Updated 20:03 GMT, 6 Nov 2026 SPX 7,401.46 +0.65% NDX 27,086.87 +1.72% VIX 24.55 -12.88% GOLD 4,072.50 -1.00% CL 91.04 +0.57% BTC 75,827.63 -0.15%
NAS100 27,087 +1.72% S&P 7,401 +0.65% GOLD $4,073 −1.00% BTC $75,828 −0.15% VIX 24.55 −12.88% latest tape · as of 20:03 UTC
The Screen · Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants

Portillos Inc

PTLO · NASDAQ · USD · Market cap $338M · 7,890 employees

Portillo's Inc.

FAIL · Does not pass the screen
7.02 USD

Price as of 5 Nov 2026Daily close, not a live quote

Screened 2026-11-05 · the tape above runs as of 20:03 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed

Key facts today

  • Price7.02 USD at the 5 Nov 2026 close
  • Our value readFair vs our fair value, as of 5 Nov 2026
  • Our regime readMarkup, as of 5 Nov 2026
  • Ethical screenDoes not pass
  • OptionsOpen interest leans heavily to calls (put/call 0.14)
  • Last reviewed5 Nov 2026 (1 days ago)
  • Release timesRelease and earnings times on your chart: Event Guard Mentor

A summary of the dated readings below, not a live quote and not advice.

PRICE · ONE YEAR

Our fair-value range: $4.50 to $7.24, base estimate $5.90 (screen dated 2026-11-05).

Current read
Markup ?
Fair · screened 2026-11-05
  • Trend Markup
  • Insiders no filings inside 60 days, left as found
  • Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
  • Options put/call open interest 0.14, read 2026-11-02
  • Ethical does not pass the values gate
Price7.02 USD
Fair value5.90
Ethical score70.0/100
Value readFairas of 5 Nov 2026
Our investment reviews on this name
2026-10-28Read Markup4.66+50.6% to today ✓Accumulation gives way to Markup first Markup read since September
2026-10-21Read Accumulation4.66+50.6% to today ✓Markdown gives way to Accumulation after a 24% rise in 3 weeks
2026-10-02Read Markdown3.75+87.2% to today Markup gives way to Markdown after a 20% slide in 8 weeks
2026-08-09Read Markup4.67+50.3% to today ✓Markdown gives way to Markup after a 5% rise in 5 weeks

Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.

The full research record, in depth, below
The Label · The Season, Not the Day

This name holds its markup label.

Portillos Inc holds its Markup at $7.02. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 55 days.

As held on the ledger · 2026-11-05
PhaseMarkup
Quantitative stateConsolidating, no directional conviction, held for 55 days
Price at the screen$7.02
Valuation17.86 trailing · 14.24 forward price to earnings
Values screenFAIL · score 70.0
Beta1.57
The Workings

Five Screens, Shown in Full

Does not pass. Debt ratio

TestFigureLimitWhat it meansStatus
Business activity Permissible Core business clean Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. Pass
Debt load 41.72% Below 33% Interest-bearing debt is 41.7% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows. Fail
Interest-bearing cash 0.00% Below 33% Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit. Pass
Receivables 1.69% Below 49% Money owed to the company is 1.7% of assets, under the 49% limit. Pass
Revenue purity 0.04% Below 5% Only 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line. Pass

Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.

The Ethical Read

Why It Falls Short, in Plain English

Portillos's business is in a permissible area, but its interest-bearing debt is about 42% of the company, well over the ~33% line, so it does not pass on the financial screens.

Read as at 2026-11-05. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.

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Today PTLO does not pass the screen. If new figures move it to a pass, we send you one short email with the before and after. Verdicts change rarely, so you may not hear from us for a long time.

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What the Numbers Say It Is Worth

The Fair Value Range

Our analysis reads Fair vs our fair value, as of 5 Nov 2026: it trades at roughly an 8% discount to our $5.90 fair value, none competitive moat, 3.50% revenue growth.

