The framework has shifted from markup to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved up 2.4% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 26%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 23%. The street (6 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $41. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
Carter's, Inc.
CRI · the NYSE · USD · Market cap $1.2B · 15,400 employees
Carter's, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, sources, and markets branded childrenswear in the United States and internationally.
FAIL · Does not pass the screenPrice as of 5 Nov 2026Daily close, not a live quote
Screened 2026-11-05 · the tape above runs as of 20:03 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
Key facts today
- Price32.64 USD at the 5 Nov 2026 close
- Our value readFair vs our fair value, as of 5 Nov 2026
- Our regime readDistribution, as of 4 Nov 2026
- Ethical screenDoes not pass
- OptionsOpen interest leans to puts (put/call 1.80)
- Last reviewed5 Nov 2026 (0 days ago)
- Release timesRelease and earnings times on your chart: Event Guard Mentor
A summary of the dated readings below, not a live quote and not advice.
Our fair-value range: $26.88 to $43.69, base estimate $32.87 (screen dated 2026-11-05).
- Trend Distribution
- Insiders no filings inside 60 days, left as found
- Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
- Options put/call open interest 1.80, read 2026-11-02
- Ethical does not pass the values gate
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
This name holds its distribution label.
Carter's, Inc. holds its Distribution at $32.64. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 29 days.
| Phase | Distribution · caution |
| Quantitative state | Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 29 days |
| Price at the screen | $32.64 |
| Valuation | 5.40 trailing · 9.71 forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | FAIL · score 70.0 |
| Beta | 0.85 |
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Debt ratio
| Test | Figure | Limit | What it means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business activity | Permissible | Core business clean | Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. | Pass |
| Debt load | 47.25% | Below 33% | Interest-bearing debt is 47.2% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows. | Fail |
| Interest-bearing cash | 0.85% | Below 33% | Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.8% of assets, under the one-third limit. | Pass |
| Receivables | 25.33% | Below 49% | Money owed to the company is 25.3% of assets, under the 49% limit. | Pass |
| Revenue purity | 0.46% | Below 5% | Only 0.5% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line. | Pass |
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
The Ethical ReadWhy It Falls Short, in Plain English
Carter's,'s business is in a permissible area, but its interest-bearing debt is about 47% of the company, well over the ~33% line, so it does not pass on the financial screens.
Read as at 2026-11-05. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.
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The Fair Value Range
Our analysis reads Fair vs our fair value, as of 5 Nov 2026: it trades at roughly a 1% discount to our $32.87 fair value.
How a fair value is estimated: discounted cash flow (DCF).
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-11-05 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 0.7% discount to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 6 covering, consensus Hold. The average target sits +9% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Our more conservative model reads it as roughly fairly valued here, while the Street is more bullish: a quality-at-a-fair-price name rather than a deep-value one.
Price History & ProjectionsWhere our models see it going: fair-value estimate $32.87, with a range of $26.88 to $43.69, dated to the 2026-11-05 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain WordsWhy it is worth knowing
A quality business. It trades close to our $32.87 fair value, so the easy discount is gone; you would be paying up for the quality.
| Forward P/E | 9.7xvery cheap relative to earnings |
| Trailing P/E | 5.4xvery cheap relative to earnings |
| EPS, trailing | 6.05 |
| EPS, forward | 3.36 |
| Revenue growth | -0.7%revenue is shrinking |
| Profit margin | 7.4%thin but positive margins |
| Return on equity | 22.9%an exceptional return on shareholder capital |
| FCF yield | 16.24% |
| Dividend yield | 234.00% |
| Debt to equity | 1.12a meaningful debt load worth watching |
| Current ratio | 2.78comfortably covers its short-term bills |
| Beta | 0.85steadier than the market |
| Short interest, float | 0.23% |
| 52-week range | 27.86 - 44.44 |
| Market cap | $1.2B |
| Employees | 15,400 |
Another profit measure, before interest, tax and non-cash costs: EBITDA.
The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to TradeCRI trades on the NYSE. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
Every Entry, As Written
The analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 3.9% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 26%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 23%. The street (6 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $41. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 26%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 23%. The street (6 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $41. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 26%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 23%. The street (6 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $41. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 26%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 23%. The street (6 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $41. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The framework has shifted from accumulation to markup since the last review. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 4.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 26%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 23%. The street (6 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $41. Since the last review it its composite score eased.
The framework has shifted from markup to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 3.5% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 22% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 26%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 23%. The street (6 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $41.
The framework has shifted from distribution to markup since the last review. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 10.2% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 22% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 26%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 23%. The street (6 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $41. Since the last review it its composite score eased.
The framework has shifted from markdown to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 21.4% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 22% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 26%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 23%. The street (6 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $41. Since the last review it its composite score rose.
The framework has shifted from distribution to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved up 2.5% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 22% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 26%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 23%. The street (6 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $41.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
- Carter's (CRI) Cuts Guidance And Shakes Up Leadership, Is 17% Below Fair Value Enough? Yahoo Finance · 5d ago
- Carter's Stock Earnings Beat Meets Cautious Outlook Yahoo Finance · 5d ago
- Carter's (CRI) Unveils New Executive Roles To Reshape Leadership Structure Yahoo Finance · 6d ago
- Why Carter's (CRI) shares are falling today Yahoo Finance · 6d ago
- Carter's, Inc. Q3 2026 Earnings Call Summary Yahoo Finance · 6d ago
Headlines from third-party outlets, linked for reference: not our reporting, not advice.
Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.
| Date | Politician | Party | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | Gil Cisneros | Democrat | sell | 15K–50K |
| 2026-07-30 | Gil Cisneros | Democrat | sell | 15K–50K |
| 2026-07-30 | Gil Cisneros | Democrat | sell | 15K–50K |
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $32.51 | +22.1% | $0.25 | $1,228 | +22.8% |
| 2 months | $35.28 | +12.5% | $0.25 | $1,132 | +13.2% |
| 3 months | $34.16 | +16.2% | $0.50 | $1,177 | +17.7% |
| 6 months | $32.60 | +21.7% | $0.50 | $1,233 | +23.3% |
| 1 year | $31.57 | +25.7% | $1.00 | $1,289 | +28.9% |
| 2 years | $60.94 | -34.9% | $3.65 | $711 | -28.9% |
| 3 years | $58.94 | -32.7% | $6.75 | $788 | -21.2% |
| 5 years | $86.18 | -53.9% | $12.25 | $603 | -39.7% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever CRI does next, these words stay.
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