LDOS
Leidos
Industrials · Diversified Support Services · US
$130.11
✗ ETHICAL FAIL

NARROW MOAT
HIGH
Data Confidence: 100%
Full financial profile available
Market Cap
$16.4B
Trailing P/E
11.90
Forward P/E
9.90
Rev Growth
+3.7%
Profit Margin
8.2%
ROE
30.6%
Analyst Target
$190.29
Recommendation
BUY
About Leidos

Leidos Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides services and solutions for government and commercial customers in the United States and internationally. The National Security & Digital segment provides national security software; services by using artificial intelligence and machine learning to coordinate sea, ground, air, and space to help warfighters; offensive, defensive, and physical cyber operation solutions; intelligence analysis, operational support, logistics operations, security, linguistics, force production, biometrics, chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear, and explosives, energetics, training, and other services; and Digital Modernization and transformation services. The Health & Civil segment offers air traffic control systems; health mission software; managed health services; infrastructure management and operation; logistical operations and information technology support; and life science research and development support services. The Commercial & International segment provides power grid engineering and design, grid modernization, utility planning and consulting, energy management and efficiency, technology-driven innovation, and software and application development; people scanners, computed tomography carry-on baggage scanners, checked baggage scanners, and explosive trace detectors; mobile, non-intrusive ports and borders inspection systems; and open-architecture platform that transforms airport security by integrating disparate devices and technologies into a unified management system. The Defense Systems segment offers air and missile defense, maritime, aerospace, and cyber and threat systems; offers airborne training, intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance missions; and provides space-based electro-optic infrared systems, multi/hyperspectral, electronic warfare and signals intelligence, and communications payloads. Leidos Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Reston, Virginia.

Opportunity Summary
Trading at $130 against a fair value of $263, a 51% discount. Fails ethical screen (Business activity screen). Ranks better than 72% of screened stocks.
Ethical Screen
Business ActivityFAIL
Debt Ratio
Cash Ratio
Receivables Ratio
Revenue Ratio
OverallFAIL
Score Ethical: 10.0
Score Valuation: 95.0
Score Quality: 57.0
Score Combined: 50.5
Fair Value Est: $263.00 · Margin of Safety: +102.1% · Tier: AVOID

Full Analysis

Opportunity scores, earnings history, insider transactions, institutional holders, analyst consensus, and more.

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Opportunity Scores
Valuation100.0
Quality50.9
Cash Flow91.2
Moat70.0
Balance Sheet49.1
Debt Purity50.0
Liquid Purity50.0
Rev Purity50.0
Compliance100.0
Tier: GOLD · Score: 79.7 · Rank: #76
Earnings History (Last 8 Quarters)
DateEPS Est.Reported EPSSurprise %
2026-07-282.89Pending--
2026-05-052.913.13+7.6%
2026-02-172.612.76+5.9%
2025-11-042.572.82+9.8%
2025-08-052.663.21+20.8%
2025-05-062.502.97+18.7%
2025-02-112.272.37+4.5%
2024-10-292.022.93+45.3%
Quarterly Financials
PeriodRevenueNet IncomeEBITDAGross ProfitOp. IncomeEPS
2026-03-31$4.4B$328.0M$556.0M$761.0M$538.0M2.60
2025-12-31$4.2B$327.0M$552.0M$739.0M$473.0M2.57
2025-09-30$4.5B$367.0M$609.0M$821.0M$535.0M2.87
2025-06-30$4.3B$391.0M$645.0M$782.0M$565.0M3.03
2025-03-31$4.2B$363.0M$596.0M$757.0M$527.0M2.79
2024-12-31
Insider Transactions
DateNameRoleSharesValue
2026-05-08FUBINI DAVID GDirector1,067--
2026-05-08JONAS TINA WDirector1,067--
2026-05-08MAY GARY STEPHENDirector1,067--
2026-05-08SHANAHAN PATRICK MDirector1,067--
2026-05-08NORTON NANCY ADirector1,067--
2026-05-08DAHLBERG GREGORY R.Director1,067--
2026-05-08GEER NOEL BROWNDirector1,067--
2026-05-08SHAPARD ROBERT SDirector1,067--
2026-05-08KRAEMER HARRY M. JANSEN JR.Director1,067--
2026-05-07MAY GARY STEPHENDirector3,345$250.9K
Top Institutional Holders
HolderSharesValue% Held
Blackrock Inc.9.5M$1.2B0.1%
Vanguard Capital Management LLC8.3M$1.0B0.1%
State Street Corporation6.1M$770.7M0.0%
Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC5.5M$689.7M0.0%
JPMORGAN CHASE & CO4.3M$535.9M0.0%
Geode Capital Management, LLC3.6M$457.0M0.0%
Boston Partners2.5M$309.3M0.0%
Invesco Ltd.2.4M$301.3M0.0%
Van Eck Associates Corporation2.3M$289.4M0.0%
FMR, LLC2.2M$277.1M0.0%
Analyst Recommendations
3 Months Ago
2
6
8
16 analysts
2 Months Ago
2
6
8
16 analysts
Last Month
2
6
7
15 analysts
Current
2
6
8
16 analysts
Strong Buy Buy Hold Sell Strong Sell
Additional Fundamentals
Enterprise Value
$22.4B
Price/Book
3.16
Beta
0.570
Analysts
14
Total Revenue (TTM)
$17.3B
Total Debt
$6.9B
Earnings Growth
-7.6%
Dividend Yield
132.0%
Rec. Mean
2.12
Short Ratio
4.00
Short % Float
0.0%
Employees
50,000

