2026-10-25
AZZ clears the business-activity screen and the figures we can measure look clean, but one or more financial figures are still pending, so the verdict is not final yet.
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latest tape · as of 20:03 UTC
The Screen · Industrials · Specialty Business Services
AZZ Inc.
AZZ · the NYSE · USD · Market cap $4.0B · 3,767 employees
AZZ Inc.
Not yet scored122.22 USD
Price as of 5 Nov 2026Daily close, not a live quote
Screened 2026-11-05 · the tape above runs as of 20:03 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
Key facts today
- Price122.22 USD at the 5 Nov 2026 close
- Our value readUndervalued vs our fair value, as of 5 Nov 2026
- Our regime readDistribution, as of 5 Nov 2026
- Ethical screenNot yet scored
- OptionsOpen interest leans heavily to calls (put/call 0.53)
- Last reviewed5 Nov 2026 (1 days ago)
- Release timesRelease and earnings times on your chart: Event Guard Mentor
A summary of the dated readings below, not a live quote and not advice.
PRICE · ONE YEAR
Our fair-value range: $130.50 to $197.79, base estimate $159.12 (screen dated 2026-11-05).
- Trend Distribution
- Insiders no filings inside 60 days, left as found
- Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
- Options put/call open interest 0.53, read 2026-11-05
- Ethical screen not yet scored
Price122.22 USD
Fair value159.12
Ethical score70.0/100
Value readUndervaluedas of 5 Nov 2026
Our investment reviews on this name
2026-11-03Read Markup134.44-9.1% to today Distribution gives way to Markup first Markup read since July
2026-10-27Read Distribution135.56-9.8% to today ✓Markdown gives way to Distribution with deal news in the headlines
2026-10-20Read Markdown130.59-6.4% to today ✓Accumulation gives way to Markdown first Markdown read since October
2026-10-10Read Accumulation135.41-9.7% to today Markdown gives way to Accumulation after a 10% slide in 7 weeks
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
The full research record, in depth, below
This name holds its distribution label.
AZZ Inc. holds its Distribution at $122.22. The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 69 days.
| Phase | Distribution · caution |
| Quantitative state | The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 69 days |
| Price at the screen | $122.22 |
| Valuation | 23.83 trailing · 16.71 forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | Not scored · score 70.0 |
| Beta | 1.17 |
Five Screens, Shown in Full
This security has not been fully scored against the values screen yet.
| Test | Figure | Limit | What it means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business activity | Permissible | Core business clean | Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. | Pass |
| Debt load | 24.32% | Below 33% | Interest-bearing debt is just 24.3% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money. | Pass |
| Interest-bearing cash | 0.00% | Below 33% | Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit. | Pass |
| Receivables | 6.48% | Below 49% | Money owed to the company is 6.5% of assets, under the 49% limit. | Pass |
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
The Ethical ReadThe Read, in Plain English
AZZ clears the business-activity screen and the figures we can measure look clean, but one or more financial figures are still pending, so the verdict is not final yet.
Read as at 2026-11-05. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.
2026-09-24
Clears
AZZ clears all five screens. Its business is in a permissible area, its interest-bearing debt is about 24%, inside the ~33% line, and almost none of its income is interest, so it passes.
Earlier reads, kept as written. The ethical profile is tracked over time, not overwritten.
What the Numbers Say It Is WorthThe Fair Value Range
Our analysis reads Undervalued vs our fair value, as of 5 Nov 2026: it trades at roughly a 17% discount to our $159.12 fair value, 16.70% revenue growth.
How a fair value is estimated: discounted cash flow (DCF).
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-11-05 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 23.2% discount to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets. The average target sits +31% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & ProjectionsWhere our models see it going: fair-value estimate $159.12, with a range of $130.50 to $197.79, dated to the 2026-11-05 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain WordsRust Protection That Still Fails to Stand Out
Every bridge, utility pole and piece of heavy kit needs a coating to survive the weather. AZZ supplies the hot-dip galvanising and coil coating that keeps North American metal from falling apart. The business runs two focused segments and posts a 12 percent profit margin with 15 percent return on equity, yet revenue is advancing only 6 percent a year.
Those numbers are respectable but not enough to create real opportunity. The forward multiple sits at 18.9 times and the shares trade below both our fair value and the analyst median target, yet the opportunity rating remains none. Ethical screens clear without issue, but the combination of modest growth and average returns does not meet the threshold for a positive stance.
