Framework Journal · one stock, one dated entry

Recorded 2026-07-30 · Permanent

An entry written while the outcome is still unknown. It will be scored by what the market does next, and it will never be edited to look cleverer than it was.

In plain words · Gartner, Inc.

The label
Distribution

read at $152.92

Gartner holds its Distribution at $152.92.

PHINPOOPSC
  • PHPhase · the trend structure carries the Distribution label
  • INInsiders · no filings inside 60 days, left as found
  • POPositioning · no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
  • OPOptions · no verdict drawn today, left as found
  • SCScreen · does not pass the values gate
  • edge confirmed
  • edge broken
  • edge forming

Each arm is one independent read. Conviction is not a single call, it is how many edges converge.

The investor read · the season, not the day

As held on the ledger · 2026-07-30
PhaseDistribution · caution
Quantitative stateThe statistical read favours the buyers, held for 2 days
Price$152.92
Valuation15.11 trailing · 9.99 forward price to earnings
Values screenFAIL · score 10.0
Beta0.96

The opportunity · what the numbers say it is worth

Our framework reads AVOID — it trades at roughly a 32% discount to our $202.50 fair value, moderate competitive moat.

Read at
$152.92
15.11 P/E · 9.99 fwd
Our fair value
$202.50
32% discount
Analyst target (avg)
$162.00
+6% to current
Target low $120.00Analyst target rangeTarget high $203.00
▲ current $152.92 · | average target

Price history & projections · where it has been, where the models see it going

$460$290$120TODAY5y agoPROJECTIONAnalyst high$203.00 +30%Conservative$202.50 +30%Our fair value$202.50 +30%Analyst avg$162.00 +4%

The valuation journey · where the price sits against fair value and the Street

Current
$152.92
you are here
Conservative
$202.50
+32%
Analyst avg
$162.00
+6%
Our fair value
$202.50
+32%
Analyst high
$203.00
+33%

Green marks levels above today's price, red below; the shaded band is the gap between the price and our fair value.

Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.

Revenue growth-1.50%
Profit margin11.44%
Debt to equity5,293.41
Analyst consensusHold · 13 covering

Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; target range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.

The values screen, explained · five checks, plain English

This company is excluded by both standards. There are two widely recognised ways to check whether a company is suitable for a Muslim investor. It fails on both:

The common standard · AAOIFI
Used by most halal investing apps
✗ DOES NOT PASS
Our stricter standard · asset-based
The one Titan applies
✗ DOES NOT PASS

Why it fails. The problem is its debt ratio. Because both standards agree on this, it is a clear exclusion, not a borderline case.

What these two standards are, and how they differ →

  • Business activity Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines — no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. Pass
  • Debt load Interest-bearing debt is 41.4% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows. Fail
  • Interest-bearing cash Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit. Pass
  • Receivables Money owed to the company is 42.1% of assets, under the 49% limit. Pass
  • Revenue purity Only 1.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources — under the 5% line. Pass

Every security is read against two recognised standards: our stricter asset-based screen (ratios measured against total assets) and the more widely used market-value standard (measured against market capitalisation). Where they agree we say so plainly; where they part ways — almost always on the debt check — we show both readings and mark it, because that disagreement is the finding, not a fault. We report the score; you and your scholar make the call.

The business, in plain words · what the numbers mean

Gartner looks cheap until the debt bites

Executives pay Gartner for the research that shapes their next big move, yet the company carries more debt than its ethical screen allows. We pass, even though the shares sit well below our own fair value and the forward multiple looks modest at 9.2 times.

Revenue fell 2 percent last year while margins held at 11 percent and return on equity reached 95 percent. The moderate moat and hold-rated analyst target of 164 dollars suggest the business is stable, but none of that overrides the debt-ratio failure.

High returns can mask leverage that leaves little room when cycles turn. Currency moves and conference demand swings add further pressure that the numbers do not fully capture. Analysis, not advice.

The fundamentals · plain-English read
Forward P/E10.0x
very cheap relative to earnings
Trailing P/E15.1x
reasonably valued
Revenue growth-1.5%
revenue is shrinking
Profit margin11.4%
thin but positive margins
Return on equity94.9%
an exceptional return on shareholder capital
Debt to equity52.93
heavy leverage — higher risk if revenue softens
Current ratio0.94
below 1 — short-term bills exceed liquid assets
Beta0.96
steadier than the market
Market cap$10.2B
Employees19,367

The risks · The things to watch: it carries a real debt load, which raises the stakes if revenue slips.

Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.

Related securities · others in IT's space worth a look

Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.

Where & how to trade · wherever in the world you are

IT trades on a US exchange. As a US-listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering US markets. New to this, or investing from outside the US? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.

The trader read · the latest dated commentary

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 63%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 12%. The street (13 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $167. Entered 2026-07-18 · Markup

The dated journal · newest first, never edited

2026-07-18 Markup $164.02 +0.0% Entry 3

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 63%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 12%. The street (13 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $167.

2026-07-03 Markup $164.02 +0.0% Entry 2

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.

2026-07-02 Markup $164.02 Entry 1

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.

Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.

The insider ledger · Form 4 filings, as filed

Most recent filings · IT
DateInsiderTitleTypeSharesValue
2026-05-04 KIM THOMAS SANG Officer 1,130 ·
2026-03-11 GRABE WILLIAM O Director 1,880 ·
2026-02-09 HALL EUGENE A. Chief Executive Officer 16,729 ·
2026-02-09 KRANICH ROBIN B. Officer 2,925 ·
2026-02-09 JAIN AKHIL Officer 1,868 ·
2026-02-09 WARTINBEE WILLIAM JAMES III Officer 797 ·
2026-02-09 RINELLO JOHN J Officer 447 ·
2026-02-09 VAN HAM DICK Officer 337 ·
2026-02-09 HERKES CLAIRE L Officer 1,868 ·
2026-02-09 GENOVESE YVONNE Officer 1,868 ·

Public filings, recorded as found. The full tape lives at Insider Intelligence.

The political ledger · congressional disclosures

Disclosures naming IT
DatePoliticianPartyTypeAmount
9 Apr2026 Scott Peters Democrat buy 50K–100K
9 Apr2026 Scott Peters Democrat sell 500K–1M
8 May2026 Ro Khanna Democrat buy 1K–15K
8 Apr2026 Mike Kelly Republican buy 50K–100K
7 May2026 Scott Peters Democrat buy 15K–50K

What holding actually paid · price plus dividends

If $1,000 had been placed · historical, not a promise
PeriodPrice thenPrice returnDivs per share$1,000 becameTotal return
1 month $153.80 +1.2% · $1,012 +1.2%
2 months $143.72 +8.3% · $1,083 +8.3%
3 months $160.59 -3.1% · $969 -3.1%
6 months $232.66 -33.1% · $669 -33.1%
1 year $422.48 -63.2% · $368 -63.2%
2 years $436.30 -64.3% · $357 -64.3%
3 years $344.55 -54.9% · $452 -54.9%
5 years $232.99 -33.2% · $668 -33.2%

Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever IT does next, these words stay.

Gartner · IT · Distribution · $152.92
Recorded 2026-07-30 · before the outcome · scored mechanically

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