Elite Intelligence

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Trade Consideration
The Opportunity
Score 50.5 (P74 — top 25.9% of scored tickers). Narrow Moat. Ethical FAIL. 14 analysts at Buy.
Price: $130.11 | Target: $187.79 (+44%) | Fair Value: $263.00 (+102%)
Score
50
Moat
NARROW
Conviction
Standard
Upside
+44%
The Fundamentals
Revenue Growth+3.7%
Profit Margin0.0%
ROE30.6%
Forward P/E9.9
Market Cap$16.4B
Earnings Track Record
DateEstimateReportedSurprise
2026-07-28$2.89Pending
2026-05-05$2.91$3.13+7.6%
2026-02-17$2.61$2.76+5.9%
2025-11-04$2.57$2.82+9.8%
2025-08-05$2.66$3.21+20.8%
2025-05-06$2.50$2.97+18.7%
Position Sizing Scenarios
Stop: $110.59 (-15%) | Entry: $130.11
SharesCostProfit to TargetR:R
To Consensus ($187.79, 14 analysts)
10$1,301.10+$576.80 (44%)3.0R
50$6,505.50+$2,884.00 (44%)3.0R
100$13,011.00+$5,768.00 (44%)3.0R
To Fair Value ($263.00)
10$1,301.10+$1,328.90 (102%)6.8R
50$6,505.50+$6,644.50 (102%)6.8R
100$13,011.00+$13,289.00 (102%)6.8R
Risk Factors
  • Elevated short interest (4.00 days to cover)
The Verdict
Leidos holds a narrow competitive moat and trades at a 102.1% discount to fair value.
Quantitative Grade

A single score combining all analytical layers below. A is strongest, D is weakest.

C
Quant Score
41.8
Risk Grade
LOW_RISK
Layers
8
Quality: CONSISTENT_BEATER
Risk Profile

How much could this ticker lose on a bad day? These metrics measure worst-case scenarios from historical data.

VaR 95%
-2.7%
worst expected daily loss, 19 in 20 days
CVaR 95%
-5.0%
avg loss on the worst 5% of days
Annual Volatility
Sortino Ratio
-0.22
above 1.0 is good
Max Drawdown
-38.0%
Worst Day
Forward Outlook

Based on 10,000 simulated price paths, here is the probability of where this ticker could be in 30, 60, and 90 days.

30d Prob Up
90d Prob Up
Median Return 30d
Liquidity Score
90
Liquidity Grade
HIGHLY LIQUID
Trend & Momentum

What direction is this ticker actually moving, filtered through noise? Is it speeding up or slowing down?

Kalman Trend
Trend Strength
Momentum Signal
HMM Regime
RSI Signal
Technical Signals

Classic chart signals that institutional traders monitor. Golden Cross is bullish, Death Cross is bearish.

MA Crossover
DEATH_CROSS
Bollinger Position
LOWER_HALF
Beta
Relative Volume
2.1x
Short Interest
Financial Health

Is this company financially sound? The Z-Score measures bankruptcy risk. The F-Score measures fundamental strength.

Altman Z-Score
below 1.81 = distress zone
Piotroski F-Score
Earnings Beat Rate
100.0%
Earnings Consistency
Correlations

These tickers tend to move together (positive) or in opposite directions (negative). Useful for portfolio diversification.

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Inverse Correlated
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Seasonality

Does this ticker have consistent patterns on certain days or months? Historical tendencies, not guarantees.

Best Day
Friday
Worst Day
Thursday
Best Month
Aug
Worst Month
Dec
Fri-Mon Effect
0.010027823423602089
Earnings Drift

After this company beats earnings, does the price keep going up? Drift tracks post-earnings momentum.

Avg Drift After Beat
-1.6%
Beat Drift Positive %
42.9%
Consistency
Momentum Rankings

How does this ticker's recent performance compare to the entire universe? Ranked across 1, 3, 6, and 12-month returns.

1M Return
-12.3%
3M Return
-26.2%
6M Return
-30.7%
12M Return
-18.3%
Momentum Rank
#4217
Momentum Signal
STRONG_DOWN

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