Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
Options put/call open interest 0.41, read 2026-11-05
Ethical passes the values gate
Price42.18 USD
Fair value37.29
Ethical score70.0/100
Value readOvervaluedas of 4 Nov 2026
Our investment reviews on this name
2026-10-25Read Accumulation39.22+7.5% to today ✓Distribution gives way to Accumulation
2026-10-02Read Distribution38.80+8.7% to today Markup gives way to Distribution after a 16% slide in 4 weeks
2026-09-05Read Markup46.14-8.6% to today Accumulation gives way to Markup after a 5% rise in 9 weeks
2026-07-02Read Accumulation43.88-3.9% to today First review on file: Accumulation
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
Novo Nordisk A/S holds its Accumulation at $42.18. The statistical read favours the buyers, held for 9 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-11-04
Phase
Accumulation
Quantitative state
The statistical read favours the buyers, held for 9 days
Price at the screen
$42.18
Valuation
9.57 trailing · 11.38 forward price to earnings
Values screen
PASS· score 70.0
Beta
0.38
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Full pass across all five screens. This security clears the Titan Ethical Standard: its business and its balance sheet both stay inside the lines.
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
24.12%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is just 24.1% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money.
Pass
Interest-bearing cash
4.87%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 4.9% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
1.08%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 1.1% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Revenue purity
1.03%
Below 5%
Only 1.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
The Ethical Read
Why It Clears, in Plain English
Novo Nordisk A/S clears all five screens. Its business is in a permissible area, its interest-bearing debt is about 24%, inside the ~33% line, and interest is about 1% of its income, under the ~5% line, so it passes.
Read as at 2026-11-05. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.
Follow this verdict
Get an email when NVO's ethical verdict changes
Today NVO passes the screen. If new figures move it to a fail, we send you one short email with the before and after. Verdicts change rarely, so you may not hear from us for a long time.
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What the Numbers Say It Is Worth
The Fair Value Range
Our analysis reads Overvalued vs our fair value, as of 4 Nov 2026: it trades above our $37.29 fair value estimate, 2.10% revenue growth.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-11-04 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. The price runs 13.1% above the base estimate.
Where our models see it going: fair-value estimate $37.29, with a range of $35.74 to $44.71, dated to the 2026-11-04 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Why it gives us pause
At 11.4x forward earnings, the price already runs ahead of the business. It trades 13% above our $37.29 fair value, so you would be buying at a premium, not a discount.
Another profit measure, before interest, tax and non-cash costs: EBITDA.
The risks · The things to watch: its business and earnings are exposed to Denmark and to currency swings; as a drug manufacturers - general name, trial and regulatory outcomes can move it sharply either way.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
NVO trades on NYSE (ADR) (the company is based in Denmark). As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited
Every Entry, As Written
2026-11-01Accumulation$40.00+2.0%Entry 16
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 2.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are down 43%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 16%. The street (12 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $45.
The framework has shifted from distribution to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 43%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 16%. The street (12 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $45.
2026-10-18Distribution$39.22+1.1%Entry 14
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved up 1.1% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 43%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 16%. The street (12 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $46.
2026-10-11Distribution$38.80+0.0%Entry 13
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 43%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 16%. The street (12 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $46.
The framework has shifted from markup to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 15.9% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 43%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 16%. The street (12 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $46.
2026-09-05Markup · changed$46.14-5.4%Entry 11
The framework has shifted from accumulation to markup since the last review. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 5.4% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 43%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 16%. The street (12 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $47.
2026-08-05Accumulation$48.77+0.0%Entry 10
Our analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 43%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 16%. The street (12 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $47. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-08-04Accumulation$48.77+0.0%Entry 9
Our analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 43%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 16%. The street (12 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $47. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-08-03Accumulation$48.77+0.0%Entry 8
Our analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 43%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 16%. The street (12 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $47. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-08-02Accumulation$48.77+0.0%Entry 7
Our analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 43%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 16%. The street (12 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $47. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
