37. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.

2026-10-28 Accumulation · changed $31.19 +2.9% Entry 9

The framework has shifted from markdown to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 2.9% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are down 15%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%. The street (12 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $37. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter.

2026-10-21 Markdown $30.30 +5.0% Entry 8

The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved up 5.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 15%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%. The street (12 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $37. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter.

Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.

Latest News · What the Market Is Reading on CARG

Headlines from third-party outlets, linked for reference: not our reporting, not advice.

Related Securities · Others in CARG's Space

Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.

The Insider Ledger · Form 4 Filings, As Filed
Most recent filings · CARG
DateInsiderTitleTypeSharesValue
2026-11-02 Zales Samuel COO, Pres S - Sale 10,000 $323,300
2026-10-15 Zales Samuel COO, Pres S - Sale 10,000 $303,100

Public filings, recorded as found. The full tape lives at Insider Intelligence.

What Holding Actually Paid · Price Plus Dividends
If $1,000 had been placed · historical, not a promise
PeriodPrice thenPrice returnDivs per share$1,000 becameTotal return
1 month $32.39 -13.6% · $864 -13.6%
2 months $34.15 -18.0% · $820 -18.0%
3 months $30.96 -9.6% · $904 -9.6%
6 months $37.52 -25.4% · $746 -25.4%
1 year $32.90 -14.9% · $851 -14.9%
2 years $25.98 +7.7% · $1,077 +7.7%
3 years $20.96 +33.5% · $1,335 +33.5%
5 years $25.13 +11.4% · $1,114 +11.4%

Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

The Ledger's Promise

This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever CARG does next, these words stay.

CarGurus, Inc. · CARG · Markup · $33.74
Recorded 2026-11-06 · before the outcome · scored mechanically

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