Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
Options no verdict drawn today, left as found
Ethical does not pass the values gate
Price183.96 USD
Fair value207.90
Ethical score70.0/100
Our investment reviews on this name
2026-10-02Read Accumulation183.96+0.0% to today ✓
2026-09-09Read Markdown170.51+7.9% to today
2026-08-09Read Distribution209.30-12.1% to today ✓
2026-07-02Read Markup294.75-37.6% to today
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
Powell Industries Inc holds its Accumulation at $183.96. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 83 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-09-18
Phase
Accumulation
Quantitative state
Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 83 days
Price at the screen
$183.96
Valuation
35.17 trailing · 26.32 forward price to earnings
Values screen
FAIL· score 70.0
Beta
1.19
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Accounts receivable
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
0.15%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is just 0.2% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money.
Pass
Interest-bearing cash
2.24%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 2.2% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
60.22%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 60.2% of assets, above the 49% limit.
Fail
Revenue purity
1.42%
Below 5%
Only 1.4% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
The Ethical Read
Why It Falls Short, in Plain English
Powell Industries's business is fine, but its receivables are about 60% of its assets, well over the ~49% line, so it does not pass on the financial screens.
Read as at 2026-10-04. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-18 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 13.0% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 4 covering, consensus Buy. The average target sits +50% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-18 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Custom Power Systems Priced Exactly At Fair Value
Picture the switchgear that keeps an offshore platform or factory floor alive when the grid flickers. Powell builds the custom rooms and modules that sit behind those moments. Revenue edges up just 6 percent while the business clears a solid 17 percent profit margin and 30 percent return on equity, yet the shares trade at 33.9 times forward earnings with zero margin of safety against our fair value.
The narrow moat and clean ethical screen are real, but they do not create an edge when growth stays modest and the multiple already prices in steady execution. Analyst targets sit higher, yet our reading shows the market has the business roughly right today.
Risk sits in the valuation itself. Any slowdown in industrial spending would leave little room for disappointment at this multiple. Analysis, not advice.
The risks · The main risks here are ordinary market swings and the chance our fair-value read proves too optimistic.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
POWL trades on NASDAQ. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The framework has shifted from markdown to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 7.9% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is holding around 89% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 326%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 47%. The street (4 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $316. Since the last review it its composite score eased.
2026-09-09Markdown · changed$170.51-18.5%Entry 5
The framework has shifted from distribution to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 18.5% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is holding around 89% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 326%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 47%. The street (4 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $316.
The framework has shifted from markup to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 29.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is holding around 89% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 326%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 47%. The street (4 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $316.
2026-07-18Markup$294.75+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is holding around 89% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 326%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 47%. The street (4 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $316.
2026-07-03Markup$294.75+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Markup$294.75Entry 1
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