How a fair value is estimated: discounted cash flow (DCF).

4.50Conservative5.90Base case7.24Growth case 7.02Price

Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-11-05 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. The price runs 19.0% above the base estimate.

The Street's Range
5.00Street low 6.00Street average 11.00Street high 7.02Price

Third-party analyst targets: 10 covering, consensus Buy. The average target sits −15% from the screen price.

Reading the gap · Our model sees value the Street hasn't fully caught up to yet.

Price History & Projections

Where our models see it going: fair-value estimate $5.90, with a range of $4.50 to $7.24, dated to the 2026-11-05 screen.

Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.

The Business, in Plain Words

Why it is worth knowing

A quality business: a none moat. It trades close to our $5.90 fair value, so the easy discount is gone; you would be paying up for the quality.

The fundamentals · plain-English read
Forward P/E14.2xexpensive even after accounting for its growth
Trailing P/E17.9xreasonably valued
EPS, trailing0.21
EPS, forward0.26
Revenue growth+3.5%slow but positive growth
Profit margin2.1%barely profitable
Return on equity3.3%a modest return on shareholder capital
FCF yield-10.36%
Debt to equity1.38a meaningful debt load worth watching
Current ratio0.26below 1: short-term bills exceed liquid assets
Beta1.57much more volatile than the market
Short interest, float0.15%
52-week range3.78 - 11.82
MoatNONE
Market cap$338M
Employees7,890

Another profit measure, before interest, tax and non-cash costs: EBITDA.

The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market; it already moves more than the market on an average day.

Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.

Where & How to Trade

PTLO trades on NASDAQ. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.

The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited

Every Entry, As Written

2026-11-04 Markup $5.21 +11.8% Entry 10

The analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 11.8% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are down 64%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 18%. The street (10 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $6.

2026-10-28 Markup · changed $4.66 +0.0% Entry 9

The framework has shifted from accumulation to markup since the last review. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are down 64%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 18%. The street (10 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $6.

2026-10-21 Accumulation · changed $4.66 +15.9% Entry 8

The framework has shifted from markdown to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 15.9% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are down 64%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 18%. The street (10 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $6.

2026-10-14 Markdown $4.02 +7.2% Entry 7

The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved up 7.2% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 64%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 18%. The street (10 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $6.

2026-10-02 Markdown · changed $3.75 -19.7% Entry 6

The framework has shifted from markup to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 19.7% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 64%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 18%. The street (10 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $6. Since the last review it its composite score rose.

2026-09-10 Markup $4.67 +0.0% Entry 5

Our analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 64%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 18%. The street (10 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $6.

2026-08-09 Markup · changed $4.67 +5.2% Entry 4

The framework has shifted from markdown to markup since the last review. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 5.2% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 64%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 18%. The street (10 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $6.

2026-07-18 Markdown $4.44 +0.0% Entry 3

Our analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 64%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 18%. The street (10 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $6.

2026-07-03 Markdown $4.44 +0.0% Entry 2

Our analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.

2026-07-02 Markdown $4.44 Entry 1

Our analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.

Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.

Related Securities · Others in PTLO's Space

Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.

What Holding Actually Paid · Price Plus Dividends
If $1,000 had been placed · historical, not a promise
PeriodPrice thenPrice returnDivs per share$1,000 becameTotal return
1 month $4.12 +2.4% · $1,024 +2.4%
2 months $5.78 -27.0% · $730 -27.0%
3 months $5.16 -18.2% · $818 -18.2%
6 months $4.73 -10.8% · $892 -10.8%
1 year $11.58 -63.6% · $364 -63.6%
2 years $9.80 -56.9% · $431 -56.9%
3 years $20.72 -79.6% · $204 -79.6%

Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

The Ledger's Promise

This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever PTLO does next, these words stay.

Portillos Inc · PTLO · Markup · $7.02
Recorded 2026-11-05 · before the outcome · scored mechanically

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