Demand for metal coatings rises and falls with construction and industrial spending, so earnings can swing sharply when cycles turn. A low-teens multiple on peak profits often signals a value trap rather than a bargain. Analysis, not advice.
| Forward P/E | 16.7xfairly priced for its growth rate |
| Trailing P/E | 23.8xa premium valuation |
| EPS, trailing | 5.55 |
| EPS, forward | 7.91 |
| Revenue growth | +16.7%steady growth |
| Profit margin | 9.6%thin but positive margins |
| Return on equity | 12.3%a solid return on shareholder capital |
| FCF yield | 4.06% |
| Dividend yield | 53.00% |
| Debt to equity | 0.40minimal debt: a conservative balance sheet |
| Current ratio | 1.79healthy short-term liquidity |
| Beta | 1.17moves a little more than the market |
| Short interest, float | 0.03% |
| 52-week range | 94.61 - 162.20 |
| Market cap | $4.0B |
| Employees | 3,767 |
Another profit measure, before interest, tax and non-cash costs: EBITDA.
The risks · The main risks here are ordinary market swings and the chance our fair-value read proves too optimistic.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to TradeAZZ trades on the NYSE. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
Every Entry, As Written
2026-11-03
Markup · changed $134.44
-0.8% Entry 14
The framework has shifted from distribution to markup since the last review. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.8% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 54%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 27%. The street (9 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $162. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter.
2026-10-27
Distribution · changed $135.56
+3.8% Entry 13
The framework has shifted from markdown to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved up 3.8% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 54%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 27%. The street (9 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $162. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter.
2026-10-20
Markdown · changed $130.59
-4.6% Entry 12
The framework has shifted from accumulation to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 4.6% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 6% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 54%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 27%. The street (9 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $162. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter.
2026-10-13
Accumulation $136.85
+0.0% Entry 11
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 18% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 54%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 27%. The street (9 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $162. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-12
Accumulation $136.85
+1.1% Entry 10
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 1.1% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 18% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 54%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 27%. The street (9 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $162. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-11
Accumulation $135.41
+0.0% Entry 9
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 18% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 54%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 27%. The street (9 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $162. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-10
Accumulation · changed $135.41
+0.0% Entry 8
The framework has shifted from markdown to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 18% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 54%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 27%. The street (9 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $162. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-02
Markdown $135.41
+1.3% Entry 7
Our analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved up 1.3% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 18% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 54%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 27%. The street (9 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $162. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter.
2026-09-24
Markdown $133.63
-11.5% Entry 6
Our analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 11.5% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 18% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 54%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 27%. The street (9 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $162. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter.
2026-08-22
Markdown · changed $150.92
+2.5% Entry 5
The framework has shifted from markup to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved up 2.5% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 18% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 54%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 27%. The street (9 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $162. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
- Here is What to Know Beyond Why AZZ Inc. (AZZ) is a Trending Stock Yahoo Finance · 7d ago
- 3 Reasons investors love AZZ (AZZ) Yahoo Finance · 9d ago
- AZZ Inc. Announces November Investor Conference and Non-Deal Roadshow Schedule Yahoo Finance · 11d ago
- Are Industrial Products Stocks Lagging AZZ (AZZ) This Year? Yahoo Finance · 15d ago
- Wall Street Analysts Think AZZ (AZZ) Is a Good Investment: Is It? Yahoo Finance · 15d ago
Headlines from third-party outlets, linked for reference: not our reporting, not advice.
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| Date | Insider | Title | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Stovall Bryan Lee | COO - Metal Coatings | S - Sale | 2,677 | $401,727 |
Public filings, recorded as found. The full tape lives at Insider Intelligence.
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $148.65 | -5.1% | · | $950 | -5.1% |
| 2 months | $136.99 | +3.0% | $0.20 | $1,032 | +3.2% |
| 3 months | $121.46 | +16.2% | $0.20 | $1,164 | +16.4% |
| 6 months | $109.41 | +29.0% | $0.40 | $1,294 | +29.4% |
| 1 year | $91.45 | +54.3% | $0.80 | $1,552 | +55.2% |
| 2 years | $75.42 | +87.1% | $1.48 | $1,891 | +89.1% |
| 3 years | $38.97 | +262.2% | $2.16 | $3,677 | +267.7% |
| 5 years | $50.89 | +177.3% | $3.52 | $2,843 | +184.3% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever AZZ does next, these words stay.
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