An entry written while the outcome is still unknown. It will be scored by what the market does next, and it will never be edited to look cleverer than it was.
In plain words · lululemon athletica inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, distributes, and retails technical athletic apparel, footwear, and accessories for women and men under the lululemon brand in the United States, Canada,…
VERDICT
The label
Accumulation
read at $120.32
Lululemon Athletica holds its Accumulation at $120.32.
PHPhase · the trend structure carries the Accumulation label
INInsiders · no filings inside 60 days, left as found
POPositioning · no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
OPOptions · no verdict drawn today, left as found
SCScreen · passes the values gate
edge confirmed
edge broken
edge forming
Each arm is one independent read. Conviction is not a single call, it is how many edges converge.
INVESTOR
The investor read · the season, not the day
As held on the ledger · 2026-07-29
Phase
Accumulation
Quantitative state
Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 4 days
Price
$120.32
Valuation
9.54 trailing · 10.67 forward price to earnings
Values screen
PASS· score 86.0
Beta
0.88
OPPORTUNITY
The opportunity · what the numbers say it is worth
Our framework reads OPPORTUNITY — it trades at roughly a 3% discount to our $123.30 fair value, moderate competitive moat, 4.30% revenue growth.
Read at
$120.32
9.54 P/E · 10.67 fwd
Our fair value
$123.30
3% discount
Analyst target (avg)
$122.50
+2% to current
Target low $88.00Analyst target rangeTarget high $280.00
▲ current $120.32 · | average target
Price history & projections · where it has been, where the models see it going
The valuation journey · where the price sits against fair value and the Street
Current
$120.32
you are here
Conservative
$93.07
-23%
Analyst avg
$122.50
+2%
Our fair value
$123.30
+2%
Analyst high
$280.00
+133%
Green marks levels above today's price, red below; the shaded band is the gap between the price and our fair value.
Reading the gap · Our model and the Street both land near today's price — fairly valued, with no strong edge either way.
Revenue growth
4.30%
Profit margin
13.03%
Debt to equity
44.26
Analyst consensus
Hold · 26 covering
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; target range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
SCREEN
The values screen, explained · five checks, plain English
This company clears both standards. There are two widely recognised ways to check whether a company is suitable for a Muslim investor. Here is how it did on each:
The common standard· AAOIFI Used by most halal investing apps✓ PASSES
Our stricter standard· asset-based The one Titan applies✓ PASSES
Business activityIts core business isn't built on prohibited lines — no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.Pass
Debt loadInterest-bearing debt is just 21.3% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling — it does not run on borrowed money.Pass
Interest-bearing cashCash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit.Pass
ReceivablesMoney owed to the company is 23.6% of assets, under the 49% limit.Pass
Revenue purityOnly 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources — under the 5% line.Pass
Every security is read against two recognised standards: our stricter asset-based screen (ratios measured against total assets) and the more widely used market-value standard (measured against market capitalisation). Where they agree we say so plainly; where they part ways — almost always on the debt check — we show both readings and mark it, because that disagreement is the finding, not a fault. We report the score; you and your scholar make the call.
PLAIN
The business, in plain words · what the numbers mean
Yoga pants still selling when shoppers tighten belts
Walk past any high street changing room and you still see shoppers reaching for premium technical kit even as household budgets shrink. Lululemon keeps that habit alive with a moderate brand moat that lets it charge more than basic sportswear while holding a 13 percent profit margin and a 32 percent return on equity.
The shares trade at 10.3 times forward earnings with revenue up 4 percent, giving a modest 6 percent margin of safety against our fair value of 123.44 from the current 116.33 price. Twenty six analysts sit on a hold rating with a 122 median target, yet the business clears our ethical screen and continues to deliver cash returns that many apparel names cannot match.
Apparel retail remains cyclical though, and a low multiple on peak earnings can simply mark the start of the next downswing rather than a bargain. Slower growth leaves little room for disappointment if consumer spending turns. Analysis, not advice.
Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.
TRADE
Where & how to trade · wherever in the world you are
LULU trades on a US exchange (the company is based in Canada). As a US-listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering US markets. New to this, or investing from outside the US? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
TRADER
The trader read · the latest dated commentary
The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 53%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 16%. The street (25 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $177. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. Entered 2026-07-18 · Markdown
JOURNAL
The dated journal · newest first, never edited
2026-07-18Markdown$114.23+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 53%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 16%. The street (25 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $177. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter.
2026-07-03Markdown$114.23+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Markdown$114.23Entry 1
The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
