The Screen · Industrials · Information Technology Services
Leidos
LDOS · a US exchange · USD · Market cap $13.4B · 50,000 employees
Leidos Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides services and solutions for government and commercial customers in the United States and internationally.
FAIL · Does not pass the screen
106.48 USD
At the last full screen 2026-07-19
Screened 2026-07-19 · the tape above runs as of 22:40 UTC · 24 Jul · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
The Label · The Season, Not the Day
This name holds its distribution label.
Leidos holds its Distribution at $106.48. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 8 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-07-19
Phase
Distribution · caution
Quantitative state
Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 8 days
Price at the screen
$106.48
Valuation
9.75 trailing · 8.12 forward price to earnings
Values screen
FAIL· score 10.0
Beta
0.55
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Business activity screen
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Excluded
Core business clean
Business activity: Defence
Fail
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
The Conscience Overlay
Conscience flag · AFSC Divest List
The quantitative screen above is arithmetic. Separately, community boycott lists cite this company: Cited by AFSC divest list for providing defense IT services, intelligence analytics, and military technology solutions. The desk records that flag here without folding it into the verdict: the screen measures the balance sheet, the overlay informs the conscience, and they are different judgements that belong to different owners. The second one is yours.
What the Numbers Say It Is Worth
The Fair Value Range
Our framework reads AVOID: it trades at roughly a 78% discount to our $190.00 fair value, narrow competitive moat, 3.70% revenue growth.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-07-19 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 78.4% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 15 covering, consensus Buy. The average target sits +43% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-07-19 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Leidos trips the ethical line despite the numbers
Leidos builds software and services that governments use for national security work most investors never examine. We pass because the business activity screen blocks it outright, regardless of the 78% gap between the 106 price and our 190 fair value.
Revenue edges forward at just 4% while margins sit at 8% and ROE reaches 31%. The forward multiple of 8.1 times looks modest and analysts cluster around a 152 target, yet none of that matters once the ethical screen is triggered.
The narrow moat and government contract exposure add their own uncertainty, but the screen is the decisive factor here. We stay away on principle.
The risks · The main risks here are ordinary market swings and the chance our fair-value read proves too optimistic.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
LDOS trades on a US exchange. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited
Every Entry, As Written
2026-07-18Distribution$124.43+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are down 16%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 14%. The street (14 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $188.
2026-07-03Distribution$124.43+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Distribution$124.43Entry 1
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
